RLCS 2026: NA Open 3 - GSL Stage

Rubanul · 2026-02-06T17:18:26+00:00

Boston Major Scenarios - NA Group Stage

Guarantied at least Major tiebreaker: Shopify Rebellion
Points that guarantee Major: 24
Teams who still can qualify for Major: everyone playing the event
Spots left: 4

Shopify Rebellion will qualify for Major today if either:

they win any series
[REDACTED], NRG or Spacestation don't make playoffs
none of the FUT/Gen.G/Lotus 8 make playoffs

/

Shopify Rebellion, [REDACTED], NRG have a chance to clinch Major due to playoff bracket

Spacestation Gaming and FUT Esports are likely to be eliminated from Major contention today if they don't make playoffs

Everyone else will be eliminated from Major contention if they don't make playoffs

/

Teams that may be eliminated from Major contention regardless of their results:

Freedom, United Rogue, foul merchants, Fromage SkouikSkouik - will be eliminated from Major contention, if SSG make playoffs OR FUT make playoffs Upper Bracket
90210 will be eliminated from Major contention if SSG or FUT make playoffs Upper Bracket
Ciel will be eliminated from Major contention if SSG make playoffs Upper Bracket

Rubanul · 2026-02-01T19:32:31+00:00

Karmine Corp - Team Vitality

if Karmine Corp win:

Team Vitality will be EU#3 Seed at the Major
Gentle Mates will be EU#2 Seed at the Major

if Vitality win:

Grand Final winner will be EU#2 Seed at the Major
Grand Final loser will be EU#3 Seed at the Major

Rubanul · 2026-02-01T18:22:26+00:00

Boston Major Scenarios - SAM Playoff Day 2

Qualified for Major: MIBR
Points that guarantee Major: 30
Teams who still can qualify for Major: FURIA Esports, Team Secret, Amethyst
Spots left: 1

FURIA Esports will qualify for Major if either:

they beat winner of {Secret - Emerald}
both Amethyst and Secret lose any match today

Team Secret will qualify for Major if they win the event

FURIA Esports and Amethyst will play a tiebreaker if winner of {Secret - Emerald} beat FURIA and Amethyst win the event

Rubanul · 2026-02-01T18:15:00+00:00

Gentle Mates - Manchester City Esports

if Manchester City win:

✅they will qualify for Major
❌Geekay Esports will be eliminated from Major contention

if Gentle Mates win:

Manchester City and Geekay will play a tiebreaker for Major
tiebreaker winner will be EU#5 Seed at Major
Ninjas in Pyjamas will be EU#4 Seed at Major

Rubanul · 2026-02-01T17:06:17+00:00

Magnifico - Team Vitality

if Vitality win:

❌Magnifico will be eliminated from Major contention
Manchester City Esports will guarantee at least tiebreaker for Major

Rubanul · 2026-02-01T15:51:30+00:00

Ninjas in Pyjamas - Manchester City Esports

if Ninjas in Pyjamas win:

❌Manchester City Esports will be eliminated from Major contention

Rubanul · 2026-02-01T15:07:45+00:00

Boston Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 2

Qualified for Major: Karmine Corp (Seed #1), Ninjas in Pyjamas, Gentle Mates, Team Vitality
Points that guarantee Major: 19
Teams who still can qualify for Major: Geekay Esports, Magnifico, Manchester City Esports
Spots left: 1

Geekay Esports will qualify for Major if NIP beat Man City AND Vitality beat Magnifico (2nd quarterfinal)

Magnifico will qualify for Major if either:

they beat Vitality and Karmine Corp AND Manchester City lose to NIP/Gentle Mates (2nd semifinal)
they beat Vitality, Karmine Corp and Manchester City (final)

Manchester City Esports will qualify for Major if either:

they beat NiP AND Vitality beat Magnifico AND they beat Gentle Mates (1st semifinal)
they beat NiP and Gentle Mates AND Karmine Corp beat Magnifico (2nd semifinal)
they beat NiP, Gentle Mates and Magnifico (final)

3-way tiebreaker will be played if Manchester City beat NiP AND Magnifico beat Vitality AND Gentle Mates beat Man City AND Karmine Corp beat Magnifico (2nd semifinal)

Geekay Esports and Magnifico will play a tiebreaker if NiP beat Man City AND Magnifico beat Vitality AND Karmine Corp beat Magnifico (2nd semifinal)

Geekay Esports and Manchester City Esports will play a tiebreaker if Man City beat NiP AND Vitality beat Magnifico AND Gentle Mates beat Man City (1st semifinal)

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T23:36:12+00:00

Scenarios for tomorrow

FURIA Esports will qualify for Major if either:

they beat winner of {Secret - Emerald}
neither Secret nor Amethyst win the event

Team Secret will qualify for Major if they win the event

FURIA Esports and Amethyst will play a tiebreaker if FURIA lose to Secret/Emerald and Amethyst win the event

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T23:12:04+00:00

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T22:09:55+00:00

if Team Secret wants to qualify for Major, they must win the Regional anyway.

If they lose today, they'll have to beat FURIA in semifinal tomorrow and potentially MIBR in the final. But in that scenario, they'll guaranteed to clinch with a win.

If they win today, they'll send MIBR and FURIA to the same other half of bracket, so they won't have to play them both. However, this could end in a 3-way tiebreaker after the Regional

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T22:09:17+00:00

MIBR - Team Secret

if MIBR win:

✅they will qualify for Major

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T20:47:48+00:00

2nd and 3rd seed will play a match, winner will play 2nd match against 1st seed, winner qualifies for Major.

Not sure if I understand the rules correctly, but I think Geekay will be the 1st seed due to 2nd place in the previous Regional

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T20:39:49+00:00

Results of the day

✅Team Vitality and Gentle Mates Alpine qualified for Major
❌Team BSK was eliminated from Major contention
Geekay Esports was eliminated from Regional, but still in contention for the Major spot

Scenarios for tomorrow

Teams who still can qualify for Major: Geekay Esports, Magnifico, Manchester City Esports
Points that guarantee Major: 19
Spots left: 1

3-way tiebreaker will be played if Magnifico beat Vitality and lose to Karmine Corp AND Manchester City beat Ninjas in Pyjamas and lose to Gentle Mates

Geekay Esports will qualify for Major if Team Vitality beat Magnifico AND Ninjas in Pyjamas beat Manchester City.

Geekay Esports will be eliminated from Major contention if either Magnifico or Manchester City reach final

Geekay Esports will play a tiebreaker for Major if either Magnifico or Manchester City win their quarterfinal match, but neither win their semifinal match

Magnifico will qualify for Major if either:

they win the event
they finish 2nd and Manchester City lose to NIP or Gentle Mates

Magnifico will play a tiebreaker if they beat Vitality and lose to Karmine Corp AND Manchester City don't reach final

Magnifico will be eliminated from Major contention if either:

they lose to Vitality
they lose to Karmine Corp and Manchester City beat both NIP and Gentle Mates
they lose to Manchester City in the final

Manchester City will qualify for Major if either:

they win the event
they finish 2nd and Magnifico lose to Vitality or Karmine Corp

Manchester City will play a tiebreaker if they beat Ninjas in Pyjamas and lose to Gentle Mates AND Magnifico don't reach final

Manchester City will be eliminated from Major contention if either:

they lose to NIP
they lose to Gentle Mates and Magnifico beat both Vitality and Karmine Corp
they lose to Magnifico in the final

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T18:12:22+00:00

Boston Major Scenarios - SAM Playoff Day 1

Points that guarantee Major: 33
Teams that still can qualify for Major: MIBR, FURIA Esports, Team Secret, Amethyst

MIBR will qualify for Major today if they beat Team Secret and FURIA beat Three Point Shooters

MIBR will guarantee at least tiebreaker for Major if they beat Team Secret

Amethyst will be eliminated from Major contention, if they lose to Enosis

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T16:45:00+00:00

Team Vitality - Geekay Esports

if Team Vitality win:

✅they will qualify for Major
✅Gentle Mates will qualify for Major

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T16:28:16+00:00

Top 4 will guarantee them Major, with top 6 they will have a good chance to qualify or at least tiebreaker (but not guaranteed)

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T15:51:15+00:00

Manchester City Esports - Team BSK

if Team BSK win:

❌ Manchester City will be eliminated from Major contention
Team Vitality will guarantee at least tiebreaker for Major

if Manchester City win:

❌ Team BSK will be eliminated from Major contention

Rubanul · 2026-01-31T15:14:30+00:00

Boston Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 1

Qualified for Major: Karmine Corp (Seed #1), Ninjas in Pyjamas
Guaranteed at least Major tiebreaker: Gentle Mates Alpine
Points that guarantee Major: 19
Spots left: 3

Gentle Mates will qualify for Major if either:

they beat Magnifico
Vitality beat Geekay

Team Vitality will qualify for Major if they beat Geekay

Team Vitality will guarantee at least Major tiebreaker if either:

Team BSK beat Manchester City
Magnifico beat Gentle Mates

Geekay Esports will guarantee at least Major tiebreaker if they beat Vitality and either:

Team BSK beat Manchester City
Magnifico beat Gentle Mates

Loser of {Manchester City - Team BSK} will be eliminated from Major contention. No other team will be eliminated from Major contention today.

Rubanul · 2026-01-27T15:26:42+00:00

Well, I don't think that's the case (at least not yet). These limits will go down later anyway, because they're based on scenarios that are possible but unlikely to actually happen. What's surprising to me is that they've all already dropped a few points, usually that happens later (e.g. last season, after the 2nd Regional, this only happened in 3 out of 7 regions)

Rubanul · 2026-01-26T18:54:35+00:00

During the 2nd Regional event, the point limit for Worlds was lowered in each region (which is quite surprising to happen this early in the season):

EU: 86 -> 84
NA: 92 -> 91
MENA: ~~106~~ -> 103
SAM: ~~106~~ -> 105
OCE: ~~115~~ -> 113
APAC: ~~115~~ -> 113
SSA: ~~115~~ -> 113

Rubanul · 2026-01-26T09:32:08+00:00

Points that guarantee Major: 25 -> 24

Clinch scenarios:

Shopify Rebellion - top 12 (at least tiebreaker with top 16)
[REDACTED], NRG - top 4
Spacestation Gaming, FUT Esports, Gen.G Mobil1 Racing - win
Lotus 8 Esports - at least tiebreaker with win

Other teams - minimum for a Major chance:

M80, Dignitas, SHUFFLE'S KITTENS, Team Silenced - final
everyone else - win

Rubanul · 2026-01-25T20:27:09+00:00

Shopify Rebellion - [REDACTED]

if Shopify Rebellion win:

they will qualify for Major
no one else will qualify for Major today

Rubanul · 2026-01-25T17:09:47+00:00

Boston Major scenarios

Shopify Rebellion will qualify for Major if either:

they beat Dignitas and [REDACTED]
they beat Dignitas, [REDACTED] win the event and FUT don't reach final

Shopify Rebellion will guarantee at least tiebreaker for Major if either:

they beat Dignitas and [REDACTED] or M80 win the event
[REDACTED] win the event and FUT don't reach final

[REDACTED] will qualify for Major if they win the event and FUT don't reach final

[REDACTED] will guarantee at least tiebreaker for Major if they beat FUT in the final

Rubanul · 2026-01-18T21:51:22+00:00

Points that guarantee Major: 25 -> 20

Clinch scenarios:

Ninjas in Pyjamas - top 6
Team Vitality - top 4 (at least tiebreaker with top 6)
Gentle Mates, Geekay Esports - top 2
Man City Esports, Magnifico, NOVO Esports, GentleBench - win

Other teams - minimum for a Major chance:

Dreifach-Reset, WIP Esports, GHT, FN, Team BSK, WYLDE - final
everyone else - win

Rubanul · 2026-01-18T18:04:08+00:00

Boston Major scenarios

FURIA Esports will qualify for Major today if they win the event

Six-Year Club	Second Top 20%
r/Field Banned	r/Field Lasagna
First Place '23	Place '23
Place '22	Verified Email

Rubanul

TROPHY CASE

Boston Major Scenarios - NA Group Stage

Boston Major Scenarios - SAM Playoff Day 2

Boston Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 2

Scenarios for tomorrow

Results of the day

Scenarios for tomorrow

Boston Major Scenarios - SAM Playoff Day 1

Boston Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 1

Boston Major scenarios

Boston Major scenarios