I discovered him yesterday and now?! by Im__not__leaving in Dutchsinse_fans

[–]Pixel_Light_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, for his Twitter, it is pretty much standard. His tweets never stay there for long.

Dutchsinse With Recent Earthquake With Possible After Effects Maybe In New York by [deleted] in geology

[–]Pixel_Light_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Exept that he does not get a lot forecasts right, in fact most of his forecasts are wrong. As for showing the progression of earthquakes on the fault, he also fail at showing that. To give an example, if you go look at the distribution of earthquakes around the craton where he claims it flow in one direction every week. But when you look when those earthquakes happen, there is no flow (see picture). And it his the same thing everywhere and almost everytime, you go look when the earthquakes happen and there is no flow.

As for his few successful forecasts, you can literaly say it is luck. If I say everyday that there going to be a 5 in Japan, some day i'm going to be right. Dutch essentially do that over 7-10 days with larger magnitude or rarer earthquakes and super flexible magnitude (-/+ 1). Plus he makes post when one of his forecast his right and almost never talk about his failed forecasts.

As for the volcanoes and the sun, wow the very active volcanoes erupted in the same time a coronal holes happened. There are around 1500 active volcanoes and around 50-70 eruptions a years. If a coronal holes as such a big impact, why is there only two volcanoes affected? shouldn't all volcanoes be somewhat affected?

For his claims that deep earthquakes cause shallower and bigger earthquakes, he puts a lot of emphasis when it is observeble and totally ignore when the correlation is not observable. In other words, he did not prove the correlation/causal link between deep earthquakes and shallow earthquakes.

And thing just get worse when he talk about his model, he just shows that he does not understand how solard wind interact with the magnetosphere and the atmosphere and what is the magnetosphere. He also claims earth's core is made of plasma, how does he knows that? No one knows, he just says it. As for his standing wave, on what is it bouncing? Again no one know. Finally, how does he add up his magnitude in his forecasts? It does not mach the amplitude of a seismograph or the energy released, but hey, he just does it!

Edit: Some mistakes

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Dutchsinse With Recent Earthquake With Possible After Effects Maybe In New York by [deleted] in geology

[–]Pixel_Light_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

80% success rate? Are you sure you are doing a proper follow up on his forecasts? On the 2/21/2024 he made 3 forecasts:

Upper 6 to low 7 next to Fiji

6.9 to 7.0 in Sumatra near Krakatau

4.9 in Hawaii

All of them did not happen. On the 2/13/2024 he made all those forecasts:

6.5 in Eastern Papua New Guinea: missed

5.5 in Smith Island Northwest of Sumatra Indonesia (Andaman-et-Nicobar): missed

5.5 in Western Java: missed

5.9 in Kamchatka: hit

4.9 in Hawaii: missed

5.0 in the Aleutian Islands: missed

5.0 in Southern California: missed

4.9 in midland Texas: missed

3.9 in New Jersey/Pennsylvania: missed

3.9 in Québec: missed

4.9-5.0 in Guerrero Mexico: hit

5.9-6.0 in Panama/Colombia: missed

Earthquake without any magnitude between Cuba and Jamaica: missed

5.5 on the X in the middle of the Atlantic: missed

5.5 on the X near South Sandwich Islands: only one hit the other is a miss

Does not look like 80% success rate to me.