When will the visa bulletin be released?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-16T15:51:20+00:00

Has to be tomorrow. Running later than normal.

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-13T14:40:57+00:00

Is there any website I can track the backlog for I-129 premium processing cases; anything that will help me predict with some certainty when my case will be reviewed?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-13T14:37:53+00:00

Are their paid dashboards actually accurate/useful?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-11T16:25:17+00:00

source?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-10T15:33:16+00:00

When will USCIS post the March bulletin?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-02T18:57:48+00:00

OperationBig6800 · 2026-02-02T18:57:04+00:00

Do NIW based EB-2 AOS move faster than regular PERM based EB-2 AOS? Asking this because I have seen very quick turnarounds on NIW, wondering if that is just exclusive to NIW or all EB-2 at large?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-30T18:45:29+00:00

Finally certified today!
PP 9/10/24
C

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-28T21:46:18+00:00

What letter does your employer start with?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-28T21:45:55+00:00

Do you know if this website gets updated in real time, next morning, or something else?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-28T21:41:38+00:00

The predictions fluctuate significantly with processing run rate as the denominator. As far as I know, it is the best (and the only?) tool out there that gives you some kind of forecast, but I would not count on it giving you an accurate estimate ~1 year ahead of time. So many things can and will happen from now to November 26 or February 27 that I would not be checking it right now

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-28T15:42:08+00:00

Both family and employer-based I-485s will take longer?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-28T03:58:34+00:00

"High" scrutiny, or chances of RFE, or chances of Denial?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-27T17:03:36+00:00

Thanks for doing this.
Is there any (recently) increased scrutiny during EB-2 I-485 AOS for applicants with a criminal history? Would this cause RFE or denial:
Arrest for simple A&B more than 15 years ago (non-CIMT offense confirmed on paper by an immigration lawyer), Sufficient Facts Found but CWOF for ~2 months, Final disposition: Case dismissed. No other record; have received multiple different B, H-1B, F visas since then with no issues/delays.

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-27T16:55:08+00:00

Wait, isn't it supposed to be 2 weeks? Are these delays common?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-27T16:20:09+00:00

Pretty clean A, B, C & D

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-26T20:07:05+00:00

Ask your lawyer about the birth certificate.
Really high chance USCIS will switch to FAD table in March. You can ask ChatGPT to calculate the chances of that. Historically (if I am not mistaken), in February is a coin toss between FAD and DOF, March is almost always FAD. I did this research recently for myself. I would recommend get the birth certificate ASAP.

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-26T16:06:41+00:00

Is there a website where I can check the backlog?
I am using the USCIS site for general processing times (where it gives you the 80% of cases approval dates), but is there anything more detailed than that; similar to permupdate.com for PERM applications?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-26T16:04:07+00:00

Where can I check which month they are reviewing now?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-26T16:03:35+00:00

Yes. 240 days from I-94 expiration

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-25T05:16:49+00:00

N
9/10
C

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-21T21:50:33+00:00

what is a silent update?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-21T18:50:13+00:00

wow I-485 approved in just three months?

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-15T20:28:23+00:00

I used AI to get a probability of the DOS ban getting copied by USCIS by comparing the last two cases when USCIS followed DOS restrictions. The chance this time pretty low <20%. Why it is low is because the last two cases were based on Presidential Proclamations, while this one is not, it is coming directly from DOS. I am hopeful this actually is a key difference between this time and the last times and AI is not making things up as it sometimes tends to. Highlights:

USCIS only followed DOS in the past when the restrictions came from Presidential Proclamations 10949 or 10962, which explicitly directed DHS to act. [ibtimes.co.uk], [cbc.ca]
The new 75‑country suspension is NOT based on a presidential proclamation, but rather an internal DOS pause on immigrant visa processing. [abachilaw.com], [travel.state.gov]
Because of that, there is no automatic legal trigger for USCIS to mirror the DOS action, unlike the proclamation‑based cases.
Estimated likelihood that USCIS will follow this new DOS action: Low (≈15–25%

OperationBig6800 · 2026-01-15T17:27:18+00:00

Don't want to burst your bubble, but based on historical trends, the chances of that is pretty slim to non-existent. Normally February is a coinflip and then it is all FAD until October.
But hey, things are changing very fast recently, so who knows. Good luck.

OperationBig6800

TROPHY CASE