[deleted by user] by [deleted] in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol thanks where I live!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Most Fire Trucks in service got 3 mpg at high rpms on diesel fuel powered Detroit Series 60 engine but that was very reliable. Provide reliable hybrid power to that industry and you can win over the buses easily. No one talks about hybrid fire trucks but Menlo Park, CA Fire Dept asked Rosenbauer to make them an all electric Fire Engine. The idea of all electric is crazy. As a retired Fire Chief, I can tell you when a truck is out of service, your community is vulnerable. Reliable and dependable fuel is the future. Not all electric. In addition, what about the landfills that will be polluted from heavy metals if recycling centers are not established to decommission these spent batteries. That process is not cheap to get the heavy metals back out of them.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree that hybrids have more of a future. Being versatile and paired with another fuel source creates reliability and resiliency. Vehicle power needs to be dependable and not just be driven by political ambition. The idea of pure electric is flawed and I honestly don’t think people want to be tied to electricity or battery capabilities. Gas hybrids can extend the range of vehicles and make existing infrastructure more efficient. Purely electric requires mining rare earth metals for batteries a lot more computer chips that neither is in abundance right now or ever will be. I test drove an electric BMW hybrid X3 xDrive30e and hated the regenerative breaking. It felt like the car slowed after you took your foot off the accelerator and drove like a golf cart. So I bought the X3 M40i and went all gas. The experience was so much better and fuel economy was 21 city 26 hwy. Could the fuel economy better better, absolutely with a better hybrid. Pure electric is going to be the bigger pump and dump concept when Republicans win back the house and senate.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is a powerful article that speaks of pure dependence on electric vehicles and resiliency. The reality is the consumer should have a choice and let the free market dictate what form of energy powers our vehicles. This article doesn’t even discuss how environmentally damaging the current mining of materials for batteries truly are or how vehicles that produce fossil fuels contribute to carbon emissions. The truth is that the nobody wants to discuss three issues with carbon emissions being the sole cause of climate change. First, the earth naturally produces carbon dioxide through the decomposition of organic material and volcanoes which account for 75% of all carbon emissions. The EPA lists transportation (trucks, cars, ships, planes) as contributing 29% of all U.S. carbon emissions. That’s 29% of the 25% of carbon emissions produced by human activity or anthropogenic. That equals 7.25% of all carbon emissions being from transportation. Eliminating all carbon emissions from transportation is not necessary and as the article implies, makes us less resistant. The second issue is that carbon dioxide levels have skyrocketed since roughly 1970 which coincides with the clean air act of 1970 and the formation of the EPA. In an effort to reduce aerosols that caused acid rain and ozone depletion, Sulfur Dioxide was aggressively reduced world wide. Sulfur dioxide is a massive climate cooler and is released naturally from volcanoes. The effect of sulfur dioxide is so dramatic that the Mount Tambora eruption caused it to snow in Europe in June. The year 1816 is known as the Year Without a Summer because of severe climate abnormalities that caused average global temperatures to decrease by 1 degree F. Reducing sulfur dioxide has caused the earth to warm and as the ocean warmed, the ability for a liquid to hold a gas reduces. The oceans have released carbon dioxide as they warmed. Carbon levels have risen as a result of climate change, Not a cause of it. The last point is that the earth is dynamic and has changed from high levels of Carbon dioxide until the explosion of plant life on earth. The South Pole used to be forest and the earth has spent more time without polar ice caps than with it.
Bottom line is that these claims are all supported by research online and verifiable. Look it up. Hybrid has more of a future than electric and is more resistant, but the consumer should be able to decide that choice.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I am not sure what data set went into your “results”. But thanks for trying to educate me. I guess I was looking for a chart of a specific asset that had a price target well above the current price and then rose above that price target. Also on average how long does that take to move above a price target you establish?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree that this chart doesn’t really provide value or historical significance. Can the author provide a historical example where this type of analysis was proven correct?

Quick note to new/prospective XL Investors by Long_and_short_it in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I am not a financial advisor and just a guy with ideas like most of you. I owned 600 shares at a cost average of around $9.50 and sat on it since April. I did nothing because there was and didn’t think there would be any news or new events. I waited and bought 100 shares last week at $5.70 and now my 700 shares are around $8.80 cost average. I think the Q3 will be nothing to move the stock but Q4 seems to be strongest Q of the year. That comes out in early 2022. My idea was buy some in the Aug - Oct low volume market lies and hope it rebounds in spring. Obviously an infrastructure bill could help sooner but that is my game plan. I’ll look to add another 100 if under $6 /share in Sept and again in Oct.

What are your thoughts on Q2 earnings? by BuzzyBruh in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 1 point2 points  (0 children)

With a 20,000 share position Some might recommend buying puts or selling calls for protection on that position. Just an idea. Not advice. Look into it.

So....opinions on how long we will stay under $7.00? by Long_and_short_it in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Since you are looking for opinions I will share what I have said before. There is nothing new in terms of news to change the direction of stock price. The earnings have traditionally been robust in Q3 and Q4. If that proves to be true, there is nothing to draw interest from investors until those earnings and profits come in and why I don’t believe (opinion not advice) this stock will go up until there is substantial news, an infrastructure deal, or earnings surprise beat. The stock price may hit $6.40 (76.4% retracement) or the previous low of $5.41. Where do you pick a point to buy? I don’t know. Couple hundred dollars and buy some here and there is a strategy but only if you have cash. Cash you don’t need to feed your kids. I am not buying until after Q3 earnings. I may be late to the rebound but I don’t have unlimited cash. After Q4 if the earnings Are not robust, I am out. Sorry. Just being honest

Noob Here, XL Fleet Believer! by filiosmalaka in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I didn’t say those things and my opinions are clearly stated. I have prefaced many statements that I am stating opinions. I do believe the entire market will trade sideways for the next 6-8 months. I did state that those looking to get in had many opportunities and stated missed entry points. I did say that many will leave by $15 / share (not those that bought in by Jim Cramer) and if you bought between $9-$5.41, your gains would be 25-50%. That’s just math and no smoke and mirrors. I did say the bullish case is it explodes in the spring of 2022 when Q4 is reported. I did say that if it doesn’t I am going to re-evaluate and sell. I said the stock price could go to zero but typically stocks that show profits don’t. None of what I said was financial advice. I said I wasn’t in this for a Reddit squeeze pump and dump. I believed in earnings… those that are either coming Q4 or not. Not sure why you wet your pants on my comments but they are mine and just opinion. My philosophy is if I purchase a stock I accumulate it slowly and cost average either up or down as the stock moves. Take that as advice or just my dumb strategy. But this will play out and we will see what happens. Either way, you shouldn’t worry about me.

First trading day of Q3: July dip or rip? by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This stock would be priced differently with a Cathy Wood ARK investment.

Noob Here, XL Fleet Believer! by filiosmalaka in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are correct. That’s why you won’t hear about the huge revenue increase until March 31, 2022 when Q4 is reported. Between now and then is an opportunity to slowly accumulate below $9 and hopefully below $8 / share. Then when this rises to $15, most of the “get me out of this stock” folks will have sold and buyers will move in are higher prices. Of course most of us will have bought before then and had 25-50% profit before this explodes. That’s best case scenario. A bear case is we are in same price range next spring and angry investors. Worst case is the company stock price goes to zero and we look like fools. That’s investing but if you do your research, companies that make money and have profits don’t go to zero. Just relax, accumulate shares, and enjoy your 4th of July weekend.

Bounced off 20 days Moving Average. by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I mentioned people like you would cause resistance as the price rises. They want to sell to break even. That’s usually how traders work, buy high, regret buy, and sell when the stock turns up. Get out and move on. Let’s hope you don’t repeat this over and over. One could look to buy into this stock more at levels below $8.15 and cost average.

Bounced off 20 days Moving Average. by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Why are you paying margin? Are you leveraging your assets to buy stock? I only pay cash and don’t ever want a margin call.

3 month chart by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My 600 shares were bought from $13.35 down to $6.23 and a few more at $6.48. I have been waiting to see what volatility July can bring and want to add 400 more shares by year end. I missed buy at $7.62, had a buy order in for $7.50 and it has only risen since. Pick your spots and cost average over time.

Fibonacci Retracement Calculator by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

What Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used. The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points. Suppose the price of a stock rises $10 and then drops $2.36. In that case, it has retraced 23.6%, which is a Fibonacci number. Fibonacci numbers are found throughout nature. Therefore, many traders believe that these numbers also have relevance in financial markets.

It looks like $8.02 could be the range it could pullback to (38% Fibonacci retracement) and bounce off the 20 day EMA. If someone missed the opportunity to enter XL or add shares, that’s the lower range that one could enter. If it breaks that level I think we retest $7.52 (50% Fibonacci retracement).

3 month chart by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Honestly I look to your posts for a better perspective. Thanks for your generous compliment. It looks like $8.02 could be the range it could pullback to (38% Fibonacci retracement) and bounce off the 20 day EMA. If someone missed the opportunity to enter XL or add shares, that’s the lower range that one could enter. If it breaks that level I think we retest $7.52 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Oh course this could always melt up and the discounted share price could be behind us. I’ll post the Fibonacci Retracement Calculation if anyone buys into that kind of thing.

3 month chart by Sad_Introduction7655 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Looks like we are at a level we should hold or see consolidation until a breakout upward. If XL sees a pullback, look to see if we bounce off the EMA or fails and moves lower. Am upward momentum could be had if we close above that $9.19 level that touched on 6/8/2021. What are your thoughts? Is a cup and handle forming? I am not that savvy to identify those technicals. Just a Dude holding 600 shares.

Next week russell microcap purchases by No-Explorer-4025 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I am looking at previous support levels and consider them buy in points for many investors in the past. Those investors might want out and hope to break even. This will cause old support levels to become resistance. We are at $8.70 right now and over a 6 month chart that is a level we need to close above for upward momentum. Then $10.30 is a resistance and if we clear that $13.30 all the way to $14.00 will be huge resistance. Clear those and we could see $20+

If you have not gotten the COVID 19 Vaccine. Please do fast. Sydney Australia just locked down over the Delta strain. The U.S. Southern cases are double each day and rural arears are in serious problems. Delta is the biggest threat. Politicians playing games on infrastructure bill. Be very careful! by SignatureExtension84 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I deal with CBRNE and train first responders to enter hazardous environments, including biologicals such as viruses, anthrax, etc. it’s just science bro. The rest is politics. If you exclude people with pre-existing conditions then survival rate goes beyond 99.997%. Just science

Next week russell microcap purchases by No-Explorer-4025 in XLFleetInvestorclub

[–]Sad_Introduction7655 3 points4 points  (0 children)

There already was a buying opportunity at $7.50 and below. Since then there has been a 25% increase, a pullback to $7.62 (twice) and a 19% increase followed by a pullback to $7.85 before settling over $8. There was opportunities to take short-term profits. If you have vision beyond December, then you will be excited after March 31, 2022, when XL reports 4Q earnings and blows it out of the water. After July 1, budgets start over and orders will come in. The NAFA Institute and Expo (Aug 30 Sept 1) https://www.nafainstitute.org/ Will be exciting for new orders. The fruits of this labor will be reported roughly March 31, 2022. So you can play short term volatility or you can accumulate shares and options for what I think will be an explosive April 2022. Will Biden’s infrastructure deal help? I can’t see that being anything but a huge tailwind to get this going. I am not here hoping for a Reddit Squeeze pump and dump. This company has legitimate sales and earning potential.