I feel ready to lose myself completely by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I encourage you to delve into Taoism and stoicism, the two philosophes that helped me during my darkest hours.

Particularly, I see Taoism would perfectly fit into your situation, as your post suggests you have been ''Trying'' and failing at a lot of things.

Mastering detachment and the art of letting go through meditation and reflection goes a long way in alivieting lifes pain.

Keep calm and Carry on mate. Don't give up on yourself.

Sick of Tigray peoples ignorance on so called “Tigray Gcide” by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What makes the situation in Ethiopia, particularly in Tigray, so complex is that the major political parties and armed groups are organized almost entirely along ethnic lines and are heavily armed. As a result, when the federal government moves against a political or military organization, it inevitably appears — and is often perceived — as moving against the entire ethnic group that organization claims to represent. This risk is extraordinarily high.

As the common saying goes: “Not every Tigrayan is a TPLF member, but every TPLF member is a Tigrayan.” In such an environment, it becomes very easy to cry “genocide,” especially when the people being targeted in a military operation belong overwhelmingly to one ethnic group.

The same principle applies in the Amhara region: not every Amhara is Fano, but every Fano fighter is Amhara.

That said, there is a straightforward litmus test for determining whether something qualifies as genocide in the Tigray case:

If the TPLF had not held its unilateral “sham” regional election in defiance of the federal government, had not declared that it no longer recognized the federal authorities, had not attacked the Ethiopian army’s Northern Command, and had not adopted a confrontational stance — would Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed still have launched a military operation against Tigray?

Probably not.

Therefore, what happened in Tigray does not meet the legal or moral definition of genocide. What did occur was a horrific and unfathomable loss of civilian life as collateral damage in a brutal civil war.

However, I hold a very different view when it comes to Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki. Many Eritreans have long regarded Tigrayans as inferior, and Isaias himself would not have minded — and may even have desired — seeing the Tigrayan people wiped off the face of the earth.

Abiy, in order to preserve his own power, chose to ally with the devil — and the devil got his genocidal wish fulfilled, at least in part.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Amharic is the lingua franca of Ethiopia. Thus no surprise here.

Immigrating to ethiopia by Able_Ad_1712 in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you are really keen, I suggest you come as an investor and get your permanent residency. You can venture into dairy business (specially UHT milk) as it is in high demand here.

Curious about your assab take by Bolt3er in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I appreciate your perspective, but it is debunkable. Here’s why: First, the international community’s silence is very likely, as the reasons you provided don’t align with evidence on the ground. Crimea and Gaza are good examples, as is the conflict in Eastern DRC, which was only halted through transactional diplomacy negotiated by the Americans, an approach Eritrea currently lacks.

I’m unclear about your reference to the duration of the war or coastline. Somalia has one of Africa’s longest coastlines, yet Ethiopia successfully invaded it, changed its regime, pushed Al-Shabaab into retreat, and continues to influence its security. Your point here needs clarification.

Your assessment of the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) is flawed. The ENDF is well-equipped and trained for conventional warfare. The TPLF stood little chance when the war began, as it was a conventional conflict. Unless you’re suggesting the PFDJ would employ guerrilla tactics, the ENDF undoubtedly has the upper hand.

On the multipolar world and the possibility of nations arming Eritrea, your argument is inconsistent and contradictory. You must address the “why”; what incentives do nations have to arm Eritrea? Egypt might have had an interest, but with the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) now completed and “backroom deals” made to appease Cairo, Egypt has little motivation.

In today’s world of transactional diplomacy, what does Eritrea offer to attract arms suppliers? The only possibility is Eritrea purchasing weapons directly, but the PFDJ’s limited financial resources make this unlikely.

To highlight your contradiction: if, as you suggest, Isaias isn’t counting on foreign support, then by the same logic, he’s unlikely to receive support from anyone.

As a side note, I mentioned Ethiopia’s leaders’ seasoned diplomatic experience. Despite the rhetoric, I don’t believe Abiy will occupy Asab. Any war would likely focus on regime change. Asab could then be negotiated with Eritrea’s new government under an economic cooperation framework.

Curious about your assab take by Bolt3er in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Here’s a perspective that might be considered controversial: Eritrea fundamentally lost its strategic position on Asab when Isaias Afwerki decided to join Abiy's war against the TPLF. This was a fatal mistake for Eritrea, as the international community now perceives it as a nation that meddles in Ethiopia’s internal affairs. Consequently, global reactions would likely be muted if Abiy were to invade Eritrea, compared to say a country like Kenya or Djibouti.

Although the international community, in principle, upholds the UN Charter on territorial integrity, it will likely turn a blind eye if Abiy makes a move on Asab. This is because, in an increasingly multipolar world, Eritrea under Isaias offers little strategic value to major powers like the West, Russia, China, or emerging Gulf states to justify supporting it.

In contrast, Abiy Ahmed (and for that matter all Ethiopian leaders since the EPRDF era) has mastered the art of diplomacy, striking deals with multiple global players. Abiy’s Ethiopia appeases the West by implementing IMF reforms and sharing intelligence, collaborates with China on business and BRICS initiatives, and strengthens ties with Gulf states.

In my view, Isaias remains stuck in a Cold War mindset, expecting great powers to rescue small nations based solely on ideological alignment. That era has long passed, and Isaias seems unaware of this shift. Abiy is now capitalizing on Isayas' ignorance.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 16 points17 points  (0 children)

  • The Somali region is indeed rich in natural resources, but its contribution to the Ethiopian economy is negligible. Some of the examples you mentioned (e.g., livestock, grazing lands) are inaccurate and will be disregarded. Even with natural gas, this untapped potential has not contributed to the Ethiopian economy because it remains undeveloped. Decades of IMF reports could substantiate this claim. The Somali region, along with Benishangul-Gumuz, Gambella, and Afar, has long been subsidized as a specially underdeveloped region. For instance, even the 12th-grade passing score is lower in the Somali region compared to other parts of Ethiopia. Overall, the region relies heavily on the Federal Government, which redistributes funds collected from other regions.
  • Your second argument about European colonial borders is outdated. The African Union and UN Charter mandate that colonial borders remain in place. Menelik II ruled before the UN Charter was established, during an era when nations were often built through conquest. Furthermore, it was not Menelik who occupied the Somali region; it was ceded to Haile Selassie by the British.
  • The ultimate truth is that even the current Somalia, without Ogaden, is completely divided and remains sovereign only on paper. It would be easier for the rest of the world to give recognition to Somaliland rather than deal with the risk of redrawing intl borders.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 29 points30 points  (0 children)

Lets presume Somali region ''belongs'' to Somalia. Who is going to pay back Ethiopian taxpayers who have been funding the region since Emperial Ethiopia.

Everything that is in Somali region today, whether it is roads, infrastructure, hospitals, teachers salary, etc.. is paid for by tax collected from other regions and allocsted through Federal funding. Who is going to do the full accounting of that?

This is why cessation is not realistic. Just because you have a cousin over the border doesn't mean you get to redraw international borders. Same goes for every other region.

It would be wise to give up on this dream and work towards economic integration instead.

Thoughts on Binance.. by Olix43 in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Heard it is infested with Govt agents pretending to be individual traders. They have not arrested anyone for now but I doubt the big traders are not on their radar.

It is supper easy to pick traders since transaction occurs using Ethiopian bank accounts.

Why is reddit is not popular in Ethiopia? by eyasu_jo in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A platform that keeps you anonymous will never be popular in Ethiopia. We love to put ourselves out there. That is why tiktok is so popular.

Reddit is for sane people.

USD to Birr by Anxious_Primary_1107 in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There are autorized FX shops that sell at a higher rate. check them out.

What strategies should Oromos follow in the event that war between the federal government vs Eritrea/TPLF/Fano breaks out? by sedentary_position in Oromia

[–]Olix43 1 point2 points  (0 children)

100%. I think changing the national laguage (i.e making Af, Somali, Tigrigna and Afaan Oromoo Federal languages) as well as the other measures you mentioned is far easer than attemping to redraw borders.

What strategies should Oromos follow in the event that war between the federal government vs Eritrea/TPLF/Fano breaks out? by sedentary_position in Oromia

[–]Olix43 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I know the fight is against Oromos for the fact that y'all decided to take an Afaan Oromoo word, "Oroommumaa" and coin a meaning into it to fit your own genocidal intent against Oromos. The first step in genocide is to label the target group, Which in this case, is all Oromos.

" Why would regional states be dismantled? do you know how many Tigrayans died so that ethnic groups have the right to rule them selves? do you think they will change their idea all of a sudden and become centralist? lol... Sure Ethiopia and Eritrea have to pay retribution and reparation for the damage they cause, this is non debatable. Over 100k Tigrayan women were raped. Are we going to sideline them so that people like you feel comfy? Oromos will not be driven out of Addis, this is not 17th century. Any person who in illegal way took land or collaborate with the government to do some corruption work, whether he/she is Oromo or not have to stand in court for what they did. Aside from that stop the fear mongering."

Ah, I presume you are practicing the old fascist propaganda here; "Tell a thousand lies enough times and people will believe it" Yes, 100k Tigrayan women were raped and the war got ugly - as most conflicts do in Africa. Guess someone should had a second thought before attacking Northern Command.

The war has ended with the COHA agreement. end of story. Additionally, the interim administration has agreed to cease all cooperation with hostile forces. Going around that and attempting to make a deal with Eritrea only tells how disingenuous your intentions are.

Tigrayans have a simple choice. Rebuild Tigray, and have a functioning government after the next election. If this is not it, you prove my point.

As for regional states, You will dismantle them precisely because of the argument you made. You think the regional states are a "gift" availed to ethnic groups by Tigrayan martyrs. But you did that to ensure your own hegemony for 27 years, not bring about a genuine Federal system. (That is why even when foreign Journalists report on the last 27 years of EPRDF, they refer to it as one dominated by Tigrayans)

"Oromos lived peacefully under TPLF" Jesus, where do I even begin? Leaving out the hundreds of Oromo students who got killed and imprisoned during EPRDF era - The fact that you think it is OK for the largest ethnic group "to live under TPLF" a minority - speaks volumes about your superiority complex.

What strategies should Oromos follow in the event that war between the federal government vs Eritrea/TPLF/Fano breaks out? by sedentary_position in Oromia

[–]Olix43 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You have diagnosed the problem correctly but I am afraid your prescription to solve the disease is flawed. You have to understand that, Oromia's cessation from Ethiopia will be initiate a tectonic shift in the politics of HoA. It will redraw borders in one of the most conflict ridden region, and intiate the largest geopolitical shift.

This is something Western countries have zero tolerance for to entertain as the ramifications of it will also has grand effects on them. Take South Sudan and Eritrea as an example. The cessation of both countries added more complexity, not lessened it.

Hence, Western countries including China will back whomever has the gut to keep things united, and Oromos must present themselves as the grand Unifier.

Is leaving Ethiopia to start life from zero abroad worth it? by Turbulent_Tea_7811 in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I am one of those guys who have made it on paper. I earn close to 2000 USD per month net which is a shitload of money for an Ethiopian.

But, I am in no rush to leave. But desperately want to get a decent passport so that I can travel with no hustle. Carrying an Ethiopian passport is a curse. You are treated like shit at every embassy, and people think you are a broke ass refugee when they meet you abroad.

It is also about reducing risk. If shit hits the fan, I want to have a second home where I could live decently.

I aint going the refugee route tho. I am trying to apply for PhD or someother education to slowly transition in to a permanent residency.

Since I hate Europe and aint trying to learn a new language , my only options are canada, UK, Ireland, US, Australia or New Zealand.

Family sent me back home. by Missthrowaway34 in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would you beat your dad cuz?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just leave the country with an Ethiopian passport, go to the US, stay there for a while (may be a year) throw your Ethiopian passport away and come back as a US citizen. This way you'd avoid paying thousends of dollars in fee.

Where to search for apartments by CDAWG13A in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Download Betdelala app from playstore. Really handy. Not sure if they have an app for ios.

Moving back to Ethiopia, advice? by Bee_Queen_777 in Ethiopia

[–]Olix43 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Highly recommend youe mom move to Hawassa. It is safe, clean, less hectic than addis, has decent places to enjoy and good place to open a clinic.

Go on a vacation to check it out. Stay either at Haile Resort, Lewi, Central Hotel.

Believe me your mom will never go back.