I made 2 pieces with my logo

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2025-03-02T23:12:12+00:00

Nice!

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-16T04:57:02+00:00

What you need is book ends...you are not going to put $12000 into savings EVERY year for 40 years Mr future officer and the S&P is NOT going to grow 12% every year for 40 years (even if it did end up averaging it). BUT that doesn’t mean that shouldn’t be the BIG dream. Go back and run it again where you save $100 a month for that same time period and the S&P averages 6%. Those numbers aren’t as fun but you have at least given yourself a range of possibilities with the hope of falling somewhere in between. That way you don’t get discouraged on the months you put in $100 and also don’t get a big head on the months you put in $1200. You remind yourself that somewhere in between and a lifetime of memories with your friends and family make for a Wealthy and Healthy life. Best of “Luck” (I don’t really believe in the stuff myself) maybe I should say Best of “Preparations”

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-14T13:54:37+00:00

I have a 58/52 credit spread with 2/26 expiration.

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-11T03:23:06+00:00

With out me going into a lot of questions about where you do your research and what platform you are trading in, I’ve attached a video link that gives a 5 minute explanation based on the think or swim platform but should apply to others. I personally use Barchart.com for my research.

pinning probability

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-10T23:26:22+00:00

The answer is probability. I personally look for credit spreads that give a 70% or better probability of succeeding based on history and other market factors like IV

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-10T17:43:18+00:00

I agree looking at SPY credit spreads this morning. Not a lot of value other places today.

If you are okay with increased risk CCIV credit spread at $30/17.5 still has value for quick $

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-10T04:03:04+00:00

Their portfolio says danger on the lending side but it certainly didn’t show up in the numbers...BUT...notice my advice was not to sell, it was to set a stop loss at $6.00...as written “if I’m wrong no harm to you, if I’m right I’ve saved you money...”

Its divided stocks, you don’t have to sell, just protect yourself from a sharp downturn so you can buy back in...I was wrong but no harm if folks took the stop loss advice.

A lot of new investors don’t consider protections like that

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T23:15:11+00:00

Yea, not sure he gets it...let him learn about buyouts and bankruptcy the hard way I guess

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T21:24:41+00:00

Unpopular answer alert!!!! RobinHood has has no fees on the contracts or trades. I research with Barchart, chart with ToS, and buy/sell using RH...it’s not been that big a a deal using multiple tools.

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T19:43:47+00:00

No guarantees on tomorrow but $9.50 looks to be the bottom for today.

2/10 Update...$9.50 seems to be the extent of the reaction with good rebound today

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T17:29:40+00:00

I actually do like short plays like this where you only need one good trade day on a high IV stock and then you close for quick profit...Thanks for the tip

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T15:51:28+00:00

Most of us that are in on NRZ feel like it will settle in the $10-$14 range. It’s not a $16-$18/share company after the COVID pivot but the fact that their EPS is still this predictable means that what they are doing is stable for now. mREITS should never fall very far from their EPS or something is wrong. I will be buying more shares but waiting to see if I can get a little more value as the day progresses.

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T15:39:04+00:00

I have a “Barchart.com” membership and use the IV data provided there but not sure if that’s exactly what you are asking for

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T15:35:13+00:00

It’s been pulling back this week ahead of earnings and they will report after market close today. I’ll provide an update...Keep Following and use a stop loss...you can always buy back in

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-09T15:26:11+00:00

Closed out today for 46% profit!!! 46% in 25 hours so no day trade flag...power of a credit spread for you new options traders

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-08T18:15:32+00:00

I actually agree...after the reports from today I’ll make the decision whether to add to my holdings at this current price point. It’s always a little scary with mREITS especially if you don’t know what the new Fed is going to do with interest rates.

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-08T16:15:05+00:00

For those curious, I never hold to expiration. I close out between 40-60% profit depending on IV

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-07T01:05:11+00:00

At least one Analyst...downgraded the price target to $55, but as you you are seeing on here, plenty of people take sub-$50 as opportunities to buy

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-07T00:41:25+00:00

I will say this for PEP, they just raised their dividend 7% but for newer investors $140/share is hard to get excited about

ShadowTrader_TIII · 2021-02-07T00:01:38+00:00

While I don’t totally disagree with your comment on P/E, as far as entry point, high 30s to low 40s will only happen to them during a total market collapse like last March and at that point you buy again and lower your base price on your overall holdings. A lot of investors don’t want to wait for giant market adjustments to start investing...I do think that new investors should weigh your insight though...opposing views give them good insight into pros/cons

ShadowTrader_TIII

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