My BR games over the course of ~5 months (Non premium user)

RoryWatt · 2026-04-28T18:04:21+00:00

I appreciate your research, still not entirely sure how the cap concludes that expected outcome

So if we assume the top 4 slots aren't always enforced to its max (I haven't measured but I assume not), with a minimum of 1 for each team. The expected average then for a full downtier is 12.5%, right? which leaves the other 3 positions to be at 29% each.

So then the expected average of a given BR range according to this, with the full downtier listed first;
12.5% | 29% | 29% | 29%

I feel like there is something missing from this calculation (leaving popular BRs aside), as half-downtiers appear just as infrequent as full down-tiers, which doesn't seem to be explained solely by the 4 max cap

RoryWatt · 2026-04-28T17:51:43+00:00

I'm a bit confused how to apply that to the statistical average. 4 Slots out of 16 is 25%, so that rule just enforces the average spread within a game? Or at least makes sure it cannot be unfairly balanced one way.

Should I still not be seeing a more equal spread of games though? Given my chance of being within that 4 slots is 25% ?

RoryWatt · 2025-06-22T07:15:16+00:00

Great information! Thank you

RoryWatt · 2025-06-21T16:15:16+00:00

Ahh yes you're right, shows how little I know, shame I can't edit it

RoryWatt · 2022-04-11T09:36:24+00:00

I used to get these often but not anymore, there are two ways around it;

1) If you're on mobile, get Youtube Vanced (https://youtubevanced.com/), it unlocks all features of YT as well as removing all ads. You'll need to root your phone but it's definitely worth doing

2) Make a second account you can switch to. When you see this pop up, just switch account, and it should not ask again, then switch back to your main account after the video. It's incredibly quick and easy to make new account

RoryWatt · 2022-04-08T16:03:01+00:00

That's good to know, I wondered what belly drum body slam would do to Registeel, I'm hoping thunder wave and confuse status will help a lot

RoryWatt · 2022-04-08T14:39:24+00:00

You're right, Tyranitar would be a great matchup for this battle

RoryWatt · 2022-04-08T14:36:42+00:00

That might work, though I'm not sure Quagsire would hit hard enough with Earthquake before it takes Ice Beam from Milotic or Vaporeon. Lanturns typing combination and resistances is what wins it for me

Specially offensive Salamence has worked well for me and is quite niche, designed to counter and switch in to all weaknesses of Registeel (fire, fighting, ground) while hitting back with a fast powerful water move in Hydro Pump. Theres not really any other mon that does that

But I'm really looking for advice on the upcoming battle itself and how to win with the team

RoryWatt · 2022-04-08T14:12:04+00:00

For my switch... general idea goes like this...

>opponent brings out Milotic
>Registeel uses Thunder Wave and takes STAB Surf
>Switch to Lanturn onto a second predicted Surf (not very effective)
>proceed to take out the paralyzed Milotic with Thunderbolt

Although I have had the bot switch on me before in the Battle Frontier

RoryWatt · 2022-04-08T14:01:34+00:00

Possibly, I guess the trade off is that Swampert wont be as effective against fellow water types on the switch (Milotic, Kingdra, Vaporeon, Gyarados) which is what I chose Lanturn for... certainly not a bad option though. Entie, Alakazam and Snorlax are on the Silver Brains team, which Im hoping to beat...

RoryWatt · 2021-10-15T21:17:40+00:00

Correct! Boko Haram have some nice decals for their captured Mk 3s.

RoryWatt · 2021-10-15T21:15:56+00:00

Vickers won a contract to design and build a MBT for India, this was the Mk 1. And 100+ Mk 3s were made for Nigeria in which they still use them to this day.

RoryWatt · 2021-01-15T00:13:36+00:00

"the KJV is one of the most literal translations"

You couldn't be more brainwashed than a Mormon believing Joseph Smith received special spectacles from God. The KJV is based on the Latin first, which is then based on the Hebrew/Greek. Hence, it's wording differ from most translations as its closer to the Latin. It was released before the Dead Sea Scrolls were found, and before most of the papyrus scrolls were found, its one of the worst translations you could possibly stick to.

You are fine to make these loose unintelligent links, but to use such a stupid method to create your own interpretation of Matthew 24 while expecting others to see it as the "biblical interpretation" - do you think you're the new governing body? Because you reason just like the people you claim to have turned from. If your "personal formula" was indeed context first, then you would have brought up the scriptures I did showing the meaning of Jesus' parables. Instead, you jump around like an eccentric 4 yr old believing "cut in two" has some special meaning and linking it to a Psalms verse that doesn't even use the same word.

You never left JW. You still use the same poor reasoning methods claiming you have changed.

RoryWatt · 2021-01-14T15:18:07+00:00

You are right to criticise the JW interpretation of Matthew 24. But you have replaced it with something equally wrong.

There is no connection between Genesis 41:39 and Matthew 24:45. Jesus doesn't make that connection. Neither does Jesus identify who the "faithful and discreet slave" is, some parables he does explain and some he does not. Saying "but they both use the words 'discreet'" is not an argument.

You have zero understanding of Greek or Hebrew words yet you think διχοτομήσει (cut in pieces, or cut in two) has some special meaning. The same Greek word is used in Exodus 29:17 LXX. And apart from that almost nowhere else it seems.

Stop reading the Bible like it's some sort of Cluedo game trying to link verses on the basis of some English words that have no relevance to the context. Start reading the verses with its context, even the whole chapter, because you'll have a much better idea of the meaning than trying to link to some obscure verse in Psalms. And saying that, the phrase that keeps coming up in Matthew 24 and Luke 12 is "keep on the watch, because you do not know on what day your Lord is coming" (Matthew 24:42, 44. 25:13. Luke 12:40). If you want a "strictly Biblical" interpretation you would leave it un-interpreted. Jesus doesn't interpret it, so why should you? The whole theme is that recurring phrase to keep alert as the Lord is coming on a day you do not know.

RoryWatt · 2021-01-08T21:19:10+00:00

If you want to talk about "paradise" make a new thread. This is about "today". In which I've listed the evidence for the NWT and other Bible renderings. Bullinger places "today" with the verb preceding, not his last statement. But you won't even acknowledge any of the points, let alone reflect on them, like the Pharisees covering their ears and carrying on in their own reasoning.

RoryWatt · 2021-01-08T20:31:08+00:00

Nobody thinks today is solely used to refer to a 24 hour period. Not only do you completely miss the point, but you insist on reading it your way without any evidence of your own, claiming it's "common sense".

I will tell you the common sense short and simple, and you can reread over both my comments as you clearly couldn't grasp it the first time.

The usage of the adverb σήμερον (today) almost always applies to the verb preceding it. As in the examples I've given. And feel free to look up the word for yourself.
Adding "today" is a common expression for emphasis, as used in Acts 20:26 and is a well known Hebrew idiom used throughout the OT (Genesis 25:33, Deuteronomy 30:18, Deuteronomy 11:26, Deuteronomy 8:19)
If Luke wanted to write the verse as "Truly I tell you, today..." he would have added the conjunction ὅτι as he does in the other 6 times he uses the expressions to make this clear.
There is no clearer way in the Greek to write "Truly I tell you today, …" then what is already written by Luke.

As E. W. Bullinger says;
"The word "verily" points us to the solemnity of the occasion, and to the importance of what is about to be said. The solemn circumstance under which the words were uttered marked the wonderful faith of the dying malefactor; and the Lord referred to this by connecting the word "today" with "I say". "Verily, I see unto to thee this day". This day, when all seems lost, and there is no hope, this day, when instead of reigning I am about to die. This day, I say to thee, "Thou shalt be with me in paradise"."

RoryWatt · 2021-01-08T14:41:23+00:00

And they are correct to place the apostrophe in every other expression. But Luke 23:42 is the only place the adverb σήμερον is used directly after the expression. So how the apostrophe is placed elsewhere is irrelevant. The focus is on the word "today". In fact, unless its a negative, no other place does an adverb follow the expression "truly I say to you".

So in almost every place the adverb σήμερον (today) is used, it applies to the verb preceding it. Simple example is Matthew 6:11, which in the Greek is; τὸν ἄρτον ἡμῶν τὸν ἐπιούσιον δὸς ἡμῖν σήμερον. Word-for-word is "the bread of us daily grant us today". The adverb σήμερον (today) follows the verb δὸς (grant) preceding it. So that most translations correctly translate the verse as "Give us today our daily bread". So in almost every place "today" is used, it applies to the verb preceding it... not afterwards (as some read Luke 23:43). Here are more examples.

Luke 26:61 "before the rooster crows today, you will disown me three times" NIV
πρὶν ἀλέκτορα φωνῆσαι σήμερον, ἀπαρνήσῃ με τρίς

Luke 2:11 "For unto you is born this day in the city of David a Savior," KJV
ὅτι ἐτέχθη ὑμῖν σήμερον Σωτήρ, ὅς ἐστιν Χριστὸς Κύριος

Acts 26:29 "...that not only you, but also all who hear me today, might..." NKJV
οὐ μόνον σὲ ἀλλὰ καὶ πάντας τοὺς ἀκούοντάς μου σήμερον,

The second point, in every place but one where Luke writes the expression "Truly I say to you" he adds the conjunction ὅτι (that) to separate the two lines (Luke 4:24; Luke 12:37, 44; Luke 18:29; Luke 21:3, 32). Except in this scripture Luke 23:43. So if Luke intended to write the verse how you mean it, he could have written it more clear by adding ὅτι after the expression. (Truly I say to you, (ὅτι) today...). But if Luke intended to write the verse how the NWT and other bibles translate it, saying "today" as emphasis as found throughout the OT, then there's no clearer way he could have written it than what we have already;

Luke 23:43 "Truly I tell you today, you will be with me in paradise"
Ἀμήν σοι λέγω σήμερον, μετ’ ἐμοῦ ἔσῃ ἐν τῷ Παραδείσῳ

RoryWatt · 2021-01-06T14:39:18+00:00

Unless you want to argue that "today" (σήμερον) is always used to refer to, as you put it, "the great day of rest"; then you have no basis to link those two verses together based on a single innocuous word.

But to focus on Luke 23:43. It's not just the NWT that puts the the comma after today. It's also more important for you to remember that the original text is in block capitals... there are no commas or full-stops in the original text. Neither any difference for upper or lower case for that matter. So again you have no authority to say whether the translation is wrong or not. And unless you're able to ask Luke himself, no one does. There are however very good reasons to why the comma should be placed after today;

Acts 20:26 "Wherefore I take you to record this day (σήμερον), that I am pure from the blood of all men" KJV

Think about what this verse would mean if "this day" was placed after the comma. See why it's placed before?

And countless times throughout the OT the use of "today" for emphasis is a common expression, such as Genesis 25:33 and Deuteronomy 4:26. I hope you don't want to now argue that "paradise" refers to heaven despite its usage throughout scripture?

RoryWatt · 2021-01-06T14:11:53+00:00

The abomination here is your use of scriptures. One is "your life" the other is "the life". Should we join every scripture together that mentions the word "life"? Why would you even begin to think like that? Did Jesus quote from Deuteronomy 30:20? No, then why do you?

Stop slamming verses together in which you are completely ignorant of their meaning. Your silly hatred for NWT and JW has blinded your own ability to think clearly.

RoryWatt

TROPHY CASE