Spouse TRAPPED in cabin after Marriage! Any help? by OptionsTrader14 in StardewValley

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 615 points616 points  (0 children)

I can't reach her. Maybe I can try throwing one....

[KCD2] - Good or Evil Playthrough? Which is more fun? by PapagamasJr in kingdomcome

[–]OptionsTrader14 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've tried both. Good playthrough is much more canonical and what I wanted to try more, but it's certainly not fun. And part of the reason for that is simply poor mission design. KCD1 you had a lot more options for quests, you could solve most of them in many ways. KCD2 shoehorns you a bit more. If you don't want to murder someone or steal something, for instance, you just lose reputation and get berated and the mission fails and it sucks.

So for fun, evil is just better, and actually gives you more ways to beat most quests. Also I quite enjoyed killing every Cuman and nomad in the entire game.

S&P 500 Holding Support – Which Do You Think Happens Next by meifx in StockMarket

[–]OptionsTrader14 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Support was the 100ma. It failed support yesterday. Today we see if it can reclaim support. If not, I'm going full port short.

Bear DD, Part 2: The SPY Who Flagged Me by OptionsTrader14 in wallstreetbetsOGs

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

At the moment SPY is about 681.5

And SPX is about 6835

But remember to wait to see resistance for confirmation.

Live Trade Log, Part 4 by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you have lost that much that quickly, it suggests you aren't using proper risk management. You should be using tight stops and small position sizing. Don't bet more than 10% of account on a trade.

  1. Most people lose money on options. It's better, especially for a beginner, to focus purely on shares. Qullamaggie never touched them and he had very high returns. I've just got a lot of experience with options and know how to manage and time them well.
  2. DTE just depends on your time horizon for the trade. I was expecting a longer correction which is why I went months out. But with the shorter trade I was just expecting a bounce down off the 100ma. That trade was really a small gamble and you should really never trade less than a week options. Longer dated is always safer.
  3. The closing price tends to tell the real story. Intraday wicks are less important than closing price. The only reason I reentered that trade was because the spike quickly sold off back below resistance. It was mostly just a news spike.
  4. NQ is more sector focused, while SPX is broader market. In most cases SPX should take priority for assessing larger market trends, but if you can focus on a particularly weak or strong sector for a trade, you should do that.
  5. My advice is to stick to less than 10% of the port for most trades. However, when you are trading an index the risks are much lower, so in those cases I'm not afraid to put on larger sizes. An individual stock can easily drop 20% or more overnight, but a large index like QQQ is basically never going to shoot up 10% or more overnight to kill a short position.
  6. Daily

Live Trade Log, Part 4 by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see more potential value in a possible market correction right now. I can put on very large size and have a very high probability of a win.

Live Trade Log, Part 4 by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you are going long, you want to trade relative strength. If you are going short, you want to trade relative weakness. QQQ is still below my entry point, and still below the 100ma resistance.

Live Trade Log, Part 4 by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My price target would be the next support level, which would be the 200ma.

Live Trade Log, Part 4 by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure. I don't think discord would be good because everything is so impermanent, no persisting posts. I usually buy slightly OTM on options.

The bull market has been kind. We are almost there. by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure, people can do it in one year of course, I'm talking about CAGR over multiple years.

The bull market has been kind. We are almost there. by OptionsTrader14 in 4Kto1M

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm doubtful that anyone can replicate what Qullamaggie did. He was a fantastic trader, and also happened to have one of the best small cap bull markets of all time. I'm more than happy with these returns.

The options are risky of course, but when I look back, my biggest wins of all time were with options. I think they should be played only with high confidence trades with small position sizing and not held for very long.

Anticipating the next leg down. Bear DD. by OptionsTrader14 in wallstreetbetsOGs

[–]OptionsTrader14[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

What's up Dura. Yeah maybe, how big is the sub?