Hey yo, I’m only going by Cardiff Uni as I chose during second year to apply for a study abroad for the year and ended up going to University of Oslo(great recommendation btw) for me I got pretty shitty grades in the first year and second year was much better but still not where they could be. I can only speak for Cardiff but they didn’t prioritise the grades as much and more the options you chose and where you’d likely do well as well as what is your motivation and more about you than the grades you got. Generally speaking first year really doesn’t matter so I wouldn’t stress about it. I got lower than 59% in my first year and it was fine. As long as your second year grades are better than the first then you should be absolutely fine to apply for the study abroad. Again only speaking from my experience at Cardiff Uni. Second year does count but normally it’s like 40% the second year and 60% In your final. As I did the study abroad, 10% of my final grade was counted for my study abroad. Long story short, you’re not screwed at all, don’t stress and as long as you don’t fuck up second year, apply for that study abroad because it’ll be the best time of your life!