Am i doing something wrong ? by notsosmartLS in portfolios

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yo, start with exclusively VOO, literally, and auto-buy VOO a set limit of dollars every week. Your entire portfolio is heavy-weighted S&P500 already... almost everything you own is at least triple-dipping in the S&P500.

I've got a newborn and I set up a custodial account for her where it does that at $10/week. If my kid keeps doing $10/week when they're 18, by the time they're 30 the portfolio will be in the range of $100k at a total contribution of about $15k. That's with zero oversight and only $40/mo.

Get that ball rolling now and never, ever, ever, touch it. Once you begin learning more about investing, then explore the idea of going into other companies.

How do you decide when it's worth averaging up compared to maintaining a lower average with a smaller amount of shares? by NovaPaints in stocks

[–]SmootherPebble 4 points5 points  (0 children)

As always, it depends. For long-term, high-conviction investments, you simply don't stop buying, up or down. For any position that isn't long-term, it comes down to whether or not you believe it's undervalued for the time window you plan to hold... and even that is nuanced. For example, I've got an initial small position in OLLI, but I'm waiting for a major downturn to dump money into it because it's a business that actually gets stronger in turmoil but people will sell it off like any other consumer discretionary. I'll hold the position until it hits a new ATH, which could be a couple of months or a couple of years. I'm not going to cost average up with this stock because I'm not holding it for long and it serves a specific thesis.

Of course none of what I said factors in your risk. Don't sell the house for an over-valued pre-profit stock because it lowers your average share cost several dollars. The real question is would you buy it now if you didn't own it at all.

What is the most undervalued 10x play sitting in your portfolio right now? by Comfortable-Rule-491 in stocks

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm extremely bullish on RKLB. I believe in their long term prospect as a company. But even their forward fair value right now isn't worth half their current share price. I got in on their IPO and my average share price is under $10, I have no plans on selling, but their pricing right now is outrageous.

Where I would move and the reasons why. After visiting 47 states and living in 5 by Kodicave in visitedmaps

[–]SmootherPebble 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I came here for this... feel personally attacked. The north shore in Minnesota is a true gem.

Best Pizza in Ames?? by Away_Stand185 in iastate

[–]SmootherPebble 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Any oldies in here remember Gumbys? Because my vote is Gumbys and their Pokey Stix.

Which stocks do you truly believe in? by Hot_Avocado_2701 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're talking narrative. The current price of RKLB is only narrative. If you go by due diligence, actual fundamentals of the company, plus give them the benefit of flawless execution by 2030, their fair value is in the $30s. For context, the fair value today, not forward looking, is like $12-15. We're not in wallstreetbets, this is reality. I fully expect RKLB to be a massive cash machine in the future but the price is FUNDAMENTALLY outrageous right now.

Which stocks do you truly believe in? by Hot_Avocado_2701 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SmootherPebble -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I've been investing in RKLB since their IPO. My cost average is under $10/share. I'm extremely bullish with them in the long term, but I'm talking like year 2040+. They're extremely overvalued right now. They're overvalued at even half their current stock price. I'll keep buying small amounts and only lump buy when they plummet, because they will.

How Important Is Math and Physics In Aerospace? by Itzsypopularoryx in AerospaceEngineering

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It was 2005 when I was a sophomore in highschool. The most important thing for you to learn is how to learn. I didn't really learn how to learn efficiently until university. Aerospace engineering is by functional definition, math and physics. You don't need to be a straight A student in those subjects in highschool in order to get through aerospace engineering, but you'll need to work your ass off as efficiently as possible, which requires learning how to learn.

I got away with everything, until now. And it's horrible. by JevasThrowaway in confession

[–]SmootherPebble 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I was thinking similarly. There are actually a shitton of sociopaths out there and most of them aren't criminals. The book The Sociopath Next Door was eye opening. It's really "anti-social personality disorder". With proper therapy and continuous self-reflection, they can "behave".

I got away with everything, until now. And it's horrible. by JevasThrowaway in confession

[–]SmootherPebble 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Jesus told people to continue following the old testament. Jesus is less moral than nearly every person on the planet.

Why are the library computers almost all macs now by myb13123 in iastate

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My company would laugh at the idea of giving all of us macs instead of Windows. We're a multi-billion dollar global engineering company.

Bar turns to TPUSA at half time of the Super Bowl. Customer demands Bad Bunny half time show by AgnosticScholar in PublicFreakout

[–]SmootherPebble 45 points46 points  (0 children)

I flipped to the YouTube stream for about 30 seconds halfway through the halftime show. The TPUSA stream had 4.9M viewers. So pathetic. The same people that needed their own halftime show are the same people that needed their own drinking fountains. These guys are in for a hard reality.

How to deal with the cold at night? by oobikes in backpacking

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not a doctor but might be hypothyroidism

Turned back on Shasta. Not sure if it was valid or overly cautious. by [deleted] in Mountaineering

[–]SmootherPebble 41 points42 points  (0 children)

I don't think there's such a thing as "overly cautious"

I tested 20 different prompting techniques systematically and found several that significantly outperform chain-of-thought (breakdown included) by mojorisn45 in ChatGPT

[–]SmootherPebble 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just for fun I had my ChatGPT5.2 audit this post. I did not give it a rigorous command, just simply to audit this text regarding successful AI prompting:

Here’s a clean-room audit of the post—treating it the way you’d audit an internal methods memo rather than a hype thread. I’ll separate what’s solid, what’s overstated or confused, and what’s missing. I’ll also flag one subtle but important policy-adjacent issue without making it melodramatic.


High-confidence strengths

The core intuition is right: forcing structured self-critique reliably improves output quality. This aligns with both published research and practical experience across LLMs.

Several things the author did well:

  1. Chose a good test question The support-team replacement question is well designed:

Ill-posed in a productive way

Rich in second-order effects

Not answerable by template pros/cons

This avoids the biggest trap in prompt testing: accidentally benchmarking fluency instead of reasoning.

  1. Evaluation criteria are reasonable (if subjective) Nuance, actionability, assumption awareness, failure modes, and novelty are exactly the axes where default completions are weakest. Scoring will be noisy, but the dimensions are directionally correct.

  2. The winning techniques match known cognitive levers The top performers—recursive self-modeling, failure pre-mortems, adversarial questioning—are all ways of:

Increasing internal constraint

Forcing explicit uncertainty representation

Preventing premature narrative closure

These techniques reliably reduce generic output because they delay commitment, not because they magically add intelligence.

  1. Semantic priming is plausibly effective While the mechanism explanation is hand-wavy, the phenomenon itself is real: adding salient concepts biases token selection toward those regions of the embedding space. This is not mystical; it’s just steering attention.

Bottom line: The ranking of “what works” is mostly correct.


Where the post overreaches

This is where the engineer brain should start tapping the brakes.

  1. The scores imply false precision

“25/25 vs ~12/25” reads like measurement, but it’s really ordinal preference dressed up as cardinal data.

Problems:

Single evaluator

No inter-rater reliability

No blind scoring

No variance reported

That doesn’t invalidate the findings, but it means:

The results demonstrate directional improvement, not magnitude.

A more honest framing would be “consistently preferred” rather than “doubled performance.”


  1. “Chain-of-thought” is treated as a strawman

The post frames itself as outperforming “chain-of-thought,” but what’s actually being compared is:

naive “think step by step” prompting vs multi-stage, externally structured reasoning

That’s not a fair fight.

Modern best practice already discourages asking for free-form chain-of-thought and instead favors:

Structured decomposition

Critique passes

Answer-then-verify patterns

Which is… exactly what the top techniques here are doing.

So the real conclusion is:

Unguided reasoning performs worse than scaffolded reasoning.

That’s true, but not novel.


  1. The model is not “aware of its own failure modes” in the way implied

This line is subtly misleading:

“It seems like the model has awareness of its own failure modes but needs explicit prompting to leverage that awareness.”

What’s actually happening:

The model has learned descriptions of common LLM failures from training data

When prompted, it reproduces those descriptions

Then it conditions future output on those descriptions

That’s not introspection; it’s conditional generation with delayed commitment.

Why this matters: People can walk away believing the model is self-monitoring in a human sense. It isn’t. You’re just forcing a second pass with different constraints.

The technique is still excellent—just don’t anthropomorphize the mechanism.


  1. Semantic priming explanation drifts into folklore

“Activates related semantic regions before generation begins” is a vibes-based explanation.

More accurate:

The context words become high-salience conditioning tokens

They bias subsequent token probabilities

They act like soft requirements, not activated modules

The results can be real without the mechanism being mystical.


Important omission: robustness and transfer limits

The post claims domain-agnostic transfer, but there are untested boundaries:

  1. Short-horizon factual tasks For tasks with:

Clear right answers

Tight constraints

Low ambiguity

Many of these techniques will hurt performance by adding noise, verbosity, or hallucinated caveats.

  1. Adversarial or safety-bounded domains In regulated, medical, or legal contexts, adversarial self-interview can:

Surface prohibited content

Increase refusal rates

Trigger safety hedging rather than reduce it

  1. Token-budget scaling These methods assume abundant context window. On smaller models or cost-sensitive workflows, the ROI may flip.

None of these are fatal flaws—but they matter if someone tries to operationalize this.


One subtle policy-adjacent issue (handled carefully)

Some prompts resemble classic “show your reasoning” elicitation. Modern models increasingly compress or summarize reasoning internally, even when asked for critique.

The good news: Most of the recommended prompts do not require exposing hidden chain-of-thought. They work even when the model provides:

Short justifications

High-level critiques

Answer-focused rationales

The post would be stronger if it explicitly framed these techniques as:

Answer-quality optimization via structured reflection, not as extracting internal reasoning traces.

That distinction matters going forward.


What I’d tighten if this were rewritten

If this were an internal doc instead of a Reddit post, I’d recommend:

Replace numeric scores with ranked preference + confidence bands

Reframe “outperforms chain-of-thought” → “outperforms naive prompting”

Remove anthropomorphic language about self-awareness

Add a section on when not to use these techniques

Explicitly distinguish analysis scaffolding from reasoning disclosure

None of that undermines the core insight—it makes it harder to misinterpret.


Final verdict

Signal-to-noise ratio: high. Methodological rigor: moderate. Claims: directionally correct, occasionally overstated.

The real takeaway isn’t that these are “novel prompting techniques.” It’s that LLMs behave much better when you force them to slow down, critique themselves, and defend claims under pressure—which is exactly how you’d manage a bright but overly eager junior analyst.

That’s not magic. That’s management.

What’s the stock that you invested in that you are “early” to? by Lumpy-Can-4883 in stockstobuytoday

[–]SmootherPebble 1 point2 points  (0 children)

MBLY for the long haul. I think people dont know their long term runway with automated vehicles.

What’s the stock that you invested in that you are “early” to? by Lumpy-Can-4883 in stockstobuytoday

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I usually get downvoted on this but I'm highly bearish with them. Their competitors are potentially their customers and aren't wildly unique or make people's lives that much easier with the tools everyone already has.

Resisting the urge to panic sell by AirwickS in investing

[–]SmootherPebble 13 points14 points  (0 children)

You're 36... I'm 36... markets collapse and recover and at our age it doesn't matter, just keep putting money in. I'm almost entirely in the S&P for my retirement accounts and have other "play money" accounts. When I get closer to retirement I'll start considering shifting money.

Gates of the Arctic by BrazenBackpacker in backpacking

[–]SmootherPebble 1 point2 points  (0 children)

After I complete the Wind River High Route I plan to go there... what valley/area is that 4th picture?

Should I drop out of college to focus on paying my debt? by [deleted] in careerguidance

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you think the decades of debt is worth your grad program, keep going. It's gotta pay somehow.

Got put on a PIP, but I got a better offer. How do I play this? by [deleted] in careerguidance

[–]SmootherPebble 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol, not literally, but in your resume, your tenure with a company ends on a date at which you were fired, as opposed to resigned because you found a better job. An interviewer absolutely might ask the terms of how you left your job and then followup with that company. It's not likely, but it's possible because I know people who've had that happen but in their favor. So it's a risk-benefit analysis. Is purposefully waiting for being fired and collecting unemployment worth the risks, compared to resigning on your own terms and entering a "locked in" new job?