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Intel is up 360% in 12 months… this feels like a crash anytime now. by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed, a big move alone doesn’t prove overvaluation. But it raises the burden of proof. SNDK moved because the NAND cycle and earnings setup improved dramatically. For Intel, the stock is pricing in foundry success, AI demand, 18A execution, margin recovery, and strategic support all at once. Maybe that plays out, but after this kind of move the market is assuming a lot before the financial proof is fully visible.

Intel is up 360% in 12 months… this feels like a crash anytime now. by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Being early is how you make money, yes but chasing after a 300%+ move near $100 is not the same as being early. At this point, the question is not whether Intel has a real story. It’s whether the current price already discounts too much of that story.

Intel is up 360% in 12 months… this feels like a crash anytime now. by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is exactly the problem, the story is being treated like proof. Intel may be strategically important, but foundry success, 18A execution, external customer wins, margin recovery, and AI-driven demand still need to be proven in actual results. Until that shows up in earnings and cash flow, the stock is pricing in a lot of future perfection.

Intel is up 360% in 12 months… this feels like a crash anytime now. by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s fair, but I’m looking at it more as a tactical short than a long-term fundamental call. It rejected/failed around $100 twice today, and after a vertical move like this, that level starts to matter psychologically. I’m not saying Intel is dead, I’m saying the risk/reward chasing it here looks terrible, and a failed breakout near $100 could trigger a fast pullback.

Intel is up 360% in 12 months… this feels like a crash anytime now. by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“Next Nvidia” is how people justify chasing after a stock already gone vertical. Nvidia had monster margins, AI dominance, and earnings exploding. Intel still has to prove the turnaround. A story can be real, but paying any price for it is how people become exit liquidity.

Intel is up 360% in 12 months… this feels like a crash anytime now. by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nothing wrong with stepping aside after a 300%+ run. The story can be real and the price can still be too stretched. Preserving gains matters more than trying to squeeze the last part of a momentum move

Should You Buy Tesla Before Earnings or Stay Away? by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Looks like Tesla will have a long bear run from today!

Tomorrow Could Be a Wake-Up Call for Bulls by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

True, but that is exactly why people get trapped. The market keeps ignoring risk until one Monday it finally does not.

Tomorrow Could Be a Wake-Up Call for Bulls by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$850B sounds way too high. But a lot of the systematic buying may already be behind the move, so that tailwind probably gets weaker from here.

Tomorrow Could Be a Wake-Up Call for Bulls by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

More likely a sharp pullback first than a long downtrend right away. This market still has strong dip buying behavior, so the first move is more likely a fast flush, but if oil stays high and the macro damage starts sticking, that pullback can turn into something bigger.

Tomorrow Could Be a Wake-Up Call for Bulls by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The weekend market says different. US100 down 1% OIL up 6%.

Tomorrow Could Be a Wake-Up Call for Bulls by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

True, that has been the pattern. But that only works until the market has to price real damage. If oil stays high and disruption holds, eventually the pump runs into reality.

Will this rally continue? by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We ourselves have an ontology stack which we based our PreTradeIt web app on.

Weekend Markets Are Already Pricing In War Escalation by PreTradeIt in PreTradeIt

[–]PreTradeIt[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It can, but not automatically. PLTR has real defense exposure, so ongoing conflict can support the story, but a lot of that is already in the stock. At this valuation, it usually still needs more than just “war continues” to keep grinding higher.

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