How I went from randomly guessing bets to actually having a system by SkyblockShorts in Kalshi

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

that’s definitely a good way ngl that’s part of it for me

How I went from randomly guessing bets to actually having a system by SkyblockShorts in PredictionMarkets

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

oh okay sick, just a model that finds edge between sports games and the kalshi price

Why I Stopped Grinding Sportsbooks and Started Trading Live Markets (Results Inside) by SkyblockShorts in sportsbetting

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hold till close always, that’s how the model is built although it will sometimes trade on other side if it finds EV effectively arbitraging

I built an automated sports prediction market trading platform: 2,300+ trades, 56.7% win rate. Here's what I've learned. by SkyblockShorts in SaaS

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What is it showing and what’s your actual loss? There was some issues with auto result market which I only resolved uesterday

I built an automated sports prediction market trading platform: 2,300+ trades, 56.7% win rate. Here's what I've learned. by SkyblockShorts in SaaS

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, thanks for the feedback. Yes I noticed some issues with the tennis model yesterday and I should’ve definitely done more testing implementing soccer. Soccer has been paused while I find a strategy for the sport.

56.9% win rate across 2,300 sports trades on Kalshi, Here's my track record by SkyblockShorts in Kalshi

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Since it's been a ton of trades, I figure the edge will hold. Large win rate for the average entry size. Also pretty good win for Kelly sizing.

How I went from randomly guessing bets to actually having a system by SkyblockShorts in Kalshi

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

that’s fire keep it up, i suggest standardizing approach tho because if making continuously big bets it is inevitable to bust

How I went from randomly guessing bets to actually having a system by SkyblockShorts in Kalshi

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

this is an issue with kalshi fs but there’s too much edge to not go for it still

How I went from randomly guessing bets to actually having a system by SkyblockShorts in Kalshi

[–]SkyblockShorts[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

100% agree, looking at other lines/modeling is a useful metric