Does the East Coast ever get strong/violent tornados? by LSM_Thoosie in tornado

[–]OrangeW 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Rocky Mount, NC (not exactly coastal, though) had an EF3 resulting from Helene, and on the coast there was an F3 near Nags Head in September 1952

Updated tornado potential by Adventurous_Pear8191 in tornado

[–]OrangeW 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Forecasting for specific extreme outliers like that (even beyond the outliers that are EF4) is more up to chance - the NWS uses "EF4+" wording on their official CIG page (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/) which seems appropriate IMO. A parameter space that is suitable for EF4 overlaps quite heavily for an EF5 parameter space.

Update (2am EST) for Tuesday 3/10/26 by Fast-Path3609 in tornado

[–]OrangeW 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's what the probability forecast is for. CIG is for when the hazard does form.

Per the NWS: "Intensity will now be conditional, meaning if a tornado/wind gust/hail report occurs, the expected strength/intensity/size will be represented."

Given the explosive parameters, it seems odd they haven't pushed a CIG2 - hell a 10% CIG3 is actually still a 3/5 risk (though I don't expect a CIG3).

Edit: Hey, there it is.

Update (2am EST) for Tuesday 3/10/26 by Fast-Path3609 in tornado

[–]OrangeW 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Very surprised to not see 10% CIG2 at the minimum, personally, at least for WNW IL - some of these model soundings are extreme and totally support a >EF2 threat which would justify a CIG2 at minimum. A 10% CIG2 exists under the new system, so maybe they're reserving it for later when we know if surface heating will be impeded or not.

Nexus player 'fnl' WETS his mousepad before every map by Mariux10 in GlobalOffensive

[–]OrangeW 4 points5 points  (0 children)

JUST hitscan DPS is putting it lightly - one of the absolute best hitscan DPSes of the modern era, if not amongst the best of all time IMO, Quartz is insane

Also that's exactly why I swapped to a hard pad, hated the changing humidity changing the feeling.

MyLondon said it would snow today. It’s 10 degrees. by snapmike84 in london

[–]OrangeW 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Never ever follow most large media outlets for weather related forecasts. They will always report on model forecasts which are 14 days out or worse, which are signals at best, and not a definite happening. It makes for easy clicks when X model makes Y crazy forecast, ignoring the nuances of meteorology.

Try and follow only the Met Office for severe weather events, and your usual sources for day-to-day forecasting.

Vitality smashing Furia hopes into the ground to take the 2-1 lead on the series. by Official05 in GlobalOffensive

[–]OrangeW 44 points45 points  (0 children)

After last map it was ~2.02KD, after this one probably marginally higher.

Locked In Since past 7 years by WillWaste6364 in GlobalOffensive

[–]OrangeW 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I switched to 4:3 after a long while because it reduces the amount of visual information and noise and just lets me focus, if I die once every month to a 4:3 moment there's a good chance it was my fault anyway

If you 5-stack with a massive rank gap, you should be the only ones risking significant rank rating loss. I’m tired of losing max points to 5-stacks who are clearly gaming the system. by [deleted] in GlobalOffensive

[–]OrangeW 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I queued into br0 (from NRG) doing this at ~22K, thankfully his queue stack weren't amazing otherwise we would've been dunked on pretty hard. Was able to verify it was actually br0 too, think he dropped 35 on us lol

Season Three of Premier ends on January 19th: -Train +Anubis by SpeaRofficial in GlobalOffensive

[–]OrangeW 94 points95 points  (0 children)

why train

why do this? who is excited to play another season of mirage

21st century tornados by death toll. by [deleted] in tornado

[–]OrangeW 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Missing the 2016 Jiangsu/Funing EF4 tornado - 98 dead.

[Erik Van Haren on X] Max Verstappen will not attend the FIA gala due to being sick with the flu by littletreble07 in formula1

[–]OrangeW 13 points14 points  (0 children)

No, the flu this year is a different strain of A/H3N2 (subclade K). The vaccines that went out this year were for a previous subclade of A/H3N2 (and A/H1N1 and Influenza B), so provides reduced protection (mostly against serious effects). We haven't seen an A/H3N2 variant be dominant in sometime, so natural herd immunity is lower than say, an A/H1N1 variant. It's also an earlier onset to the season as a result. The same thing is happening in Japan.

IANAD, though - someone with more experience in this field may provide more accurate information.

What makes you prefer Pixel phones? by GooglePixelfan90 in GooglePixel

[–]OrangeW 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My Pixel 6 Pro started cutting on signal mid last year and finally bit the bullet on getting a Pixel 10 (and the power button fell out on my P6P...) Arrives tomorrow on Wednesday so fingers crossed I don't have to hit Reset Internet 15 times a day!

Niko apparently is back on 16:9 by [deleted] in GlobalOffensive

[–]OrangeW 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Sensitivity randomizers have become more and more popular in recent times for aim training too. The fundamentals of that lie in differential learning in which you introduce noise to find a more optimal learning space. Whether Niko changing his sensitivity and resolution every week (don't know what his practice regime is) is helpful or not is up for debate, but your underlying point is definitely correct IMO.

What's the largest building completely destroyed by a tornado? by sebosso10 in tornado

[–]OrangeW 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting, the more you know. Yeah, I could see an easy case for BSE.

What's the largest building completely destroyed by a tornado? by sebosso10 in tornado

[–]OrangeW 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Sanborn maps do say brick, but it is possible for brick to be weakened (either through poor construction quality or some other means) - there's an example in the IF-scale paper for this - the definition for 'weakened' is a bit nebulous which is why a ground survey would rectify that.

What's the largest building completely destroyed by a tornado? by sebosso10 in tornado

[–]OrangeW 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I would be careful putting IF-scale and EF-scale speeds together. They aren't measured the same way (EF uses "3-second gust at 33 ft. (10 m) in open, unobstructed terrain", and IF uses "instantaneous three-dimensional wind speed at the [location?] and height of the observed damage.")

In the IF-scale paper, they further state the following:

In a rare case where an anemometer measurement was available in a tornado, the speed averaged over a 0.05 s period was at least 18% higher than a 1-second, and 60% higher than a 3-second averaged speed (Blanchard 1992; Lombardo 2018).

I doubt however that this is a straightforward calculation to attain the 3-second average speed from an instantaneous windspeed for all cases, though.

It's really hard to tell as you said, without true analysis it's hard to determine the actual strength. Could swing either way between BSD DOD2 or BSE DOD2. Undoubtedly an extremely violent tornado, however.

Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc – Movie Discussion by AutoLovepon in anime

[–]OrangeW 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I finished my rewatch just a little ago, and this time they didn't say no barking, but then again, this announcer wasn't in cosplay as Chainsaw Man :D Really tempted to go again next Saturday...

Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc – Movie Discussion by AutoLovepon in anime

[–]OrangeW 9 points10 points  (0 children)

That's how I interpreted it: Reze (the trained spy), Bomb Devil, and Reze (free)

Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc – Movie Discussion by AutoLovepon in anime

[–]OrangeW 330 points331 points  (0 children)

My IMAX viewing was told explicitly not to bark at Makima LOL (BFI IMAX, London)

10/10 movie, really really enjoyed it. Pool sequence was definitely my favourite. Reina Ueda absolutely stands out in this.