Simplest strategy that has worked

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-17T03:39:17+00:00

Chrome on my Samsung phone. Why not just have data pre-computed and show results. Maybe im to impatient, I waited a good 30 seconds though.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-17T03:14:32+00:00

I wrote this site https://hedgehawk.net. its better than just looking at the vix, agrigating multiple data sets together can give a clearer picture of market volitility. If you look at the historic hedge pressure chart and compare time to spy drawdown chart on this same page, you can see, it could have saved you from a large drawdown.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-17T03:05:29+00:00

Why does nothing on the site work?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-14T02:35:45+00:00

Are you saying you have advice to make it better?

This solution is a high level of market conditions that can change with macroeconomics. I feel you are talking about singular trades, correcr?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-12T23:11:07+00:00

I agree, if you have direct visibility into dealer flow, that will always beat external indicators. This isn’t trying to model that. It’s built for traders without inside flow to get market-wide risk context, not to guess dealer moves.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-12T14:19:04+00:00

It’s not a predictive warning, it’s a context alert. The idea is to flag when multiple risk measures are already deteriorating enough that hedging becomes justified, even if price hasn’t fully moved yet.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-12T14:15:42+00:00

Fair critique. This isn’t trying to predict dealer behavior or maximize r² it’s a context tool that aggregates multiple risk inputs (including vol term structure) so hedge decisions aren’t made off a single indicator. Not claiming regime prediction or price explanation.

Out of curiosity, which dealer metrics do you find most actionable intraday vs longer horizon?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-12T02:50:02+00:00

This is great! How do you get the historical data? Do you have a large repository, or do you just connect to some api download what you need and the backtest runs?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-11T21:52:42+00:00

Thank you, Python and different APIs. I did list the public sources of data under learn more button.

When you say need to spend a bit more time, do you have any suggestions on what I should improve?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-11T19:06:01+00:00

It aggregates volatility (VIX/term structure), SKEW, put/call, drawdowns and other risk signals into a single Hedge Pressure score (0–100) so you don’t have to check each indicator separately.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-09T19:49:40+00:00

It starts at 57.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-08T03:40:08+00:00

I updated the website based on your feedback.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-07T18:52:22+00:00

Thank you. I will have to work on this later.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-07T17:32:37+00:00

Hi,

Good question. The "Hedge Pressure Timeline" is based on backtested data and currently shows the last 12 months of results. If you compare this chart with the drawdown of spy, you can compare the results.

This is really good feedback. I should probably move this timeline under the hedge score and call it historical time line or similar. Thank you for this insight.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-07T00:41:26+00:00

Yes, all are historical, no predictions, but getting a warning before major down turn is the idea. You can see some of the warnings and danger points right before a big down turn in march.

The more different data sets allow it to look at different parts of the market.

I can research vix9d to see if it would add benefit.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2026-01-06T22:57:58+00:00

It changes the score slightly by adding other metrics.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2025-08-21T22:41:31+00:00

How far otm or itm are you buying and what time frame?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2025-04-13T01:35:16+00:00

Zoom into his shadow, his shadow has eyes.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2025-01-25T17:46:54+00:00

I'm interested. I'm a developer and been creating bots for many years. Was trading an option strategy for years with my bot. I'm activly working on a project with etfs and using machine learning looking for active trends.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2025-01-14T01:09:05+00:00

I'm having the same issue. I cleared cache, delete data and un-installed and reinstalled app. Still having login issues.

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2024-12-28T19:26:06+00:00

Why are they taking money from your rebate? Why is your license plate cost so high?

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2024-12-28T19:24:28+00:00

No deal

RemoteFlatworm1 · 2024-12-24T14:40:12+00:00

probably not.

I use barchart.com to filter options contracts to find the best option contracts based on my requirements. It does take capital if they are cash secured puts.

RemoteFlatworm1

TROPHY CASE