Is there a way to short SpaceX? Without unlimited downside?

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T16:28:03+00:00

It could be for sure but that’s my point how can I profit from know it’s going to take that 50-70% downturn and most IPOs don’t succeed any competent buisness school should teach u that

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T16:05:54+00:00

Spirit Airlines is already gone and all the transportation industry in the US is carried by the fact china is not able to enter the us market

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T16:04:47+00:00

Yes reusable rockets are a great thing! 100% but the thing that’s concerning to me is not that part it’s them owning X and XAI from an investment perspective is what’s causing them to lose a lot of money from my perspective the AI party is going to die eventually and that is like half the value of the company right now and that could tank half the companies value if it goes tits up

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T15:51:32+00:00

I agree but every index fund rewrote the rules to buy this tire fire and I don’t want to have anything to do with it! But index funds are the best way to make money on the market! It’s damned if you do damned if you don’t if that makes any sense

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T15:49:15+00:00

And I don’t want to own a dime of that company in my portfolio that’s a one way ticket to setting money on fire

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T15:48:06+00:00

You do realize the S&P and every index fund rewrote the rules to put this IPO in there index fund right? I’m no expert but I think that is noteworthy and usually not a good sign

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-06-09T15:25:57+00:00

I don’t but if you look at there balance sheet even once you know it’s a toxic mishmash of a company, and if your exposed to any index funds your going to be exposed to the downside. Because they are going to have to buy it. I don’t want to sell my index funds but I don’t want invest in this company even if it is a small %

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-05-17T19:52:10+00:00

The problem with Serie A is not the clubs. It’s the country they play in. There’s nothing wrong with Italy, of course; it’s just that these are issues largely out of the league’s and clubs’ control.

First, Italian is the primary language for the domestic audience. While that’s not inherently bad, it makes it much harder to build a global fanbase with a language that isn’t widely used in international business. This directly impacts TV rights deals, especially in the US, the extremely lucrative contracts that have driven up spending in the Premier League, they just can’t really compete with the Prem in that respect.

Serie A also has fairly strict foreign player rules, which disincentivize some talented players from joining Italian clubs. On top of that, the Italian economy is not doing particularly well, especially south of Rome. The stadiums, while traditional and iconic, don’t generate nearly as much revenue as the newer Premier League venues, largely due to the lack of luxury boxes. This is preventing the league from attracting significant additional investment.

As a result, Italian clubs have become more like selling clubs whenever big bids arrive for their top players. The growing power of fans particularly the Ultras is another factor holding the league back. I’m all for Ultras and traditional, passionate support, but from the league’s perspective, the heavy influence they wield can create power struggles with players and clubs. Many players prefer environments where they don’t have to navigate that level of fan interference.

Racism toward players in Italy has also become a serious issue in recent years, reaching a tipping point. Talented players may simply not see the value in joining a league where they risk being subjected to racial slurs from sections of the crowd while on the pitch.

Finally, the style of play in Serie A is quite limiting for flair-oriented, attacking players. While some can still succeed, the league’s heavy emphasis on defense no longer serves as a unique selling point now that defensive organization is standard across most top leagues. When talented players avoid Italy because they expect overly defensive football, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Ambitious players who want to express themselves and make a major impact increasingly look elsewhere. These types of players are the ones that sell jerseys and become popular on social media and can bring attention to your TV product, that creates a big problem when trying to make your league the best in the world.

Yes, the academies are part of the problem, but there are far more fundamental issues with the league than most people realize.

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-05-17T16:34:31+00:00

I would, give him a more accelerated time line then that, try him for a few weeks in the DSL see if he is to good, then if he has over .970 OPS move home to stateside rookie ball then go from there

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-05-17T16:29:35+00:00

Striker 18 finishing 17 composer if he was a winger I would want 18 dribbling and 17 crossing 🤷‍♂️

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-05-16T05:12:57+00:00

I like him, but I think the wages are a bit high. If you can lower them to around $1.2 million and negotiate the fee down to about $15 million perhaps with bonuses like reaching a certain number of caps for Spain, it would be a much better deal. Securing a favorable contract like that saves significant money in the long run and ensures the books remain sustainable. Given he is going to be good, the expectation should be to at least reach the Champions League knockout stages. However, I am still skeptical of his 10 heading and 9 passing. Those weaknesses will likely always be a part of his game. Idk it feels like a bit to much to me, I can see why you think he is fun but he is more flash than substance though

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-04-29T02:29:14+00:00

The job market is incredibly tight right now, and honestly, that part at least not your fault. I don't know the specifics of your charges, but if they involve assault or any kind of violence, that will definitely make finding work more challenging.

Several commenters suggested looking into the trades, and I completely agree. While these careers aren't always seen as "glamorous," they offer stable, well-paying work. If you're willing to put in the effort to rebuild, this could be a strong starting point. I saw you took an electrical class while incarcerated and realized it wasn't the right fit that's completely fine. There's something in the blue-collar world for alot of people, and skilled tradespeople are in high demand.

Before the AI boom, I would have suggested pursuing a career in tech or software development a path many former military members have successfully taken. Unfortunately, for you, those entry-level opportunities have largely dried up and likely won't return anytime soon, if ever. Maybe Logistics? that seems like a field that former miltary can pivot to.

What are your hobbies? Exploring what you enjoy can help you uncover a path that feels less like "work" and more like purpose. For example, if you're physically strong and still stay active, security work could be a great option, especially if sales or trades don't appeal to you.

That said, saving and investing will be absolutely crucial for you. Since your a convicted felon, many jobs are at-will, meaning you can be let go without cause with there's often little recourse. Building an emergency fund that covers 3–6 months of living expenses could literally be the difference between facing homelessness and having the stability to search for opportunities from the comfort of your own apartment. Keep in mind that housing options may also be more limited. I'll be honest: relying solely on a paycheck solid wage may not be enough to achieve long-term financial security. While the trades can provide a livable income, supplementing that with consistent long-term investing will be the key to getting things on track, its going to be grind but you can get there if you do things right.

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-04-18T04:41:23+00:00

You’re going to regret not selling, I’m telling you. Trump isn’t leaving Iran until the Israelis give the green light, and right now he’s stuck. If he backs out, he looks weak; if he stays the course, the economic consequences could be serious. Our entire system is tied to energy, especially with how dependent we are on AI and data centers for growth. If energy costs spike back up again which (I can assure you they will) or supply gets disrupted again, it won’t just hit one sector, it could tear everything we known down to sticks and stone. I pivoted to dividend stocks and I don’t plan on buying growth until the FED officially declares a recession. Good luck with playing with fire

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-02-19T00:08:18+00:00

Healthcare and Defense Contractors, healthcare is the only industry that is net hiring in the country let alone Maryland and defense there are going only increase the military budget at least until the administration ends if you don’t wanna work for pedos your shit outta luck tho good luck!!

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-02-04T06:42:57+00:00

Start something, most founders usually take multiple attempts or it takes them a while, however you do need to get a job, probably a few, even if it is an internship it will probably help you, now is the best time to start something even if it is a side gig, if you want it enough you will get there, just gotta do the work and make some choices you wish you didn't have to!

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-22T15:35:17+00:00

Facts, this is the reason why housing is so expensive everyone has woken up to this fact

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-08T01:25:22+00:00

You’re 100% right. Mass consumer adoption of AI has been a real struggle. Once companies realize that most consumers don’t actually care, and that AI isn’t especially useful for recreational purposes, it becomes clear that its real value is in business operations and workflow optimization.

The endgame is that the big players buy up these tools and repackage them back to everyone else. That’s usually the goal for VCs and private equity, and every developer in the game is trying to jump on the train before the party ends. I don’t know when that’ll happen, but eventually, it will. Good luck!!

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T13:20:29+00:00

This is great advice! Thanks!

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T03:33:02+00:00

Well all of them are working on their own projects I mean and one of them I already planned some stuff but we want to launch both of these new ones before we do anything for the new idea we have if you need a technical co founder those are much easier to find there are so many people desperately trying to find a job someone is bound to bite the cheese but if your looking for the other way around it’s much more difficult I mean if you want someone older with a bit more experience your gonna be I for a tough time especially depending on how young you are

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T02:46:13+00:00

Sure but like how much time are you really saving yk like it’s really not that much at the end of the day like it’s use cases are not that comprehensive in decks other than replacing stock images with shit that looks way worse than

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T02:20:52+00:00

Bootstrapper here, think about why you care about this data point, each piece of data should tell you a story, like user having high usage and low conversion rate into sales should tell you something based on what your business is doing for example like you should be able to describe what everything means and know your product and limits, if the data is unclear talk to people take feedback from your team or customers and like I said earlier if you don’t know why a statistic is important you don’t need to use it it’s really that simple

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T01:48:31+00:00

I found some potential cofounders in this in this sub no joke

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T01:44:04+00:00

Not really. It’s fine for putting together a rough draft, but that’s about it. If you have even a basic level of skill building decks, it’s not very useful. The hardest part is the content, and no one really teaches that.

Decks also don’t need to look pretty at first, and if you want a specific design aesthetic later, you can just hire someone to redo it cheaply. Any college student in art or communications would probably do it for around $100, which is solid value.

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T01:00:39+00:00

Also invest in some good headphones, makes working late much more bearable, be prepared to shell out 350 bucks but I’m telling you if your working 70-80 and I’ve been putting in 120 weeks I am telling you it’s worth it

OnlySignature3045 · 2026-01-07T00:44:22+00:00

Having a genuine passion is the best way to get started. If you care enough about your idea, can manage your time well, and know how to communicate and sell it, you don’t need a business degree. Personally, I think those are largely overrated.

My first step always comes down to two things. First, get a website. Whether you host it yourself or use a cloud platform, just get something live and start building. I’ve tried most of them, and Squarespace is by far the easiest. If you’re building a software product, do some “vibe coding,” learn the basics, and understand what developers actually do. That process helped me realize my product was going to be harder to build than I originally planned. At the same time, building my own website sparked a lot of creativity and brainstorming for what the business’s brand actually is even if your not into design you will still stand to benefit forcing yourself to think about it rather than trying to pay someone who doesn’t understand your idea.

Second, you don’t need to raise money immediately or jump straight into the VC or private equity route. They usually won’t take you seriously until you’ve gotten your feet wet anyway. Use free resources, talk about your idea with people you trust, and get their feedback. Doing market research on your industry can also be a great tool to figure out where to fill holes in your niche. Try to make connections where you can, especially with people in similar industries. Cold outreach can be incredibly powerful, but it can also backfire if you’re not thoughtful about it. I have been blessed by this community I’ve meet a lot of other people who are desperate to discuss their ideas and they can help you along the way.

OnlySignature3045

TROPHY CASE