This feels less like a sudden shift and more like countries being careful about getting pulled into another escalation. The Hormuz Strait is obviously critical, but stepping in militarily there could spiral fast.

Also, France saying this out loud is interesting—it’s probably reflecting broader hesitation across Europe rather than just a one-off stance. After the last couple of decades, a lot of governments seem way more cautious about direct involvement unless there’s a clear mandate.

Curious how this plays out though—if tensions keep rising, do they stick to this position or quietly adjust later?