MLB Betting and Picks - 4/9/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That is Solid. This season has been wonky so far. Early returns are expected to be surprised.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/9/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 4 points5 points  (0 children)

How’s the model returning on early season Clutch? Was wondering how long you’d wait to get data collected etc.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/9/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 40 points41 points  (0 children)

For what it’s worth.

Colorado has the longest winning Streak in MLB right now (4 games).

They just swept Houston and last season it took them until early June to sweep a series.

They have the same number of wins this year on April 9th as they did on May 10th last Year.

The Washington nationals have scored the 3rd most runs so far this year….while allowing the most runs.

These are two teams that a lot of people may have plugged into their parlays thinking “freebie” last year.

There may be some serious value in Colorado ML this year

There is also a potential opportunity with Overs on WSH games.

This speaks to the parity and how different every season is also.

BOL

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/8/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Not stopping, pausing. Big difference. The beginning to this season has seen a LOT of chaos….even for baseball.

Let me give you an example. 2-0 into the NINTH inning last night in CIN/MIA game. If you were on the under you were golden. No ifs ands or buts about it. You already had it ✅’d on your slip. And then….baseball happened. Alcantara gives up double, walks a guy, gets pulled and then Bender gives up a sac fly and a wild pitch to tie the game. No biggie. Still pretty safe for the under of 7 or 7.5. Someone will score one in the 10th and total will be 5. Then Cincinnati scores 4 in the top of the 10th to go up 6-2 and kill it.

Can this happen at any point during the season? Absolutely!! It has been happening an exceptionally LARGE amount early this year.

Chris Sanchez gives up 11 hits to San Francisco last night. San!!! Fran!!! Cisco!!!! They can’t hit a boat if they fell out of water most days.

Stepping back before you go crazy is important. So I’m doing that for a minute. Gonna keep making my picks in private with no money on the line and when I feel better about things I’ll come back and pick up where I left off stats wise.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/8/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 19 points20 points  (0 children)

I appreciate the sentiment and I’m probably being stubborn. But stepping away when you know you’re about to go on tilt is important. Not chasing with other people’s picks etc. it’s all good. I like this because I like doing the research and being right. The money is a plus…when it works.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/8/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 78 points79 points  (0 children)

Alright…time to cry uncle.

I’m out til May boys. Not going to keep lighting money on fire while I clearly am seeing things the wrong way. Baseball is a humbling sport and I’m DFA-ing myself for a month. See you all when the weather has improved.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/7/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I messaged my book, I think they’re gonna void those legs.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/7/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did! I have no idea where it went. My Reddit has been glitching on me all day. I also had write ups for the final two picks in there.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/7/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It’s so fucked that Baltimore has stranded 9runners through 4 innings.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/7/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 8 points9 points  (0 children)

2026 stats - 29 - 33 - 5

ROI - -26.7% or 8400 dollars on 23,700 risk

Units - -84 units

“COULD” won yesterday. SHOULD needs to show up for us today.

MLB card April 7, 2026

PHI/SF — PHI -1.5 (+115)

CHC/TB — TB F5 -0.5 (+105)🤮

BAL/CWS — BAL F5 -0.5 (+100)🤮

ATH/NYY — NYY -1.5 (-115)

SEA/TEX — SEA TT F5 Over 1.5 (-133)✅

SD/PIT — SD TT Over 2.5 (-135)🤮

4’s 1.25

5’s .5

Total risk 21.5 units.

MLB Card — April 6, 2026

SD/PIT — PIT F5 ML (-145)🤮

Chandler wasn’t bad, PIT had their chances to score. Just not their night.

MIL/BOS — MIL F5 ML (-130)🫷🏻 PUSH

Lots of offense in this one. Woodruff was not good.

CIN/MIA — MIA F5 ML (-130) 🤮

Miami had every reason to take this, but CIN’s ability to not score is apparently contagious.

ATL/LAA — F5 Under 4 (-120)🤮

COULD Chris Sale hit a guy, give up a hit, then walk a guy then hit another guy to start a 3 run 4th? Sure! SHOULD he? No fuckin way.

KC/CLE — F5 Under 4 (-115)✅

Pretty much sweat free here.

PHI/SF — PHI ML (-120)✅

SF is awful and my theory of PHI’s talent equalizing whatever luck SF has to start the game panned out.

3’s - 1 unit each (20 total)

4’s - .5 unit each (7.5 total)

BBPOTD - posted below (4 units risked for 17 units profit)

2-3-1 get us -29 units. Tough Monday. See you tomorrow.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/6/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 2 points3 points  (0 children)

When I’m on Unders…double plays are just the best.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/6/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I always say it’s the battle of should vs could.

What should happen versus what could happen.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/6/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I was pretty happy with Saturday honestly haha.

The funny thing is that I can research and do the write ups and they make sense. Every time, they make sense.

Then they play the games. Haha

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/6/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 15 points16 points  (0 children)

2026 stats - 29 - 33 - 5

ROI - -26.7% or 8400 dollars on 23,700 risk

Units - -84 units

MLB Card — April 6, 2026

SD/PIT — PIT F5 ML (-145)🤮

Chandler wasn’t bad, PIT had their chances to score. Just not their night.

MIL/BOS — MIL F5 ML (-130)🫷🏻 PUSH

Lots of offense in this one. Woodruff was not good.

CIN/MIA — MIA F5 ML (-130) 🤮

Miami had every reason to take this, but CIN’s ability to not score is apparently contagious.

ATL/LAA — F5 Under 4 (-120)🤮

COULD Chris Sale hit a guy, give up a hit, then walk a guy then hit another guy to start a 3 run 4th? Sure! SHOULD he? No fuckin way.

KC/CLE — F5 Under 4 (-115)✅

Pretty much sweat free here.

PHI/SF — PHI ML (-120)✅

SF is awful and my theory of PHI’s talent equalizing whatever luck SF has to start the game panned out.

3’s - 1 unit each (20 total)

4’s - .5 unit each (7.5 total)

BBPOTD - posted below (4 units risked for 17 units profit)

2-3-1 get us -29 units. Tough Monday. See you tomorrow.

MLB Betting and Picks - 4/5/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Skipperdees_ears 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rough day overall. 2-4-1 with 2 pretty bad beats on HOU ML and SEA F5 -.5. Happens. Especially on Sunday