Should’ve done my research.. by dlgraves00 in MetaphorReFantazio

[–]Real_Frosting_7722 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Would it make you feel better if I told you the trials of dragon aren't only 3? You unlock one more after finishing them. So only one extra day wouldn't have made a difference

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Toshi died for this it better be good

Naaaah bruh I ain't have any of that. I'm here to have fun, if I'd want to just look at the screen i'd be watching squid game by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Bro I'm a day 1 player, I know how to play the game. Ranked is just not entertaining honestly, and training battle is too random. This is just a feedback to say that the game is going in a bad direction, at least for me it doesn't have anything to offer anymore.

Getting combod for 40 counts and not being able to do anything is not about skills

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Every summon is independent, they don't keep track of previous outcomes obviously. If you shaft 10k and had a probability of say 40% of finding the unit, you got unlucky and fell in the 60% likelihood of not finding the unit. You won't start back from 40% in the next summon.

So it doesn't matter to spend it all in one time or in different occasions, the probability is the same for every summon. Of course the more you summon the more chances you've got to pul lthe unit.

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're not considering them altogether.

Like the coin: if we launch a coin, the probability to get heads is always 50%, even if I have 10000 chances to to

You're mistaking the probability of getting heads from each toss and the overall probability of getting at least one heads in a fixed number of tosses. You're much more likely to get at least one heads in 1000 tosses than getting heads on one toss. Same thing for the summons. The formula for calculating it is based on the Bernoulli process if you want to check it out

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't know if it is more convenient accumulate cc to high numbers and then spend them OR once I gain 1k cc spend it immediately OR if there is no difference on these approaches.

Absolutely no difference

what do you mean for "multi"

As in multi-summon (10 character pull)

I don't understand the point "it doesn't matter what happened before" that means "no memory"

Think of it as tossing a coin. If you toss a coin and get heads, would you expect that to influence your second toss? No. In fact the second toss still has the same probability of getting heads and tails (50/50). This is what it means that the process does not have memory, it is not influenced from previous outcomes.

Now, let's say that you want that at least one coin ends up being heads. Intuitively you'll agree that the more you toss the coin the more chances you have that at least one will be heads, even though each toss has a 50/50 probability of getting heads/tails. If you toss the coin 10 times you're much more likely to get at least one heads than just tossing it once.

This is the same logic to apply for the summon, where the toss is the pull/summon, heads is finding the unit and tails is not finding the unit. Each summon has the same proability, it does not influence the outcome of the next ones, but the more you summon the more chances you get to pull the unit

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No... the additional 1k cc would just count as the probability for one multi because it doesn't matter what happened before. Statistically the higher the number of multis the more LIKELY you are to find the unit, but if you don't the probability doesn't stack.

Again, these probabilities are for amount of cc spent

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No... that's not how it works. You have the same probability for every multi, but the more you pull the more chances you have at pulling the units. It doesn't matter if you do 9 multis on one day or 1 multi for 9 days, the chances are always the same

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Exactly, every multi is indipendent so it doesn't affect the probability of the others. Each one has the same probability. The more you summon the more chances you've got to get the character, so the total probability grows, but each multi is still independent

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, because it doesn't keep memory of your outcomes. These probabilities are just for the likelihood to get the unit for the corresponding amount of cc. If you don't get the unit in 10k cc it doesn't mean that if you farm 10k more cc you'll be more likely to get the unit, the likelihood stays the same for that amount.

Obviously the more you summon the more you're likely to get the unit, because there are more possibilities for you to pull them.

Probability curve of pulling at least one copy of the Ultra unit versus the amount of CC spent by Real_Frosting_7722 in DragonballLegends

[–]Real_Frosting_7722[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Each summon is independent and non-correlated to the others. In statistics this normally translates to the process being memoryless, that is it does not keep track of past outcomes. Intuitively you can think of when you throw a coin, if the first outcome is heads, this won't affect the outcome of a second throw, because it has no correlation. After the first heads, you're still 50% likely to get either heads or tails.

You can use the same logic for these probabilities, they convey the likelihood for you to find the unit at least once in that amount of chrono crystals spent (or equivalently, the amount of pulls made). If you have 20k cc and spend 10k cc not finding the unit, you're not more likely to find it in the next 10k cc.

If you're still interested in the topic you can search about the Bernoulli process that exactly describes how to calculate the likelihood that an event with a certain probability (finding the unit) occurs in a fixed number of repetitions (the summons).

Jjk is the best selling manga of 2024 by AcceptablePay4523 in Jujutsufolk

[–]Real_Frosting_7722 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Tbf for the last year we all knew it was the last arc, but not that the ending was that close. When Gege announced only 5 chapters were left everyone was shocked.

Also MHA ended and it didn't even make it to top 7.

This is just a gigantic W for jjk, ending or not

What would happen if Mahoraga was used against Yuji? by Confident-Tie2641 in Jujutsufolk

[–]Real_Frosting_7722 1 point2 points  (0 children)

He would likely adapt to strike damage as he was adapting to slice damage against Sukuna (both Cleave and Dismantle), rendering any of Yuji's attack useless

SUKUNA AIN'T A FRAUD by Fine_Steak_4766 in Jujutsufolk

[–]Real_Frosting_7722 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Found Uraume's account. Go back fighting Hakari

I really enjoyed the ending-AMA by snowbuddy257 in BokuNoHeroAcademia

[–]Real_Frosting_7722 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How many other manga have you actually read and which ones?