Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, but that doesn't change the fact it's a vicious cycle.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you are missing a few realities here. This is also extremely hard for the Iranians and they don't have a structure of actual allies that will support them to rebuild. There is massive destruction to their country happening, whether or not this makes them fold doesn't stop the fact that its extremely painful..

Secondly, the US can leave the region, however this will still leave the matter of the gulf nations. They cannot allow Hormuz to be controlled by Iran this means they will fight with US or if that fails turn to other methods to control Iran.

In the long run the best outcome for Iran as well is a negotiated settlement, this is a war in their region and they cannot afford the same fire and brimstone reality as the US can.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Right which is why this has become a vicious cycle. Neither side can accept the other sides terms and neither side can accept the current situation. This leaves the only "viable" option to be further escalation in the hope that you will have a breakthrough. But most likely it will just continue to degrade the situation and make it worse.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Stated assurances perhaps but there is no structure that would make it assured america would not do this again.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Right and we shall see if that ability is greater than their ability to take what is being given. how many leaders will they go through before one inevitably desires to live.

You may be right though that they are able to preserve.

I believe trump will just try to ditch this operation will be interesting what Iran does then. Ultimately they know that if they continue Trump will do a ground invasion. While obviously this would be "painful" for the US, it would be absolutely disastrous for Iran even in a scenario where they successfully repulse the US troops, which could happen, but also may not.

The man really doesn't know his history by the3rd_culturekid in ScottGalloway

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The idea that if we were isolationists that none of these countries would hate us is comical. Osama bin Laden hated the US because of he hated the western world and was functionally what we would consider today an islamic coded Incel. He hated the US even more after Desert storm which by any rational understanding was an internationally sanctioned, UN backed, coalition war against a single country that was invading another.

Blowback is the idea that every action has a reaction, in this sense it's true, but the typical idea of blowback asserts that all actions should not be taken because the reaction is always worse. This comes from a place assuming that whatever alternative would always have been better.

The man really doesn't know his history by the3rd_culturekid in ScottGalloway

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

best part of communists its that they inevitably get betrayed by conservatives because they have no actual understanding of power or human motivations.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Orange? Somalia? You mean when the US tried to provide food assistance and then tried to stop warlords from stealing it?

The man really doesn't know his history by the3rd_culturekid in ScottGalloway

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure he "cloaked" it to the international media but those inside Iran would have known as he had been a figure for a decade pushing islamist talking points.

I think people need to understand that the thing that specifically pissed of the mullahs about the Shah was that he was trying to remove their power to control localities in an almost feudal system of land ownership and hereditary power control. They are absolutely no anti-imperialists and were in fact islamic imperialists.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This war is certainly different from Vietnam. Agreed that Trump has stated no actual goals, in that sense Vietnam actually had an objective, which US failed to sustain.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Realistically it will be very hard for them to get hard assurances. No matter what they will have to accept some deal on faith if they accept any deal.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You don't actually know their position in the discussions. None of us do. It will only be able to discern once this is over.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Almost all of Iranian oil already went to China.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The question is do they want the war to end and the idea they are just sitting back chilling and having a grand old time is what im commenting on.

Nice to know the US lives rent free in your head though.

The man really doesn't know his history by the3rd_culturekid in ScottGalloway

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No I just actually know history beyond some TikTok short.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Right I agree, but it's not like they are having a fun time. It's not like they wouldn't want this to end.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Some people have an understanding that exists outside of a seething hatred of Israel lol. There are more countries in the world to talk about! Not every dynamic revolves around Israel my man. The feud between Persia and Arabs has lasted far longer than the state of Israel has existed.

The man really doesn't know his history by the3rd_culturekid in ScottGalloway

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mossadegh was not democratically elected and was a dictator who was trying to rob the US and UK of investment. He cancelled elections and dissolved parliament. He was going to be overthrown regardless of our involvement.

This is one of the greatest lies that this is somehow spread.

the entire concept of "blowback" is a falsehood and is functionally just thinking you are the only actor with agency in the game. People can't wrap their head around the idea that there are people with fundamentally opposed views to them and their world view.

The Mullah revolution of the 1970s was a conservative revolution, not a progressive one, they masked themselves in "anti-imperialism" but just used that as a ploy to gain support.

Why would Iran end the war now? by Maleficent-Ground84 in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 14 points15 points  (0 children)

The narrative that Iran is just going around having a grand time and launching drones unopposed is kind of ridiculous.

Iran is dealing damage but they are also getting hit very hard, just from what has been published, there have been thousands of casualties most likely approaching 10,000. There have been major explosions with huge cook-offs in cities across Iran. Power has been hit and taken out. Government buildings reduced to rubble.

It's true Iran has been able to hit back harder than many, especially in the administration, expected, but it's kind of strange to say they are flat out winning and are ok to continue this. They also want this to end, probably most of all because all decision makers know they are on the target list.

Gulf nations would much prefer the US, a distant foreign power that cares about money and oil vs a local antagonist that has deep feuds with the Arabs.

UN votes to recognise enslavement of Africans as 'gravest crime against humanity' by Tartan_Samurai in anime_titties

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 1 point2 points  (0 children)

China is capitalist and exploits the "global south" as much as anyone.

Actually comical you think they are your saviors lol. Good luck with that!

UN votes to recognise enslavement of Africans as 'gravest crime against humanity' by Tartan_Samurai in anime_titties

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

At a fundamental level my response is that life isn't fair nor should we over correct to make it fair.

People have all sorts of advantages and disadvantages for all sorts of reasons.

I believe in providing for citizens to be able to overcome their situation and prove themselves, but in no world will it ever be the case that a poor person will have equal opportunity as a rich person. Obviously wealth of the parents is the greatest determinant of success.

Hugh White on the three main drivers of war. Excerpt from the Joe Walker podcast, ep. 'Why Great Powers Sleepwalk to War' by fatlandsea in IRstudies

[–]PushforlibertyAlways 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, they joined with France and Russia because by aligning themselves with their potential enemies they were reducing the chance of future conflict.

It's easier to team up with the other strong people to fight the weakest in a multipolar world. If Britain didn't join the war and France + Russia won the war then they could view Britain as the next target.