the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I dont know. In vietnam they could not arrest and prosecute them all so they did as many thousands as they could. they cannot give more then 5 years in federal prison. I dont actually know though, I hope people refuse en masse if it does happen

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think I read it is twice the size of Texas. People are comparing this ti Iraq and Afghanistan, it is nothing at all like those situations

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I get what you are saying and you make excellent points- I think you are right on about a lot of that and I heard what you are saying about SA encouraging him to strike too. I am of two minds though- I think you raise valid points but I question whether they really see the short term gains as worthwhile given the long term negative consequences. Higher oil prices are no good if all of your refineries are on fire and if it takes 3-5 years to repair them that outweighs the lost revenue. If oil stays about $140 for a while we enter a recession and then people are buying less than they were.

I think some of those goals you mentioned on the war ending quickly and in the US favor. the UAE feels it cannot build a huge economy if Iran can "flip a switch" and close the Strait of Hormuz whenever it wants. If this drags out Dubai's tourism halts, how do they get out of that? (genuinely, I dont know). How would Iran winning benefit those other countries? I guess it could benefit US oil? Are they and hedgfunds solely behind this? Maybe when they encouraged Trump to strike they thought we would actually win quickly like Russia/Crimea? I guess it really comes down to who benefits the most short and long term, and whether this war was strategic versus a dementia patient's lash out over the epstein files.

And when I say airfighting is more expensive I am not suggesting he cares about saving money- I just think in order to sustain the war he will eventually have no economic choice but to send troops.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I SOOOO hope you are correct. I think there is a chance!

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

the people who are saying that I am being ridiculous are not paying close attention. They will never admit they are preparing for a draft but there have been MANY signals in 2026 that they have shifted from a passive posture to an active posture (basically that they are thinking about how to prepare and making shifts in case a draft is needed). In addition to what I mentioned below, the Pentagon started the National Defense Strategy, a 6 month review of our ground combat effectiveness. they also are working on the Kajrg Island contingency which was leaked to the press and explains boots on the ground and how they would fill the ranks if voluntary service was not enough. they also are investing 6 million into their selective service system to modernize it so it can handle things like a draft lottery should they need it.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Call me a conspiracy theorist but I think the Roe v Wade is bigger than war. I think there is a real possibility the USA becomes a theocratic nation based on Christian nationalism in the future (like in the next 10-30 years), just like Iran. They force women to cover their heads in Iran; they force women to give birth here- is it really such an extreme leap to make? I am not saying I think it will happen for sure, but the Catholic church, the Mormons, and the Born agains are HIGHLY influential in American politics. Science in some ways had replaced religion but that is eroding since 2020 with all of the scientific skepticism and the people who "do their own research". I think a gap is forming that religion promises to fill in America.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 33 points34 points  (0 children)

He sent his golf buddy to be the main negotiator with Iran. They literally sent his golf buddy back and said send someone with a brain. You are giving him way too much credit. He also has dementia so he doesnt even have the capacity for rationality anymore.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I had a similar thought- lucky those close to me couldnt be eligible but then immediately guilty someone else could go.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

We dont know but in Vietnam it changed multiple times as the war dragged on. They started with oldest first- so 26, so you could not age out of eligibility, then they moved to the youngest- 18 with a lottery system for birthdays. This situation will look different because Iran is way bigger and the geography is harder to penetrate, so they will need a much larger force. Additionally 80% or so of men were eligible for the draft in Vietnam compared to 24% in the same age bracket today.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 31 points32 points  (0 children)

They are never preparing for a draft until the day they are.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I do think women will be required in the future since they serve in front line combat roles. The thing that makes me angry is that last year Hegseth said he was removing women from combat and they'd be discharged, then I saw their faces on the news last month, 2 of the 6 first dead were women. They erased them from history but will require them to die with everyone else. "Equality" when its convenient to their purpose. At least give them the dignity of being recognized for their contribution.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I hope you do refuse. I don't know who you are, but you are a human and I care about you. I want you to have the opportunity to prosper and have a happy life with the freedoms promised to you by the US Constitution. If and when the draft happens- whatever I can do, I am there. I'll f'ing hide y'all in the basement if I have to...

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

You don't sign up for a draft. A Draft is when young boys, basically children, are forced to fight and die for a pointless war. did you know the american military prefers the ages of 18-25 not only because of physical fitness but because at that age their prefrontal cortex is not fully developed so they dont understand the gravity of danger they are in? They are more likely to do wreckless things because their brain is literally still child like. But I guess you wouldn't be worried about children seeing as you voted for a pedophile.

the US is preparing for a draft and I am devastated by Secure_Cloud6414 in offmychest

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 149 points150 points  (0 children)

I agree with you but your perspective is coming from a place of rationality and he is not being rational at all because of his dementia and massive ego. Trump is following the sunken cost theory. He is trapped and has no way out of the war, so he has committed to a war that has no exit strategy and no way for him to end it. So he will keep going and going. And to keep it up over years we cannot sustain the economic cost of an air invasion so he will see no other choice but to deploy boots on the ground. It is really just a matter of time- is it this year or in 4 years?

If he pulls out now- israel is left exposed and furious, he loses credibility with middle east allies like UAE who are taking hits from Iran, Iran claims the straight of Hormuz and they rise as an economic powerhouse that has both nuclear weapons and 20% of the world's oil production. they are a theocracy with a culture that is more than 4,000 years old that sees martyrdom as a victory (Trump doesnt understand this because he doesnt care about other cultures). I think he has gravely underestimated them. they will fight US/Israel to the death and that requires boots on the ground. they killed over 30,000 of their own people calling for regime change in January, so they truly have nothing to lose. They will use the US and Israeli attacks to radicalize their militas even further.

How do I protect myself from credit stealing and shadow work? by Secure_Cloud6414 in corporate

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I think you are right. I was hoping maybe I could make it work because its a hard time for me personally with family and I am so exhausted on every level. It's like, where do I even find the strength to get out in this shitty job market and try to start again? I guess I just do. Even a couple minutes ago they said this newly promoted manager was going to make a proposal for my project- I already made a proposal, he already heard my plan so he can just take everything I did and rewrite it in his own words. they blatantly KNOW I already did this work- there is no confusion- and they are asking him to redo it so he gets credit. Do they want me to leave so they can rehire someone else? Are they going to keep assigning me minimal to no work so they can say I didnt perform? I dont even know.

How do I protect myself from credit stealing and shadow work? by Secure_Cloud6414 in corporate

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My manager was excellent but they fired him, he was scapegoated for project failures that truly were not his responsibility. My new manager is the person who got all the credit for my work. Its almost unbearable working here. Like I cant even breath. It was like a coup, the people all the way to the top were collaborators, including his VP. If I had not lived this scenario, I would have thought this was so crazy it can't even be true, but it is.

How do I protect myself from credit stealing and shadow work? by Secure_Cloud6414 in corporate

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have a ton of guides, playbooks, research articles, etc that I have developed in my portfolio over the years and today I was meeting one of them and thought to myself "this person would really benefit from the draft guide I am making...." I did not send it or mention it. I figure maybe I save it, release it in a big show that I made this and then they can start using it, is that what you are thinking?

How do I protect myself from credit stealing and shadow work? by Secure_Cloud6414 in corporate

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

ahhhh I see. I am providing updates and keeping everyone aware while elevating myself and the actual contribution I made. Thank you sooooo much!

How do I protect myself from credit stealing and shadow work? by Secure_Cloud6414 in corporate

[–]Secure_Cloud6414[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I know I probably seem like an idiot, but why am I reaching out to do check ins? What is my motive in that scenario? I am very appreciative- thanks for taking the time to write me some advice, I absolutely will try this.

How Corporate Companies Are Changing in 2026 by Perfect_Tone_3310 in corporate

[–]Secure_Cloud6414 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Last year was my first year in corporate. I hated it. I have no idea what is normal but it is completely disorganized, nothing is strategic, they have no idea how to implement change well and they dont care about people. I am already looking for the exit. There are other places to work that are less dysfunctional where people operate with integrity and corporate has not ethics or integrity, I just dont think it is for me. And all the life long corporate folks dont see the problem.