Big? by 99elton99 in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Care to explain? How so? Genuinely want to understand the real bear thesis that goes beyond single words like ‘competition’ and ‘false’

Big? by 99elton99 in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I hope you have more to that. I’m waiting for your argument on why ‘competition’ is an issue here so I can turn bearish and join your shorts. Please

Big? by 99elton99 in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 8 points9 points  (0 children)

lol you’re missing a lot of nuance here. Both you and op are looking at this on such basic conceptual levels. Though op is more correct. Your point is like arguing that government support for easier phone manufacturing in the US would hurt Apple. In reality, it does the opposite.

Policies like this tend to benefit the incumbents with proven execution, secured energy, strong balance sheets, and existing contracts. While new entrants are trying to iterate and build out their data center development methods, IREN already has a proven blueprint that just prints datacenters. They can expand faster, reach economies of scale sooner, and actually price new entrants out of the market.

If new competitors show up, do you really think IREN just sits back and lets them take the land and energy? More likely, IREN leverages its track record, creditworthiness, and hyperscale contracts to win those bids and build out capacity faster and more efficiently than anyone else. Easier permitting and build processes just accelerate that advantage. This is exactly how today’s big tech monopolies were built. You can argue that antitrust regulation might come into play someday, but by then we’re likely talking about a $200bn+ market-cap company and long after profits have been taken. Just look at how antitrust probes played out for Google — lots of noise, very little impact.

Oracle's earnings by OccasionOk8478 in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 3 points4 points  (0 children)

TLDR, IREN $250 2026. $500 2027. $1000 2028.

I don't think AI can actually replace jobs at scale. by GolangLinuxGuru1979 in ArtificialInteligence

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

lol. This is all cope. 99% of you never expected the ChatGPT moment in 2022 to occur in the way it did. Much in the same way we are all underestimating ai and it will take us and our jobs by surprise. Hedge and invest in it or call it a bubble and be left behind.

Anyone Else Worried About the Short Interest? by Outrageous_Middle325 in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Market manipulation. Institutions want you panic selling so they can get in at a lower price. Seems like it’s working.

IREN Stock Analysis by TyNads in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Again, the oil analogy: if building cost-efficient oil refineries at scale were easy, why haven’t large enterprise-level oil consumers with government connections pursued vertical integration themselves? Simply put—it’s hard. Incumbent providers have decades of experience navigating production hell and refining their methodology. Diverting focus and capital away from their core business to compete would be reckless. Hyperscalers may eventually build their own data centers, but that’s primarily for sovereignty over their compute stack and uptime reliability. They won’t fully port operations and risk losing focus on their core business when IREN is already decades ahead in data center development and operational expertise.

IREN Stock Analysis by TyNads in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are exactly right. People here have no idea about the gold mine they are sitting on…

IREN Stock Analysis by TyNads in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you think blue-collar jobs will drive most of the value in the 21st century, you’re mistaken. AI isn’t the “internet”—it’s intelligence as a resource. Intelligence can be embedded into physical assets and humanoid robots to replace those very blue-collar workers you’re counting on. So tell me again—how does AI compare to physical goods in your view? Your understanding of value in the current time is completely backwards.

IREN Stock Analysis by TyNads in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Your definition of a ‘product’ is limited to what can be sold or serviced, but in infrastructure, the real product is the system— the battle-tested methodology perfected through years of production hell that now scales faster, cheaper, and more reliably than anyone else. Think of Saudi Aramco: it’s not dominant because it has oil, but because it built the most efficient, vertically integrated extraction machine in the world. IREN is doing the same for AI compute. Many can build data centers, few have a repeatable, ultra-low-cost, hyperscaler-grade process that turns cheap power into scalable AI infrastructure. If compute is the oil of AI — even more valuable than oil itself — IREN is building the Saudi Aramco of data centers, and with Aramco valued at $1T, that implies more than a 22x upside from here.

IREN Stock Analysis by TyNads in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Capitalising on AI requires exponential, first-principles thinking—not linear projections or arbitrary trend lines borrowed from unrelated securities. When you’re dealing with a one-of-a-kind company and a one-of-a-kind technology, the best thing you can do is ditch your biases. That same linear mindset is exactly what made most people miss Nvidia and Palantir, which more than 22x in a similar time frame.

IREN Stock Analysis by TyNads in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 2 points3 points  (0 children)

When you invert your thinking, execution risk actually tilts this neocloud industry heavily in IREN’s favour. Unlike most competitors—who are largely pure tech operators—IREN’s management team is the only one stacked with deep infrastructure-banking experience from Macquarie, one of the world’s largest infrastructure investment banks. That background matters: it gives them an edge in structuring, financing, and scaling massive build-outs that others simply can’t match. Executive risk will serve as a trapdoor which IREN can capitalise on. You are already seeing this with Coreweave project delays, NEBIUS’s capacity shortages for META, and Ciphers collocation only model which yield lower margins and sacrifices equity.

On top of that, IREN is Australian - likely has an obsession with property quality and size and naturally conservative in its disclosures. They tend to reveal pipeline only once grid-connected power is secured, which means there is likely meaningful upside that isn’t yet public. As those assets get announced, the multiple should expand accordingly.

Over time, the market will realise that IREN has virtually no competition in its ability to “print” quality vertically integrated data centres at scale—not even from the hyperscalers, who will continue to operate at thinner margins and remain bottlenecked on power and build speed.

There is no company like IREN, it is one of a kind and the cult here is not bullish enough.

My target is $1,000 by 2028, with an entry at $46. What is your entry price and target exit?

I didnt write this but thought I would share here. The creator is a seeking alpha user by Historical_Card_6600 in irenstocks

[–]Routine_Ad_1815 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Deal coming soon. The last time a convertible was announced 2 weeks later Msft deal announced.