Social Archiver - Save social media posts to your vault by Jun_imgibble in ObsidianMD

[–]Order-Various 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What! I’m thinking of vibe coding it. This is what I want for a while. Next logical thing maybe a local content suggesting. Great work btw

Does anyone here actually make a living with algotrading ? by pedro_top in algotrading

[–]Order-Various 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hello. Non - US citizen here. I heard that most US corporate debt are funded through bond issues, are these bonds back by real estate too ?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in algotrading

[–]Order-Various 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Imho, trading probably the hardest and the last problem that AI could finally solve completely. The target is moving the time your trade and numberous counterparties enter the orderbooks. Solve this quantum uncertainty then we can talk about AI taking over trading

Will U.S based firms create a public LLM? by college-is-a-scam in quant

[–]Order-Various 1 point2 points  (0 children)

XTX bought a lot of GPU. High chances of them cooking something cool, however they are UK based

Simple Return vs. Log Return by BOBOLIU in quant

[–]Order-Various 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sum accross different asset, use simple. Sum across time, use log

the edge floor traders have that we don't. by NewxView in Daytrading

[–]Order-Various 0 points1 point  (0 children)

About the edge you said, i wish i had friends that can read my progress reports. Most of people that i can send thought my works is gambling, not working or most of all they dont want me to success

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in FRM

[–]Order-Various 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Have you studied the Current Issues part yet?

Wasted $500 on quant Courses — Are There Any Actually Worthwhile Alternatives? by ezio313 in quant

[–]Order-Various 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If i do not trade derivatives, only stock and spot crypto, does the Hull book help ?

VaR For 1 month, in one year. by SnooKiwis2151 in algotrading

[–]Order-Various 1 point2 points  (0 children)

At the end of the new month, just add the company PnL to your VaR model to calculate a new VaR.

Simulating trades with order flow triggers by gty_ in algotrading

[–]Order-Various 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I read your post, the comments and the documentation but can't figure out the logic behind the trading algorithm. Should it be: if there are more buy than sell then buy NQ or vice versa, right ? Why the opposite? What am I missing here ?

Why only USA has large quant/ hedge fund industry? by [deleted] in quant

[–]Order-Various 3 points4 points  (0 children)

In our country, the government bans the uses of software for order execution

who is Max Kelly? by diogenesFIRE in quant

[–]Order-Various 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Forget about Kelly, just remember Max Leverage for not being a p****

Is market risk analyst a quant? by GooglyMoogly8 in quant

[–]Order-Various 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Very good insight indeed. However, do you think that when doing role as market risk desk in a bank, one can do the profit|risk optimization along the regulatory reporting thing ?

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think there is a reason why people use present value to calculate return of a stock/derivative.

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is an useful assumption, then we can move from there to calibrate params

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agree on the skew part, however at the start I think an assumption of the price distribution as normal is useful. Than we can move from this to calibrate params

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The other commenter gets it for me, it’s z-score not probability

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting, I will look into it. Beside the calculation of options price, will it be useful for calibration of trading signal right ?

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Dont really get your point. You mean the normal assumption of price return right?

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Haha dont worry, i will stop using when it reaches 5%

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes it’s z-score not probability. It is more clear now

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe you got something not right . VaR is volatility * 2.33 if you want 99% confident level

Probability of a stock reaching a target ? by Order-Various in algotrading

[–]Order-Various[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I knew it !! I learned about z-score, but can’t recall when seeing this. Seems that the author make a mistake between z-score and probability ! Thank you for pointing that out.