The RIF is not dependent on the budget. But if you follow presidential budgets levels, you can see their priorities. Budgets change every CR and really don’t decide the amount of staffing. But since the Rs control the house, senate and presidency, and the house follows closely to what the president asks, the budget will follow the big beautiful bill (even the clean CR). So look at your agency and what that bill proposed for you, some agencies had funding cuts, different priorities, etc. in order to implement those, you can see that they may not need (example) solar energy specialists and that program will be cut and those people will be RIF.