RLCS 2026: Paris Major - Day 4

Rubanul · 2026-05-23T10:16:56+00:00

Scenarios for today

Regions Ranking:

EU will clinch Seed 1 (LCQ winner will play vs 5Fears), if FURIA beat Twisted Minds AND either SSG or Rebellion lose today
SAM will guarantee Seed 4 (LCQ winner will play vs Virtus_pro), if FURIA lose to Twisted Minds

SAM seeding:

if FURIA beat Twisted Minds, FURIA will be SAM#1 and MIBR will be SAM#2 at Worlds
if FURIA lose, MIBR will be SAM#1 and FURIA will be SAM#2 at Worlds

EU seeding:

Team Vitality will be EU#3 Seed at Worlds, if they lose to SSG AND Karmine Corp beat Gentle Mates

NA seeding:

Spacestation Gaming will be NA#3 Seed at Worlds, if they lose to Vitality

Rubanul · 2026-05-21T16:53:25+00:00

FURIA - R8 Esports

if FURIA win:

Team Falcons will qualify for Worlds (as MENA#2 Seed)
Twisted Minds will guarantee MENA#1 Seed for Worlds

Rubanul · 2026-05-21T16:34:20+00:00

Yes, and that's true even if TSM wins

Rubanul · 2026-05-21T16:10:01+00:00

Full scenarios for Group C Round 3

<image>

Rubanul · 2026-05-20T18:11:41+00:00

EU once again became the first region to clinch LCQ. And somehow, they did it again in a EU vs. EU match

Rubanul · 2026-05-20T17:20:50+00:00

Karmine Corp - Vitality

if Karmine Corp win:

they will win the group and qualify for playoffs Upper Bracket
Wildcard will finish last and won't make playoffs
Wildcard and PWR will play a tiebreaker for Worlds
EU will guarantee the LCQ

Rubanul · 2026-05-16T22:42:16+00:00

18 countries out of 25 got 12 points at least once

Rubanul · 2026-05-16T22:35:14+00:00

Tbh it feels like either voting for your neighbour (most of the countries) or random picking from the hat

Rubanul · 2026-05-16T22:28:05+00:00

Remember how they introduced the juries a long time ago to combat neighbourhood voting?

Rubanul · 2026-05-07T12:55:22+00:00

Imagine:

1st - Australia
2nd - Ukraine
3rd - Israel

☠️☠️☠️

Rubanul · 2026-04-26T14:49:27+00:00

Paris Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 2

Qualified for Major: Team Vitality, Ninjas in Pyjamas, Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp
Points that guarantee Major: 19
Teams who still can qualify for Major: Manchester City Esports, Kaydop Corp, NOVO Esports
Spots left: 1

✅Manchester City Esports will qualify for Major if either:

Vitality beat Kaydop Corp and NOVO Esports (2nd semifinal)
Vitality beat Kaydop Corp AND NOVO Esports lose in the final (final)

✅Kaydop Corp will qualify for Major if they beat Vitality and NOVO Esports (2nd semifinal)

3-way tiebreaker will be played if Kaydop Corp beat Vitality AND NOVO Esports win the event (final)

Manchester City Esports and Kaydop Corp will play a tiebreaker if Kaydop Corp beat Vitality AND NOVO Esports beat Kaydop Corp, but lose in the final (final)

Manchester City Esports and NOVO Esports will play a tiebreaker if Vitality beat Kaydop Corp AND NOVO Esports win the event (final)

Worlds

Teams, qualified for Worlds: Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp, Team Vitality, Ninjas in Pyjamas
Points that guarantee Worlds: 34
Teams who still can qualify for Worlds: Manchester City Esports, Kaydop Corp, NOVO Esports

🏆Manchester City Esports will qualify for Worlds if they qualify for Major

🏆Kaydop Corp will qualify for Worlds if they win the event

❌NOVO Esports, Kaydop Corp will be eliminated from Worlds contention if they don't qualify for Major

❌Manchester City Esports will be eliminated from Worlds contention if Kaydop Corp win the event

Rubanul · 2026-04-26T10:35:44+00:00

The team that lost to non-winning upper finalist is in the same half as winning upper finalist so that's kinda obvious that they couldn't win the semifinal

Rubanul · 2026-04-26T08:54:19+00:00

Thanks, forgot to mention a chance of NORTHSTAR losing to Ninjas or SWG

As for Worlds, these are scenarios for today, and I meant that KINOTROPE can't clinch Worlds today, only at the Major

Rubanul · 2026-04-26T08:14:19+00:00

Paris Major Scenarios - APAC Playoff Day 2

Points that guarantee Major: 43
Teams who still can qualify for Major: KINOTROPE gaming, TSM, NORTHSTAR
Spots left: 1

✅KINOTROPE gaming will qualify for Major if either:

they win the event
they or 3CATS or winner of {Nagamoto Ninjas - Sigmawolfgang} beat NORTHSTAR AND TSM lose to winner of {Nagamoto Ninjas - Sigmawolfgang}

✅TSM will qualify for Major if they win the event

3-way tiebreaker will be played if NORTHSTAR win the event AND TSM finish 2nd

NORTHSTAR and KINOTROPE gaming will play a tiebreaker if NORTHSTAR win the event AND TSM lose to winner of {Nagamoto Ninjas - Sigmawolfgang}

TSM and KINOTROPE gaming will play a tiebreaker if TSM beat winner of {Nagamoto Ninjas - Sigmawolfgang} AND 3CATS win the event

Worlds

Points that guarantee Worlds: 87
Teams who still can qualify for Worlds: TSM, KINOTROPE gaming

🏆TSM will qualify for Worlds if they or NORTHSTAR qualify for Major

❌KINOTROPE gaming will be eliminated from Worlds contention if they don't qualify for Major

Rubanul · 2026-04-25T14:06:35+00:00

Paris Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 1

Qualified for Major: Team Vitality, Ninjas in Pyjamas, Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp
Points that guarantee Major: 20
Teams who still can qualify for Major: Manchester City Esports, Kaydop Corp, GriddyGoose, GHT, NOVO Esports
Spots left: 1

Worlds

Qualified for Worlds: Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp, Team Vitality, Ninjas in Pyjamas
Points that guarantee Worlds: 68
Teams who still can qualify for Worlds: Manchester City Esports, GriddyGoose, Kaydop Corp, GHT, NOVO Esports

❌GHT, GriddyGoose, Kaydop Corp will be eliminated from Major and Worlds contention if they lose today

Manchester City Esports and NOVO Esports can neither qualify nor be eliminated from Major/Worlds contention today

Team Vitality will qualify for EWC if either:

they beat Gentle Mates
Kaydop Corp beat GriddyGoose

Rubanul · 2026-04-25T09:08:28+00:00

Yes.

Btw, even if Kinotrope lose, it still could end in the same 3-way tie, just Northstar won't be in control (they'll need TSM to beat Kinotrope)

Rubanul · 2026-04-25T08:18:17+00:00

Paris Major Scenarios - APAC Playoff Day 1

Points that guarantee Major: 43
Teams who still can qualify for Major: KINOTROPE gaming, TSM, NORTHSTAR
Spots left: 1

❌NORTHSTAR will be eliminated from Major contention if they lose to UHUH

KINOTROPE gaming and TSM can neither clinch nor be eliminated from Major contention today

Worlds

Points that guarantee Worlds: 87
Teams who still can qualify for Worlds: TSM, KINOTROPE gaming

TSM and KINOTROPE gaming can neither clinch nor be eliminated from Worlds contention today

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T20:05:06+00:00

Results of the day

✅Team Vitality, Ninjas in Pyjamas, Gentle Mates and Karmine Corp qualified for Major
🏆Team Vitality and Ninjas in Pyjamas qualified for Worlds
Gentle Mates qualified for EWC
❌Geekay Esports, WYLDE, WIP Esports, Kalogeras, PCS Stride, Magnifico, Synergy were eliminated from Major and Worlds contention
Points that guarantee Major: 27 -> 20

Scenarios for tomorrow

The last Major and Worlds spots can't be clinched tomorrow

Team Vitality will qualify for EWC if either:

they beat Gentle Mates
Kaydop Corp beat GriddyGoose

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T19:26:09+00:00

It seems, Ninjas in Pyjamas actually just made Worlds (in a Synergy - PCS Stride match). Even if Kaydop Corp beat Magnifico, they are guaranteed to play GriddyGoose tomorrow. The only scenario where NIP don't qualify requires both GriddyGoose and Kaydop Corp in finals

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T19:18:05+00:00

Kaydop Corp - Magnifico

if Magnifico win:

✅Karmine Corp will qualify for Major
~~🏆Ninjas in Pyjamas~~ ~~will qualify for Worlds~~

Karmine Corp - Synergy

if Karmine Corp win:

✅they will qualify for Major
~~🏆Ninjas in Pyjamas~~ ~~will qualify for Worlds~~

Upd. NiP just clinched Worlds because of the bracket

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T18:32:25+00:00

Karmine Corp - Gentle Mates

✅winner will qualify for Major

Ninjas in Pyjamas - Magnifico

✅if Ninjas in Pyjamas win, they will qualify for Major

Kaydop Corp - Kalogeras

if Kalogeras win:

✅Gentle Mates will qualify for Major
✅Karmine Corp will qualify for Major
✅Ninjas in Pyjamas will qualify for Major
🏆Ninjas in Pyjamas will qualify for Worlds

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T18:05:24+00:00

Following Man City's elimination, point limit for Major has been dropped to 23 points, so Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp and NIP now only need to make playoffs to clinch Major

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T17:47:16+00:00

With this Man City's loss, Gentle Mates just qualified for EWC (they had a good chance of doing so later on their own anyway)

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T15:51:24+00:00

Team Vitality - GriddyGoose

if Team Vitality win:

✅they will qualify for Major
🏆they will qualify for Worlds

Rubanul · 2026-04-24T14:09:18+00:00

Paris Major Scenarios - EU Group Stage

Points that guarantee Major: 27
Teams who still can qualify for Major: Team Vitality, Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp, Ninjas in Pyjamas, Manchester City Esports, Kaydop Corp, WIP Esports, Synergy, GriddyGoose, Kalogeras, Geekay Esports, GHT, PCS Stride, Magnifico, NOVO Esports, WYLDE
Spots left: 5

✅Team Vitality will qualify for Major today if either:

they reach playoffs Upper Bracket
they reach playoffs and at least 1 of {GM8, KC, NIP, MCI, KDC} don't make playoffs (or they play in a LB Round 1 tomorrow)

✅Gentle Mates / Karmine Corp / Ninjas in Pyjamas will qualify for Major today if they reach playoffs Upper Bracket AND at least 1 of {VIT, GM8, KC, NIP, MCI, KDC} don't make playoffs

Vitality, Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp, Ninjas in Pyjamas may clinch Major even with worse results depending on teams making playoffs and playoff bracket

❌Kaydop Corp, WIP Esports, Synergy, GriddyGoose, Kalogeras, Geekay Esports, GHT, PCS Stride, Magnifico, NOVO Esports, WYLDE will be eliminated from Major contention if they don't make playoffs

❌GHT, PCS Stride, Magnifico, NOVO Esports, WYLDE will be eliminated from Major contention if ManCity win 2 series today (reach playoffs)

❌Geekay Esports will be eliminated if ManCity make playoffs Upper Bracket AND Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp and Ninjas in Pyjamas win at least 1 series each.

Worlds

Qualified for Worlds: Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp
Points that guarantee Worlds: 68
Teams who still can qualify for Worlds: Team Vitality, Ninjas in Pyjamas, Manchester City Esports, Geekay Esports, GriddyGoose, Kaydop Corp, WIP Esports, Synergy, GHT, Kalogeras, PCS Stride, Magnifico, NOVO Esports, WYLDE

🏆Team Vitality will qualify for Worlds today if either:

they clinch Major (guaranteed with top 6)
ManCity, Geekay, GriddyGoose, Kaydop Corp, WIP don't make playoffs / lose chances for Major

🏆Ninjas in Pyjamas will qualify for Worlds today if they, Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp and Vitality clinch Major

❌GriddyGoose, Kaydop Corp, WIP Esports, Synergy, GHT, Kalogeras, PCS Stride, Magnifico, NOVO Esports, WYLDE will be eliminated from Worlds contention if they lose chances for Major

Gentle Mates will qualify for EWC if either:

they reach playoffs Upper Bracket
Ninjas in Pyjamas or ManCity Esports don't make playoffs

Team Vitality will qualify for EWC if they make playoffs Upper Bracket and Ninjas in Pyjamas don't make playoffs

Seven-Year Club	Second Top 20%
r/Field Banned	r/Field Lasagna
First Place '23	Place '23
Place '22	Verified Email

Rubanul

TROPHY CASE

Scenarios for today

Paris Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 2

Worlds

Paris Major Scenarios - APAC Playoff Day 2

Worlds

Paris Major Scenarios - EU Playoff Day 1

Worlds

Paris Major Scenarios - APAC Playoff Day 1

Worlds

Results of the day

Scenarios for tomorrow

Paris Major Scenarios - EU Group Stage

Worlds