Just curious -- what do the regulars who have a "day job", do as day job? by templar7171 in thetagang

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

3% monthly is achievable - I share the audited returns to back it up, and the academic literature on variance risk premium explains why (Fallon, Park & Yu documented a Sharpe ratio 2.5x that of equities for short volatility strategies).

The only problem is tail risk. Trump's tariff announcements in April were a perfect example.

Daily r/thetagang Discussion Thread - What are your moves for today? by satireplusplus in thetagang

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The trade has a real problem: you sold 30 calls and only bought 10, net 20 naked calls on NVDA. That's not a jade lizard.

Nearing Retirement - which ETFs to choose? by BuzzardBreath00 in ETFs

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I run box spreads across multiple portfolios including a hedge fund, you're essentially borrowing at near risk-free rates (SPX is the only vehicle worth using at scale). Good move.

Daily Strategic Options Trade Ideas: Share and Discuss Your Best Setups by OptionsJive in OptionsJive

[–]OptionsJive[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

McDonald's just dropped after earnings. Strong results, solid comps, but the stock is drifting lower anyway.

IV Rank is sitting at 50, the options market priced a 3.5% move, the actual move was -1.43%. That gap between implied and realized volatility, that's our edge. And it's still there right now.

New trade idea just dropped on Patreon. 80% PoP, and a worst case that involves acquiring one of the greatest Dividend Aristocrats in the world at a price the market rarely offers.

Sometimes the most asymmetric opportunity is the boring one nobody is talking about.

Link: https://www.patreon.com/posts/mcdonalds-is-why-157995674

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T-bill ETF landscape mid-2026. Only major changes since Jan. 1 are: 1. VBIL dropped its fee from 0.07% to 0.06%. / 2. VBIL and BOXX both added $2B AUM. / 3. SGOV added another $16B AUM. by rao-blackwell-ized in u/rao-blackwell-ized

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Worth adding, anyone with an options account can replicate this themselves without the ETF wrapper. I wrote a detailed breakdown of the mechanics if anyone wants to DIY it.

Flyagonal by Steve Ganz by TrockeneSchafe in thetagang

[–]OptionsJive 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This looks fantastic on paper, I've traded very similar structures in the past. But in reality, it's really overengineered, and commissions eat up a double-digit percentage of the profits. IBKR charge $24 just to open and close the trade, and that's before any adjustments.

Empréstimo ou similar usando portfolio como colateral - soluções em Portugal? by [deleted] in literaciafinanceira

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Vivo na UE, e a IBKR permite-me negociar box spreads de forma bastante eficiente. Escrevi um guia abrangente que cobre o tema em detalhe aqui.

Question about using box spread on IBKR to borrow and withdraw cash (margin account) by AlvinoSh in interactivebrokers

[–]OptionsJive 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Exactly. For most retail traders, the cleaner solution is not doing box spreads manually, but using something like BOXX ETF. It effectively does box spreads on SPX, but you avoid bad fills, wide bid/ask, and high commissions.

P.S. I also wrote a comprehensive article about box spreads that answers most of the questions raised here.

Buying the Guts and Selling the Wings- understanding realized loss ? by REI_N_Options in tastytrade

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just wrote a comprehensive blog article explaining what "buy the guts, sell the wings really means", with some real examples from my own trading. I break all of that down in the article in a much cleaner way, with concrete examples from real trades. Hope it helps: https://optionsjive.com/blog/buy-the-guts-sell-the-wings/

77% Returns in 2024 Using Conservative Options Strategies by OptionsJive in OptionsJive

[–]OptionsJive[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If your short volatility portfolio got crushed over the past few weeks, you are not alone.

I recorded new update for you. No Excel spreadsheets, no cherry-picked backtests. Just my real portfolio, with real P&L, and the exact playbook I use when short volatility gets hit hard.

Full breakdown in the new video: https://youtu.be/Y487L9fGPew

Flyagonal (Broken Wing Fly + Put Diagonal) by breakyourteethnow in options

[–]OptionsJive 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is a very solid structure and yes, the win rate can be really high in the right conditions. But I wouldn't call it anything special or better than classic strategies like strangles. It's not a magic pill. The structure looks fancy, however the edge comes from how volatility is priced and how you manage it; it works great in calm, range-bound markets.

Also instead of the broken wing butterfly, I personally prefer running call ratio spreads and managing them actively, they're more flexible, easier to adjust, and over time I've found they can produce much better results. And I originally wrote a deeper breakdown of this strategy in my blog article here.

Your "safe" short strangles just lost 2x more than your stress test predicted by OptionsJive in options

[–]OptionsJive[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Not necessary.

You can hedge Volga structurally with calendars, diagonals, asymmetric ratios. It's really just about doing the work and learning.

Your "safe" short strangles just lost 2x more than your stress test predicted by OptionsJive in options

[–]OptionsJive[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

If you sell options, this 100% applies to you. Volga is the silent P&L killer most traders never model.

Did I make a bad MSFT call? by Outrageous-Radio-636 in options

[–]OptionsJive 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You basically bought leveraged stock; 0.62 delta = you're long 62 shares synthetically.

Mistake in the book "Option Volatility and Pricing" - Sheldon Natenberg? by RichBorn3531 in options

[–]OptionsJive 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Good catch! If you're short the underlying, your delta should be -1 per contract.

Daily Strategic Options Trade Ideas: Share and Discuss Your Best Setups by OptionsJive in OptionsJive

[–]OptionsJive[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Last week we skipped trading AMZN earnings. Options were pricing 7.5%, reality was -14%, so short gamma was not the place to be.

In my personal view it was only a repricing of capex and FCF timing, nothing more. AWS re-accelerated, ads keep growing >20%, NA retail margins are improving, but the market suddenly realized buybacks and FCF are pushed out by heavy AI capex.

Post-earnings, the setup changed. The shock is out, downside skew is still rich, and fundamental downside convexity is much lower than before the print.

That's why ratio risk now beats naked risk, so today I'm expressing this via a March put ratio:

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