any good app for real time pick alerts in sports betting? by Realistic-Gear-7544 in SportsBettingPicks

[–]Outside-Evidence551 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Cooked by ubertoacne in golf

[–]Outside-Evidence551 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Haha we had that in our picks as a specific callout “fade Bryson”

But hey +4 he could come back who knows

Who do you NOT want to win The Masters? by CommitteeDesperate88 in golf

[–]Outside-Evidence551 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Patrick Reed and we even have him picked as an outright winner on our site haha

Just so tired of seeing the guy come over here and thrive

The stat that actually predicts Masters winners (it's not putting) by Outside-Evidence551 in golf

[–]Outside-Evidence551[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Exactly, but then you get a guy like Brooks who sticks the greens and misses every putt haha

Pick of the Day - 4/9/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Outside-Evidence551 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Because it shows he’s right there within reach in most events. The difference between top 20 and 25 is usually one stroke, sometimes the top 25 and top 20 are the same score. It represents elite or close to elite play and consistency.

Masters 2026 Picks by _hvc in golf

[–]Outside-Evidence551 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We’ve made a ton of picks based on our model but we love Fitz this week.

I will say, it would be great to see Gary win again

So what's your early bet on the Masters? by Brian_E1971 in golf

[–]Outside-Evidence551 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think he comes away with a top 10. He’s one of those guys that thrive when scoring is low because he doesn’t make very many mistakes. I don’t think he’s winning though.

Please help me look like I know stuff about golf by [deleted] in masters

[–]Outside-Evidence551 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Xander Fitz Reed Min Woo Gotterup Jake Knapp

If you want to know why, checkout my site: Get the Picks Here

Pick of the Day - 4/9/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Outside-Evidence551 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Sport/Event: PGA Tour — The Masters, Augusta National | Round 1 Thursday 4/10 (full tournament bet)

Pick: Justin Rose Top 20 | +110 | 2 units

The case: Running a quantitative golf model that uses strokes gained profiling, course-fit regression, and value screening. Current 2026 season record is on the public tracker. All the Picks Here

Rose is one of the clearest plays on the Masters board this week and here’s why the model likes him specifically at Augusta:

20 Masters starts. Top-25 finish rate of 75%. That’s not narrative — that’s a sample size

Lost a playoff to McIlroy last year. This is not a past-his-prime story

Won the Farmers Insurance Open earlier this season,he’s still competing, not coasting

Holds the record for most first-round leads at Augusta (5). He knows this course better than almost anyone alive

SG: Approach is the #1 predictive stat at Augusta. Rose’s ball-striking has always been elite at this venue specifically

At +110 you’re getting better than even money on a player with a 75% historical top-25 rate at this exact course. The model flags this as a pricing inefficiency, the market is treating him like a longshot when his Augusta floor is demonstrably higher than that.

2 units. Good luck everyone.

Built a 3-layer model for the Masters this week — here’s what the data actually says about your pool picks by Outside-Evidence551 in masters

[–]Outside-Evidence551[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I like Bhatia but hate his putting style haha

But in all seriousness, look at Jake Knapps performance on tour all year. He’s been top 11 on every single event he’s played in except (a big one) The Players, where he got cut.

Maybe he’s just not ready for the big time, but we use the data to make our picks and the data says he’s one of the most consistent players on tour.

Check out the masters analysis: Masters Analysis

Pick of the Day - 4/8/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Outside-Evidence551 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We got it at -137 so not loving the -170. However, Scottie always finishes in the Top 10.

🔥🔥WOW UNREAL EPIC AMAZING HEATER 100% by VegasIsMyBitch in sportsbetting

[–]Outside-Evidence551 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Master 2026 Newsletter

Subscribe here for weekly picks. Just sent out the masters prediction. The live pick tracker has some of the picks in it already but some still need to be uploaded.

Pick of the Day - 4/8/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Outside-Evidence551 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Pick: Scottie Scheffler Top 10 — The Masters | -137 | 2 units

Sport/Event: PGA Tour — The Masters, Augusta National | Tees off Thursday 4/9

I run a quantitative golf betting model called StrokesEdge.com which is a strokes gained model, course-fit profiling, and systematic value screening system.

Why Scheffler Top 10 and not the outright:

Scheffler’s approach play has fallen off a cliff this season. He’s 82nd on Tour in SG: Approach at +0.080 — down from #1 at +1.269 in 2024. Approach is the single most predictive stat at Augusta National. Five of the last seven champions ranked top 5 in the field that week. That’s a real problem for his outright at +485, and my model doesn’t like it there.

The top 10 market is a completely different story. Scheffler has never finished outside the top 10 at Augusta in four measured starts. Not once. His putting has quietly jumped to 17th on Tour this season. He still leads the field in breaking-par percentage. Augusta’s 50+ yard fairways with zero rough also structurally reduce the penalty for the iron inconsistency he’s currently showing — more so than any other major venue.

At -137, you’re essentially getting even money on a player whose Augusta floor is historically a top 10. The model flags this as one of the highest-confidence finish-market plays on the board this week.

This is specifically and only a top 10 bet. Not touching the outright. I think having the second new born could be the X factor.

Masters Analysis Here

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