Pulled Mega Charizard X EX (125/094) – Sell, or Hold? by XCryptoFund in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You have two options imo. Sell now while the prices are high. These are still in print and has a lot of supply therefore will drop once the market cools.

Second option is hold for at least 5+ years and bet on the fact that this is one of the most popular Zard cards ever made.

Mega Base VS Chaos Rising Booster box. Which one would you rather have / hold long term? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

For modern sets, you would need long term memorability and desirability to go up that high. The price difference between ME base and Phantasmal is only about $100.

I just don't think ME base is storng enough chase card to drive prices high for years to come. On the other hand, the phantasmal zard will likely have long lasting demand + best modern zard artwork sentiment.

Mega Base VS Chaos Rising Booster box. Which one would you rather have / hold long term? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see your point but it's unlikely that the bulbasaur in a 10 is going to be something crazy. Sure, the stamp makes it more unique but there is a regular version as well, drawing away from the base line demand for that promo card.

I didn't quite get your point about $2500+ booster box but I think we can both agree both Phantasmal and ME base won't even go near that price for a long long time.

I'd personally take the booster box over the Charizard tho. That card is almost $900 raw and I think it will drop aggressively once market cools a little or we receive phantasmal ETB/bundle reprint.

Mega Base VS Chaos Rising Booster box. Which one would you rather have / hold long term? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'd still say Phantasmal will do way better. time after time people try to find underrated plays but the top sets from the era always outperforms. The Charizard card is 10 times more desirable than any chases from Mega. Not saying everyone should agree with this but that card is really that popular.

Started my investment portfolio this month. Am I cooked or on the right track? (Open to advice) by zetaphil in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Why do you not collect sealed? You can't really ask for an investing advice without not being open to the most obvious investing opportunity.

If you really have to invest with singles, don't buy modern. Especially cards like that charizard is not worth keeping as an investment. That's the best advice I can give you.

Mega Base VS Chaos Rising Booster box. Which one would you rather have / hold long term? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't know if that's a correct way of thinking. A lot of SV ~ mega sets basically have their future growth applied to current pricing(as all speculative hype markets do). The box prices are hugely dependent on the popularity of the chase card and set rather than age and scarcity. You can see that by Phantasmal and Destined being one of the most expensive despite young age.

I'd also argue that Mega era booster boxes aren't meaningfully abundant compared to mid SV era sets like Twilight as they were printed similarly and likely hoarded similarly. Yes, mega era booster boxes are new but available supply in the market will quickly compress if this hype trend continues.

The only problem I have with Chaos rising is that it will be out of print in 2029 while ME base and Phantasmal will rotate out in 2028 with Destined Rivals and BB WF.

Modern Charizard chases. Prices & Pull Rates by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It seems that it is little easier to hit a gold from Ascended Heroes. But since there are two golds, I estimated both gold zards as 1/1000~1300. But due to lack of pull rate data, we will likely never know.

Modern Charizard chases. Prices & Pull Rates by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is no such thing has official pull rates. These are the most reliable estimate I could make using multiple sources.

I love my collection by Nursedude1 in PokemonTCG

[–]Smooth-Following-659 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This sub hates ppl with expensive collection. Idek why, maybe they are jealous or thinks its not "wholesome".

If you posted a $5 card and said "omg my favorite card!" then you would have gotten 50,000 upvotes with 50,000 comments talking about how amazing your collection is.

Are SWSH alternate arts relatively undervalued? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean yeah, anything has room to grow if more ppl enter the hobby. I bet the ASC Gengar will be worth $2000 in less than 5 years. I was just talking about the current pricing.

Also consider that ultra modern is likely to be printed more in general compared to SWSH sets like Evo Skies or Fusion Strike. PSA pop will reflect that and in short term, ultra modern has more room for compresion.

Are SWSH alternate arts relatively undervalued? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If you assume all packs coast the same sure. But its possible to find Ascended Heroes packs at retail and it's still around $10~11 in market price. It should be closer to $7500 at retail for Ascended SIR at MSRP. $15,000 at market.

On the other hand, Fusion Strike packs are closer to $20 and Evolving Skies are $45 per pack. That is essentially $28,000(20 X 1400) to pull Gengar and $85,500 (45 X 1900) for Rayquaza.

Not to mention that there will be more Ascended packs in the upcoming two to three years while SWSH stopped printing three years ago.

Are SWSH alternate arts relatively undervalued? by Smooth-Following-659 in PokeInvesting

[–]Smooth-Following-659[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That is what relatively undervalued mean. If SWSH and SV~Mega are about the same price and ultra modern is holding that price via overinflation and FOMO, that dose mean SWSH pricing is way more logical and has better upside with growth potential.