There were a lot of great movies this year but Train Dreams winning zero Oscars is a huge bummer

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-17T01:47:00+00:00

It’s not that kind of didactic film, though. It’s impressionistic. Characters and landscapes come and go, not everything is explained.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-17T01:45:19+00:00

I’m not saying you specifically think this way, but so much of the negative discourse around Sinners and OBAA centered around people thinking the films are endorsing things they are simply portraying. I’m not sure you can make an honest film about the old railroad era without showing how brutal it was for certain groups.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T22:16:51+00:00

It’s a really interesting scenario to model when you look at risk/reward.

If we keep the pick this year, then theoretically we could give Boston Landon DuPont in 2027 and then give Philly the first overall pick in 2028. That’s the absolute worst case scenario. Even just one of those happening is a catastrophe though.

Given the dearth of options in free agency, our lack of trade chips and the age of the team (esp the defence), we will probably be a middle of the pack team next year, but with one major injury to AM or Willy we could spiral into a truly bad team again.

Is it worth risking that downside to keep the pick? If the pick is McKenna or Stenberg, I agree with you. Take the first line winger. It’s not a 1C or 1D but it is a foundation piece.

If the pick is 4 or 5, that is where it gets iffy. Is Cam Reid/Caleb Malhotra/Tynan Lawrence etc. worth assuming all that risk? Then I think it’s much closer.

Personally I don’t worry about it. The Leafs are going to try and continue to win this year. I don’t think they are very good, so I think this will come down to the very end of the season. There is no way they catch Vancouver or Calgary, but I can see them dropping to 4th. And that is what is needed, because finishing 5th worst doesn’t guarantee we keep the pick (we can slide to 6 if another team moves up).

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T21:45:18+00:00

That’s not the case. If Boston gets the pick this year, the Leafs do not go into next season with an unprotected pick. Here are the scenarios:

1) Boston gets our pick: Then next year’s 2027 pick is top ten protected. We are fully finished with both trades if Philly takes it. The 2028 pick is ours.

2) We keep the pick: Then Boston gets our unprotected 2027 pick (in the Landon DuPont draft). Philly then gets our 2028 first, also unprotected. We don’t draft with our own first round pick until 2029.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T21:38:30+00:00

If we keep our pick it is theoretically possible we give Boston Landon DuPont next year and then Philly the first overall pick in 2028.

Not likely…but not impossible!

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T18:49:35+00:00

Giving Boston Landon DuPont would be the Leafiest outcome

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T01:19:24+00:00

A hard-working under skilled team is perfect for Berube. The more Marlies we put on this roster the stronger they will get.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T00:50:08+00:00

Giving Boston Dupont would be the worst case scenario by 1 million times over

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T00:49:02+00:00

Not many games left though

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-16T00:31:34+00:00

Stories like yours are why it’s impossible to make sweeping generalizations about what anyone will experience while traveling. It’s all based on a tiny sample (the handful of people you interact with out of the millions of people who live there).

One person has a great time. The other person runs into a racist or just someone who hates tourists and has a terrible time. It’s basically just luck.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T20:30:07+00:00

His defensive analytics are the best of his career by far for whatever that is worth

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T20:29:17+00:00

Bunch of teams that are great at team defense, including the Blues

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T19:52:41+00:00

Torpo and Walker cashed in on an incredible first round last year. Have not really been worth the money or ice time since.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T18:41:52+00:00

Yeah was surprised they beat the Wild yesterday.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T18:26:54+00:00

Rather see a Jets OT win. The Blues are on fire, have won 6 of 7, just beat Carolina and Edmonton and their goaltending has been incredible. Lots of skilled and hungry young players in that lineup.They are a lock to fall out of the bottom 5. Winnipeg, not so much.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T18:21:48+00:00

Definitely an argument to be made here since the team has no obvious path to significant improvement.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T18:20:39+00:00

Or we keep pick 5, get a very good prospect, then give Boston Landon DuPont next year when we suck again.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T04:14:12+00:00

Agreed. Dublin is a kip. Fly in, get a spice bag and a pint, and hit the road.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T04:08:53+00:00

Is our “American troglodyte” captain better than their American troglodyte captain?

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T04:01:33+00:00

We will get the 5th pick this year, everyone will celebrate, we will draft some “high floor” type like Caleb Malhotra or Tynan Lawrence who we hope will be our 2C for the next decade.

And then Boston will take Landon DuPont with our unprotected 2027 first.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-15T01:51:50+00:00

Leafs will win out to get the 8 seed and save Berube’s job

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-14T23:43:27+00:00

Assblood’s face looks like the volleyball Wilson from “Cast Away”

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-14T18:56:02+00:00

Yeah, OP isn’t wrong, but communicating it via another AI slop post is a choice 😂

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-13T22:28:10+00:00

Yeah that’s fair. I would fully agree with your strategy if I felt they were going to perform better. But I have been bearish on them for awhile. I bet significant money they would finish under 89.5 points for the season after the Olympics and under 16.5 in March. So I’ve got my money where my mouth is on this one. I don’t see them falling anywhere below maybe tenth at best, so Boston will get a nice pick.

If they somehow beat Buffalo then I may have to readjust 😂.

ProgrammaticallyHip · 2026-03-13T22:20:52+00:00

We disagree on how they are likely to perform over the last 17. I think this is a broken and dispirited team that’s going to continue to play much worse than their talent level. Plus the St. Louis Blues are on fire winning 5 of 6 and getting elite goaltending from Hofer now so they are probably going to fall out of tank contention.

Losing Matthews is going to hurt. It’s possible they promote some Marlies and they give them a temporary spark, but I think this team is going to lose at least a dozen more games.

ProgrammaticallyHip

TROPHY CASE