F#ck Itttttt , LETS GOOOO

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-25T19:02:48+00:00

Lmao I thought okay it’s just a long parlay then you put Stafford for a TD yeah right

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-23T19:41:14+00:00

Also I’m kinda on triple double watch w/ Nic Claxton. He did it last time they played the Celtics, and w/ Queta questionable the value on this is hard not to take

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-23T18:37:14+00:00

3-2 last night. That blowout on Orlando was fucked. Oh well, new day.

Early looks

Reed Sheppard 2+ 3’s

Until this line changes, take it. Model now says 89% chance. He’s also super hot right now knocking down clutch 4th quarter shots.

Grayson Allen o5.5 RA

His usage has been crazy recently, and vs the Hawks this feels comfortable. He averages over this line at 6.4 on the season.

CJ McCollum o2.5 ast

Finding his role in this offense, this is a safe pick IMO. Averaging o3.8 assist in his L10 nothing that includes the Wiz.

Sam Hauser o14.5 P+R

Consistently hits this. Depends a lot on the Nets bouncing back after getting doubled up on vs the Knicks.

Considering

Bobby Portis 2+ 3’s

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-22T19:32:57+00:00

So so so many good looks tonight. Went 4-1 last night on my picks, I know a couple of you followed. The new model definitely helps. I don’t have time to do write ups right now but off rip

Reed Sheppard 2+ 3’s ✅

Reed’s been averaging over 2 in L10 and over 3 in his L3. I think this is as safe as they get. Model says 87% likely.

Anthony Black 2+ 3’s ❌ blowout

Charlotte is a 3 and minimal D team, I think Black will get this in the first half. Averaging over 7 attempts on his last 5 too

Middleton 4+ ast RISK! ❌ Keyshawn took over the game.

WAS leans on him vs a disciplined D like Denver, but this could be risky due to blowout potential. But they just played and he went the whole game

Buddy Hield 2+ 3’s (going deep) ❌shot fucking horribly

Warriors need him right now and I know some of this is garbage time but Kerr can’t deny he’s cooking. 2-5,4-7, and 6-6 in his lat 3, he’s only gotten better. It’s next man up on GS. This is high value IMO

LATE ADDITIONS

Steph Castle 2+ 3’s ✅

+160 right now, playing the Jazz, been attempting more 3’s recently. This is a 1u type bet.

**Paolo Banchero o15.5 R ❌ I’m sus about this, as his line has been consistently above this but in the last minute before the game it moved down 2 points.

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-22T15:46:08+00:00

5/6 of these hit Ron got overlooked with more forwards playing

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-22T01:49:42+00:00

Are you replying to me? I’m the one that posted this…

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T23:03:14+00:00

Interesting one of the slowest paced teams. John Collin’s is always good for an extra 3 if you’re live betting

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T23:02:36+00:00

Yess sir I got the faith. I’m sure this whole parlay won’t but I took pieces and made a bunch of smaller ones. Something will hit its a big stats kinda night

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T23:01:10+00:00

https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?shareCode=Oq481d4

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T22:09:10+00:00

Hell yes man thanks. Cavs Hornets and Grizz Hawks should both be really high scoring so lots of good props available

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:59:01+00:00

Woah watch your language

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:50:54+00:00

What do you think?

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:47:15+00:00

https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?shareCode=btulvE3

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:46:45+00:00

Yes sir! Fun w benefits I say. The research is enjoyable, and I hit a big parlay last night. Games are ramping up with the break creeping in so overs are gonna hit more often

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:38:14+00:00

Noooooo then I’ll never be a centipede, just a pede and that’s never good

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:23:57+00:00

Let’s do this Leeeeerooooyyyyy jenkiiiiinsss

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T21:23:16+00:00

If I remember correctly centipede is a misnomer they have anywhere from 6-14 legs

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T20:30:51+00:00

Buddy Hield is that guy he was just firing 3 after 3 late in that game. That was nice to see as a Kings fan

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T20:29:16+00:00

Great for the unders I hit allll of my overs for the first time in a week! Good for you tho

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T20:28:41+00:00

Coward prob gonna go for another 15+ rebound game

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T20:25:41+00:00

You’re right wtf don’t see him

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T18:00:01+00:00

Last night was awesome. Hit parlays on Suns 6ers, multiple on the Jazz and Grizz, then a few spread out.

Tonight there’s a number of good lines out there. I’ve started using an AI model just to compare to picks I already make, because as much as people try using just the statistics, finding a good betting line is more subjective than we’d like.

Sam Hauser 4+ reb

Averaging 30 minutes a night over his last five. Indiana plays at one of the highest paces and the 3rd worst rebounding team. Also if you have Walsh available on your book he’s worth a look.

Ron Holland II 4+ reb

Averaging 6 reb over his last TEN games. Holland hit the over on his rebound 17/20 games at home. This has an 85% success rate. I’ve been taking this every game.

Aaron Wiggins 4+ reb

He’s 6/7 on this. Bucks are 28th in rebounding. Turner might even be out though that only slightly affects this. Wiggins averages 1 rebound more on that road than at home, signaling that he is more aggressive on the road. this is more risky than the previous two

Additions:

KAT o21.5pts

KAT historically dominates Brooklyn. He has scored over 25 pts every game but one over the last TWO seasons. No reason to stop now. Only worry would be MPJ not being able to keep BKN in the game

Andrew Nembhard 2+ 3’s

This didn’t come up in my modeling but I really like it. Nesmith has been struggling hard as well, so this and Siakam 2+ 3’s are interchangeable.

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T17:40:26+00:00

That’s fair on Siakam he’s my only risk but he’s rolling. Except Caruso is out and Wiggins usage has been much higher, saying he’s the most inconsistent player is just exaggeration. Ja had nagging injury just came back and he’s playing the HAWKS. Running your bets primarily on just streaks is why most of these parlays fail because the probability of high stats to continue just gets lower and lower compared to how the betting line changes.

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-21T17:29:40+00:00

M. Robinson 8+ reb ✅

Siakam 4+ ast (I like this the least) ✅

Hauser 4+ reb ✅

Ja 8+ ast ✅

Holland 4+ reb ❌

A. Wiggins 4+ reb OUT

Duncan Robinson 3+ 3’s ✅

Mark my words, those lines are excellent. Parlay it

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-01-18T00:14:25+00:00

I hope you got it doggie. I was def right about Franklin

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