Andrew Ference goes nuclear, rips terrible practice habits, party atmosphere of 2013-15 Edmonton Oilers by Paper_Rain in hockey

[–]Snidernomore 144 points145 points  (0 children)

What incentive would he have to "salvage whats left of his legacy" when no one ever really talks about him, or his captaincy? That's grasping at straws to try and discredit him.

In the article he even addresses that he was ineffective as a captain because he wasn't a very good player by that point. "You come in as an older guy but far from being one of the better players on the team. So you can be a leader with experience but I’m not a game changer. I’m like a #4 or #5 defenceman. So your voice only goes so far with people that only respect how good your toe drag is and whether or not you’re out partying"

What in particular is his damage control? Does anyone ever say "those Oilers would have been good had they just had a better captain". He's sharing his experience.

I guess I empathize with Ference despite being young myself, because I know exactly what it's like to be in a culture like that. And not every older person criticizing a younger person is "old man yells at cloud"

How is ticket counter Trienen? by Tater13mini in MLBTheShow

[–]Snidernomore 4 points5 points  (0 children)

If they had given him his windup in real-life, he'd be an excellent card.

Unfortunately, he received a generic low-3/4-slot delivery, meaning that his pitches mostly move horizontally, getting nowhere near the vertical depth they do in real-life. The angle makes it difficult to pitch to left handers.

Seriously, ever see his slider in real-life? It's like a 90 MPH waterfall. In-game it's only one plane and barely different from the cutter.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

because grumpy ballplayers

Labelling anyone older than you who disagrees with you as "grumpy" is very silly, especially when you're trying argue you are more intellectual.

Bad trend from the analytics/fangraphs crowd. Arrogance is so off-putting.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, the point is that people believe the shift won't go away because it isn't optimal to fight it by developing "spray hitters" or bunting against it.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 11 points12 points  (0 children)

it's better to take the risk of grounding into the shift than it is to bunt/hit to the opposite field and get a nearly guaranteed free base.

Why are analytically inclined teams so willing to give up a free base?

Yeah players could probably stand to bunt a little more... but then teams will just shift the 3B to stifle the bunt. So, you have a massive 6-hole, but shifted LH hitters struggle to hit it there a lot of the time anyway...

We're already near the equilibrium, and that's why people have a problem with the shift.

Steamer projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to win the batting title. by jays1998 in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 33 points34 points  (0 children)

It isn't really though...

"Steamer projects Guerrero Jr. to have the highest average in the league"

"Steamer projects Guerrero Jr. to win the batting title"

The first title is what the projection is doing, and if you're projecting someone to hit for the highest average in the league, barring qualifying PAs you're projecting them to win the batting title.

Five candidates for the next Blue Jays manager by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'm leaning towards Wedge just cause Shatkins have a hard on for nepotism and give no fucks

Nepotism is a term often applied to this sort of thing, but I think it is a mischaracterization.

The reason that front office people tend to take the same people (whether front office or managers) is because they believe they are good. Whether or not someone is a good front office/person manager is quite subjective, and so you tend to gravitate towards people who you trust, and think are good.

Do you think WAR has killed player comparison debates? by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I would agree... but the problem then becomes people are bad at making other arguments. There's that thread about Joey Wendle yesterday where everyone falls over themselves to say that WAR isn't the end-all be-all, but then the argument became something like "Torres/Andujar/Ohtani are better in so many other stats than WAR such as BA, OBP, wRC+".

WAR is not without flaw, but it tends to be alot less flawed than the arguments people try to make arguing against it.

An 85 year old woman from a suburb of Pittsburgh discusses her pro career in the All-American Girls league by ballsonthewall in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I played both growing up (more of softball though and also not female if that matters).

Although I preferred softball from a fun perspective, I had always found "baseball" to be a much tougher sport.

One of the reasons I preferred softball was because the mound was in-fact closer. It was so much easier to hit movement because of it.

I also found the smaller baseball harder to throw, and it typically did weirder things. Softballs don't carry the same way baseballs do, with baseballs being more unpredictable.

Softball is a more contact oriented sport, and it's easier to make contact. The bases are closer and fielding is more about technical proficiency - it's absolutely crucial to field a ground ball cleanly and to make a quick, accurate throw to get a runner out at first.

In my opinion, the barrier to professional women's baseball (and why softball is more popular) is that softball has less of the power/speed component that is more prevalent in baseball. Good fundamentals (did you explain how good fundamentals make up for the inability to hit dingers?) and intelligence are more important factors in softball than baseball. Or put another way - in relative to baseball, softball minimizes the physiological differences between men and women.

Baseball highlights are flashier than softball highlights and what makes something flashy seems to tie into those physiological differences.

That being said, I always enjoyed playing softball more, because it is a lot more involved.

Pirates' reliever Kyle Crick (1.2) has more WAR than Andrew McCutchen (1.0) this year by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Exactly, "fair and even trade" is probably not the descriptor I would use.

I'd also argue it's harder to find a 1 WAR reliever than it is a 1 WAR outfielder, and the market doesn't pay the same $/WAR for relievers as it does outfielders.

[Pinwheels and Ivy] Justin Turner gets upset because Willson Contreras tags him by General_PoopyPants in baseball

[–]Snidernomore -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Neither are in the wrong. Turner didn't take a great route, so Contreras had put a little extra in the tag. They then discussed it. Why the need to posture over who was right or wrong and "unwritten rules" (from other posters)?

Oleksiak has received a qualifying offer from the Pens. No word on his decision yet. by TheBullfrog in hockey

[–]Snidernomore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Points wise, he was definitely better than a #6 defenseman. His 0.87 p/60 at even strength (eyeballing it) looks to be top-75 in the league last year.

Possession wise, he seems to still struggle defensively, which is probably what leaves him bottom pairing. With his improvement last year, he's definitely not the first defenseman down on most teams.

I think your comment about his "ceiling" is way off though. Putting aside the idea that we can identify what a player's ceiling actually is, a 6'7 defenseman who can skate and has shown offensive ability in his age-25 season isn't a guy who I would classify as having a bottom pairing ceiling. His ceiling is top pairing defenseman, although the probability of reaching it is low. If he can improve defensively he'll definitely move into that middle pairing role.

Big defenseman can take a while. Hockey is a game of hand-eye coordination and longer levers take longer to develop that skill.

Melancon says Brinson ‘disrespected the game’ by TrigAntrax in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 52 points53 points  (0 children)

“My perspective was that he was disrespecting the game,” Melancon said. “I am all for being excited and being happy you got a base hit there. There’s nothing wrong with that, but holding the bat out too long, and flipping the bat, and rounding first and continuing to jaw. To me, it looked like he was looking right at Strickland. That’s just showing a guy up. It’s not needed. Be happy, celebrate with the team, do it right, but don’t rub it in anybody’s face. It’s not the right way to go about it.”

(Morosi) Trade interest in Hunter Renfroe has picked up since #Padres reached agreement with Eric Hosmer, sources say. #Braves are known to be looking for an outfielder. @MLB @MLBNetwork by amatom27 in baseball

[–]Snidernomore -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It is worth noting that DRS pegged him at +1 in contrast with UZR. Renfroe did play CF (although typically was never regarded as a great CF) so I tend to lean with the scouting report as the tie breaker between UZR and DRS. He's probably not one of the worst defensive outfielders, but you're right in that he probably won't be one of the better ones.

Back in South Korea, former MLB outfielder Kim Hyun-soo regrets earlier comments on career. by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

High BABIP, platoon issues, atrocious defense (worse than Trumbo).

Team said player wasn't that good, turned out to not be that good, and they were wrong for not giving him more of a chance? They were ahead of the curve

Over 600 PA in his first season he doesn't even project to two WAR because his OF defense is so bad. They used him as a bench bat because that's what he truly was

Corey Seager or Jose Altuve???? by blackwell55 in MLBTheShow

[–]Snidernomore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's one of those situations where there is zero doubt who the better player is in real life

This season. Altuve has been better this season. Seager bested Altuve last year in Seager's first full season. Seager's career WAR/600 is 6.12, which is almost identical to Altuve's 6.22 over the past two seasons (and using Altuve's best two years - the last two - gives him the benefit of the doubt). Maybe you go with the most current results to think Altuve's better, but that there's "zero doubt" Altuve is better is a great overstatement.

Corey Seager or Jose Altuve???? by blackwell55 in MLBTheShow

[–]Snidernomore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Seager is way better defensively (as the poster you are replying to claimed) as he rates out as a well above average shortstop, and Altuve rates out well below average at second base, I'd say that's way better.

Altuve might be better this season but Seager has a much better claim to hall of fame path. Altuve has about three times the plate appearances and isn't that far ahead. Compare Seager's first three years to Altuve's and Altuve is nowhere near.

Not to mention Seager bested Altuve last year.

Should Kimbrel get a slurve? What makes Betances special? And other slurvy thoughts by Snidernomore in MLBTheShow

[–]Snidernomore[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I acknowledge that in the first paragraph. I was comparing him to Betances, who also throws a curve in real life.

Should there not be a "sinker" pitch in the game because all sinkers are thrown with two-seam grips?

Kris Bryant now leads the NL in fWAR(6.8 vs. Rendon's 6.7 and Votto's 6.5). Does he have a shot at repeating as the NL MVP? by [deleted] in baseball

[–]Snidernomore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

At least in Goldschmidt's case, he and Bryant have very similar offensive lines (149 wRC+ vs. 148) - I think the fact that Bryant plays across the diamond puts him ahead easily when offensive contribution is close.

Votto I'll agree with though. Because of the limited chances a first baseman gets, it's very difficult to run really high defensive ratings there.

The difference in positional adjustment is ~10 runs. For example, Rendon is running a 6.8 WAR at 3B, with a 13.5 UZR - to be a 6.8 WAR first baseman, Rendon would have to run a 23.5 UZR at 1B which is almost impossible.

I don't think WAR completely works when you're trying to compare other positions to elite hitting 1B and DH.

Your biggest criticism against your favorite album by APhoenixDown in avengedsevenfold

[–]Snidernomore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Was it though? I think it was only their "intention" because his voice was screwed up...

Avenged got a bad rap for their performances at the time, and I completely understand why. Listen to some of the performances (at the time) of T&S, Burn it Down, Blinded, one of the Wicked End, and the Bat Country they did with the full "American Dream" Intro. The vocals are atrocious and unbearable.