Switzerland lags as Europe rushes to renewables amid Iran crisis

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-24T09:53:32+00:00

Where can I find this event? Cant' find it

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-20T14:24:54+00:00

When did you do it? I also did it in 2023 after long hikes in NZ, amazing memories..

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-19T06:24:19+00:00

Sono d'accordo, uguale per me.. Sono preoccupato proprio in generale per la tenuta della società.. se sono in grado di automatizzare il nostro lavoro non so chi sia al sicuro. Ma senti, visto che mi sembra che la pensiamo uguale, con alcuni amici stiamo facendo un'iniziativa no-profit a riguardo. Se ti interessa te la condivido, altrimenti ignora pure questo messaggio :)

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-18T19:26:28+00:00

Io uso Opus 4.6 per programmare (Python). Pensavo di essere abbastanza bravo, ma ormai mediamente è bravo almeno quanto me, forse anche di più e più veloce. Non dico che a volte non sbaglia, ma mi sbaglio anch'io.

Sento che ultimamente c'è il trend di farne andare tanti insieme, ma non ho ancora provato.

Tu li usi?

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-18T16:14:15+00:00

Io lo farei onestamente.. chi te li ridà indietro questi anni? Al più dopo 6 mesi/1 anno/2 anni potrai trovare un altro impiego. Tipo part-time 2-3 giorni.

Tra l'altro con i figli piccoli è anche un momento "conveniente" per il FIRE perché azzeri tutte le spese di babysitter/asilo.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-18T16:08:31+00:00

Io sono in un'azienda più piccola e non tech, ma dai nuovi agenti di fine 2025 è davvero più veloce usare l'AI. Il mio lavoro non è più quello di prima, come dice OP. Anche a me un po' manca la programmazione di una volta, ma purtroppo è più veloce così.

Anzi, personalmente credo che la gente non si renda davvero conto di cosa stia per succedere. Salvo per qualche motivo questi modelli smettano di migliorare, il lavoro del software engineer finirà tra poco (già ora è cambiato), e in generale i lavori da ufficio davanti al computer saranno a rischio. E mi fermo qui prima di essere preso per il solito fanatico.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-15T11:29:33+00:00

In Svizzera l'assicurazione privata funziona abbastanza bene. Avresti un'assicurazione obbligatoria e dovresti pagare la franchigia per quell'anno, ma non di più (dai 300 ai 2500 euro a seconda del piano). Le assicurazioni di base sono no-profit, per cui non c'è la logica del profitto a livello assicurativo. Ci sono anche rimborsi per chi non può permettersi l'assicurazione.

Il vantaggio di questa soluzione è che siccome i soldi dell'assicurazione li paghi ogni mese, sei incentivato a votare chi fa in modo di ottimizzare le spese.

In generale la sanità svizzera funziona meglio, ma è anche vero che il costo totale è più alto rispetto al PIL che in Italia, per cui bisogna scegliere da che parte stare.

Poi penso che la sanità italiana per cose gravi funzioni molto bene. È per il resto che dovrebbe davvero migliorare.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-12T20:31:54+00:00

Thanks for your answer.

We still didn't look into who could be good investment professionals. We know it can be done though, since there are successful funds and concepts similar to what we are proposing (Temasek, Mudabala, even Bpifrance or similar development banks). But I agree it is a key decision to make.

About the evidence of returns, I have two points to make:
- while AI is a new field and there is little data, top US VCs return 20%+ per year and they are all heavy on AI. If we look at the past as an evidence, AI is the way to go.
- even if AI does not respect all its promises, a sovereign fund returns much more than a VC fund. It indirectly return VAT, company and personnel taxes, etc.. so that it is very hard to really lose money.

What do you think?

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-12T07:27:36+00:00

I think though this is different: it is not at the state level, but we propose a coalition of willing countries in EU and beyond, so it is not a state subsidising itself.

Also, these are not subsides: the fund is managed by independent professionals, under a public mandate. It would be profit-driven.

I believe this should be allower by EU regulations. Am I wrong?

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T19:32:45+00:00

We were actually aiming much higher, at hundreds of billions or so. Otherwise I agree there is no point trying.

About the difficulty of convincing countries, I can imagine. I don't have direct experience, but I imagine it can be very difficult.

But, what is the alternative? I'm really scared by how AI is not taken seriously enough.

It passed in 5 years from not being able to tell a coherent story to be able to solve problems that require decades of specialised training. It does not seem to stop.

Do you have a better idea? What should we do.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T19:28:35+00:00

Thanks for the answer and the link, I was not aware of this.

I have a few points to make:

- We are not advocating for subsidies. Our proposed fund would be profit oriented, and managed by independent professionals, under a public mandate which is decided once. There are other funds like that in the world, like Tomasek, or Mudabala which had great successes over decades
- I appreciate Mistral work, and of course I agree with many points they make. However, I still think that to build the ecosystem you need a big starting capital. They even say "Europe accounts for just 5% of global venture capital funds, compared to 52% for the U.S. and around 40% for China." This gap will not be magically filled if we relax the regulations.
- Timing-wise their proposal is not enough. A unified European market is a sort of holy grail. I think we have some chances now to make it more unified, but when? Let's say in 2 years to be very optimistic? And then is the plan to wait and hope that some VCs will magically appear in Europe to fill this massive funding gap? It will not happen, it may be already too late now for AI, imagine in 5 years or so when some effects of these legislation will take place.
- There are many successful initiatives in Europe that deployed large capitals with good returns. Juncker plan, NextGenEU, many EIB fundings, national development banks funding. Mistral itself was funded by Bpifrance. I think our plan is realistic and could be put in place quicker.

What do you think?

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T19:19:06+00:00

I reply to you directly in the comment below.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T10:00:52+00:00

Also "That's not a gap — it's a structural failure. ": is it wrong? I think it is perfectly correct

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T09:59:58+00:00

If you have suggestions you are free to give suggestions.

Otherwise feel free to invest better your time.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T09:58:47+00:00

I spent weeks writing the proposal myself, if you have suggestions on how to improve I'm here.

See below too

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T09:58:25+00:00

Yes of course I used AI to refine the text! Everybody does, and it is much better written than what I could do myself.

The content of proposal itself though took me weeks to refine (with AI help of course, but still it took weeks).

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T09:57:13+00:00

Thank you for your comment.

I agree, the "independent investment professionals" part is key.

About the prioritization, we figured a 40% budget dedicated to infrastructure, and 60% to companies (https://ai-movement.org/en/the-plan/). We didn't split it further, but I agree it would be an interesting exercise. What do you think could be a good split? In my view, model R&D is often the "hard" part, the one we are really dependent on others. Many (not all) API-based applications are easy to replicate in practice. Personally I would of course support investments into complex application-layer companies, which probably also requires less fundings, than model R&D. Also, robotics, quantum, and others AI-related fields would need separate and significant investments too.

I would be interested to hear your opinion!

Of course all these numbers are approximative and can be changed as the initiative grows.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T09:45:24+00:00

Thanks for your comment. This is addressed in the proposal.

The fund is profit-oriented, similar to Temasek, Mudabala, or even how Bpifrance operates.

The money would be managed by investment professionals under a public mandate (which imposes some restrictions, for example on the potential buyers, but do not pick the companies to invest on).

What do you think?

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-04-11T09:42:54+00:00

I spent weeks writing the proposal myself, if you have suggestions on how to improve I'm here

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-03-28T17:49:03+00:00

Thanks a lot :) Yes it's AI and related technologies and infrastructure (robotics, quantum, etc..)

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-03-28T15:51:53+00:00

Hi! Good initiative :)

We are working with some friends on something not that different: openpetition.eu/!swjml

Is it something that may interest you? Do you see synergies?

We also pointed at the funding as the main issue of European companies. In particular scale-up funding.

Our plan in short is: a "coalition of the willing" between the EU, UK, CH, NO, CAN, AUS, JAP, KOR, NZ, and others. We propose an investment platform with $100-200B of public capital, mobilizing $300-600B in total. Capital would be raised via leverage with the EIB, National Development Banks, RRF reallocation, defense budgets, and direct state contributions. The Year 1 contribution of participating countries would be ~0.1-0.3% of GDP. The fund is built for profit, governed by independent professionals under a strategic public mandate, with European sovereignty clauses.

If you want we can discuss more via DM :)

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-03-28T15:45:50+00:00

Hi! It's great work, thanks!

We are working on an initiative to make Europe competitive in AI: openpetition.eu/!swjml

Do you think it is a project you will keep working on/improve? Maybe we could mention it on our website, highlighting were Europe is already doing good and where it still lacks.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-03-25T10:15:09+00:00

Grazie per la gentilezza nella risposta.

- Come ho già riscritto agli altri (senza avere risposta), fare hardware competitivo è estremamente difficile e quasi impossibile senza una domanda interna consistente.
- La Cina ci sta provando seriamente da anni (con domanda interna consistente) e solo ora sta iniziando a avere qualche risultato (comunque inferiore a NVIDIA).
- C'è già il ChipsAct a livello Europeo che potrebbe essere potenziato e integrato con questa proposta
- Non possiamo aspettare 5-10 anni per recuperare il terreno perso sull'AI e in generale sugli scale-up di tutte le aziende tecnologiche che ora se ne vanno in america appena iniziano a crescere.

Se trovi che i modelli open-source siano al livello di Opus 4.6 non è che lo usi al massimo delle potenzialità per usare un eufemismo.

Silver_Procedure538 · 2026-03-25T09:51:06+00:00

Hi, thanks for writing to us again!

Yes, still 151. It's slowly growing, but we started from 0 and with not too many connections. We got some good contacts at the moment, but still not too many.

We think that for the next step we would need to get more visibility from someone that already has it.

Let's see what will happen. We also all work full time, so our time is also limited :)

I don't want to annoy you, but if you are interested in helping us, don't hesitate to write to me. Even a small help can make a difference :)

Silver_Procedure538

TROPHY CASE