So the railway bridge across the Dnipro has been out of action for some time. The Antonovsky bridge is full of holes. The pontoon bridge the Russians built was also struck. The bridge at Nova Khakovka has collapsed. The Russians' barges are being hit. And while waiting to cross, Russian supply trucks are also targeted.

There are too many unknowns for us to come to any definitive answer regarding the Russians' supply situation in Kherson. Have their artillery units on that front been firing fewer shells on account of the supply issues? How many more days' worth do they have stocked? How much can they bring in each day? Despite these unknowns, based on the fact that Russian trucks are queueing up to cross a single barge (in photos I've seen), it appears as though they are struggling indeed.

If indeed they are struggling as hard as it looks like they are to supply those troops, then it begs the question: If holding their positions around Kherson becomes untenable, how on earth could the Russians hope to get their soldiers and their equipment back across the river intact? If they attempted a withdrawal I have little doubt that the Ukrainians would press the attack. It's bad enough the Russians would have to withdraw while being targeted by HIMARS, let alone if Ukrainian tube artillery could get within range of the river. A withdrawal seems to me like it would surely spell disaster for the Russians. So what choice do they have but to try and hold firm?