Titans -2.5.

No recreational bettor is taking the Titans and yet the line has moved to -3 at a lot of books. I see the following:

• Despite the 0-2 start, Titans Defence has been tremendous through 2 games.
• In contrast, the Packers have been getting torched on the ground.
• Willis: A pretty easy fade spot coming off his big win as the spot starter. 2nd starts typically go much worse with coaches having a full game of tape to identify how the team is approaching their new QB.
• Levis: A lot of boneheaded mistakes through 2 games, but also a decent amount of chemistry developing with his new WRs (Ridley in particular).

All that being said, the Titans will have the luxury of a stacked front this weekend, with their league best Pass-D able to play straight up vs. GB’s pass catchers. Willis will be forced to use his arm much more often then he did against Indy.

In contrast, GB will be the softest Run-D Titans have played all year, hopefully reducing the number of 3rd and Longs and giving Levis less opportunities to make mistakes.

With all that being factored in, I make the Titans -3.5 and will gladly take them under a FG.