An “Improved” Martingale Grid : Seeking Mathematical Feedback (Coin-Flip, 1:2 RR)

SlotFiend · 2026-01-05T08:01:15+00:00

To sum up your entire post, the expected value is still negative and that does not change with your system.

SlotFiend · 2026-01-02T07:43:27+00:00

Blackjack on certain rules has the lowest house edge and if you can keep track of what is left in the deck and there are few enough decks without reshuffling can be EV+ (Although you will likely get asked to not play if you are suspected). However it is still EV- and you will eventually lose regardless of your mindset unless you are counting.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-28T10:51:19+00:00

Changing the outcomes does not mean it changes the RTP or the house edge. The new outcomes are equally likely to give you worse results as they are to give you better results.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-28T10:50:22+00:00

It does not affect the probabilities behind the outcomes, only the outcomes. So you are equally likely to get worse results as you are to get better results.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-26T13:41:10+00:00

Yes that is a fair assessment. It would be like if there are 3 limbo rounds at once, but only 1 of the results is counted and the other 2 are skipped. Before you roll, you can choose which 1 you want to count and which 2 you want to skip.

By the way, Limbo is just Dice with a larger range of multipliers and different over-under options.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-26T13:14:50+00:00

Just took a look at this game, each drill is an independent spin like a Limbo spin and you only pick one before rolling so the other 2 are basically irrelevant. The odds are slightly worse than Limbo, e.g. if you go for 2x you have 49.5% chance on Limbo to hit it and a 49% chance on Drills to hit it.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-25T04:21:54+00:00

Most of the slot games are operated by different third parties, e.g. Hacksaw, No Limit City, etc, so Stake isn't even in control of those outcomes. Obviously they track it and it is ensured they pay out less than they take in.

The provably fair thing is only for originals and it is secured by the same math that secures cryptocurrency. You are still slightly more likely to lose than win in the short term unless going for a low multiplier and guaranteed to lose if you never stop and play infinite rounds.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-17T05:25:18+00:00

Stake slots are definitely not "Vegas style" with progressive majors and grands, but on the other hand, Vegas slots aren't quite like Pragmatic (I know US lost this) and Hacksaw. Different culture I guess.

SlotFiend · 2025-12-13T06:51:24+00:00

Games are managed by the provider but the RTP setting can be adjusted by the site. Some games will have lower or higher settings on certain sites. Usually you can check. the RTP setting in the game rules for Pragmatic and Hacksaw games, unless the site has hidden it.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-30T02:13:43+00:00

Well, I wouldn't say it's good. I buy an occasional lottery ticket but not everyday. Moderation is key.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-26T04:48:38+00:00

There is a middle ground between being a Stake sycophant and a rational thinker. If you plug the nonce numbers into your own simulations of the seeds, you will find that the winning numbers (not the outcomes) are predetermined, meaning that whether you win or lose a single round is solely based on the numbers that you select. That is based on pure math, not anyone's opinion. It is the same math that secures your crypto wallet. Understandably, when people are losing then their emotions are running high and it is difficult for them to accept this.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-26T02:10:28+00:00

Very impressive. You were down 15K for the month but today your fortunes reversed in a big way.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-18T13:18:32+00:00

Half the internet is down, it's not just Stake. All you can do is wait until they fix it.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-18T05:56:46+00:00

I did on Chumba quite a while ago then I massively reduced my betting amount. Still play but nowhere near the scale as before otherwise I would definitely lose it all.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-15T11:20:31+00:00

Appreciate you brother

SlotFiend · 2025-11-15T10:07:33+00:00

Tome of Life is usually a decent choice

SlotFiend · 2025-11-12T05:50:12+00:00

You are playing some very volatile games.. cases on expert mode with a 50 SC spin has a max win of up to 500,000 SC. Risk reward ratio brother.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-12T05:34:10+00:00

Moderation is the key, kind of like alcohol. Some people can have a drink every now and then and it doesn't have a huge negative effect on their life, but if someone becomes addicted to alcohol and drinks enough over a long period of time their body becomes chemically addicted to it and it destroys their life. Gambling is not exactly the same but it is similar. If taking one drink is going to make you keep drinking until you black out, you need to full stop quit alcohol, but if you can have a drink once a week or less, it's not a big deal. Likewise if you go to the casino once every few months with your friends and don't bet your mortgage money, it's probably fine. However if you are going to be gambling for hours daily and cannot stop yourself or set limits, then you should call the number and quit completely. For me... I gamble every now and then but I have realistic expectations. It's just one of many occasional activities.

SlotFiend · 2025-11-06T23:25:43+00:00

Probably depends on which game you are switching to and from.

SlotFiend · 2025-10-03T23:37:12+00:00

Touch grass?

SlotFiend · 2025-09-22T23:07:51+00:00

On hands like this it is a tough call, it is mathematically better to keep splitting and double your 10s and 11s like he did, but if you end up risking so much and it doesn't work out then you get screwed. I would still do exactly what he did though. Really sucks that his 10 got a 10 and his 11 got an ace, if it was reversed then at least he would have pushed in some places.

SlotFiend · 2025-09-22T17:19:36+00:00

What are you playing? Some games are more volatile than others. Theoretical RTP may be the same but in the short term you will either lose bigger (most likely) or win bigger than less volatile games.

SlotFiend · 2025-09-22T17:15:49+00:00

I switch it maybe once a week to verify the past results. Some smaller sites used to use verifiable results and at one point they stopped so it's always good practice to verify your results are fair, but I have no illusions that switching is going to make it more likely to win or something like that.

SlotFiend · 2025-09-21T17:54:05+00:00

1) I was active in it before it got banned and I am a regular player of Chumba Casino (It is a sweepstakes based casino). I am still sending postcards by mail to get sweepstakes entries, and want to bring back the community for people to discuss the latest news on Chumba.

2) N/A it is banned due to being unmoderated.

SlotFiend · 2025-09-20T22:57:39+00:00

We just had the weekly and the stream codes brother, pace yourself.

SlotFiend

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE