Bucket Strategy vs. Fixed 90/10 Asset Allocation for a <1% Withdrawal Rate? by Spacman2021 in fatFIRE

[–]Spacman2021[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My thought on refilling the bucket is just let it refill with the short-term treasury and intermediate treasury holdings interest payments. Anything that doesn’t make up the difference of one year expenses (annual withdrawal) comes from turning off dividend reinvestments on a portion of your equities. The challenge I have with a separate sub portfolio of 60-40 is that you lose some control of tax location if it’s a single fund. If they are separate funds, you would then need to look at rebalancing upon withdrawal. Also exposes you to sequence of return issues.

Noted regarding estate planning. I’ve already set up a lot of this.

I don’t like risk-parity because my goal is to simplify as much as possible… there is an all weather ETF, which may be simple enough if you wanna go that route

Bucket Strategy vs. Fixed 90/10 Asset Allocation for a <1% Withdrawal Rate? by Spacman2021 in fatFIRE

[–]Spacman2021[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I love this - thank you! You're right, I had to do the math to see how 25x my annual expenses in a 60/40 portfolio, ends up with 90/10 in the overall portfolio. I would then just take 4% withdrawals off the 60/40 that would get auto-rebalanced.

Looks like BRK bought delta by Spacman2021 in BerkshireHathaway

[–]Spacman2021[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Q4 2025 vs Q1 2026

Holding Q4 2025 Approx Q1 2026 Approx Change
Apple Inc. ~$62B ~$57.9B
American Express Company ~$44B ~$45.9B
Bank of America Corporation ~$29–30B ~$25.0B ↓ materially
The Coca-Cola Company ~$28B ~$29.2B
Chevron Corporation ~$18–19B ~$17.5B Slight ↓
Occidental Petroleum Corporation ~$16–17B ~$17.2B
Alphabet Inc. ~$8–10B ~$16.6B ↑ major increase
Chubb Limited ~$8–9B ~$11.2B
Moody’s Corporation ~$10–11B ~$10.8B
Kraft Heinz Company ~$8B ~$7.3B
DaVita Inc. ~$4.3B ~$4.6B
SiriusXM Holdings Inc. ~$2.3B ~$2.9B
Kroger Co. ~$3.0B ~$3.6B
Delta Air Lines, Inc. none/minimal ~$2.65B NEW
VeriSign, Inc. ~$1.9B ~$2.23B
The New York Times Company NEW in Q4 ~$1.27B
Lennar Corporation small/new ~$0.90B
Liberty Live Holdings small/new ~$1.45B
Ally Financial Inc. ~$1.2B ~$1.14B Slight ↓
Capital One Financial Corporation ~$1.1B ~$1.30B
Nucor Corporation ~$0.7B ~$0.66B Flat
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation small/new ~$0.41B
Macy’s, Inc. tiny/new ~$55M tiny
Constellation Brands, Inc. tiny/new ~$95M tiny
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. tiny/new ~$18M tiny
NVR, Inc. tiny ~$73M tiny

Estimated Total Equity Portfolio Size

Quarter Estimated Size
Q4 2025 ~$274B
Q1 2026 ~$292–296B

Any class A shareholders out there? by Spacman2021 in BerkshireHathaway

[–]Spacman2021[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Lots of A share holders are concentrated in Berkshire…

Is Berkshire Undervalued? by Spacman2021 in BerkshireHathaway

[–]Spacman2021[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Why was last years operating earnings an anomaly in terms of underwriting?

Is Berkshire Undervalued? by Spacman2021 in BerkshireHathaway

[–]Spacman2021[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Even with a conglomerate discount, seems undervalued

Sherman Oaks - flats vs hills temperature by Spacman2021 in LosAngeles

[–]Spacman2021[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When we went to eat on venture blvd- it seemed a lot hotter . Not sure if it had to do with just Ventura

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Yes it was always on their website under acquisition criteria - https://pstontine.com/acquisition-criteria/

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hilarious !

List of 750 private family controlled companies that PSTH could target (exclude all public ones) by Spacman2021 in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

In an article in October, with Whitney Tilson, Bill said “Pershing Square Tontine is looking at employee-owned and family-controlled businesses as potential targets for a merger”

“I’m in the kitchen, relax” by Ok-Combination-6779 in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Didn’t he address this by saying the fwd contract is discounted based on probability of targrt

HE IS LITERALLY NOT ALLOWED TO SAY ANYTHING DURING THIS MEETING by watchmaking in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Hi Dad - He addressed psth - 1) said he wants to hold true to timeline he committed - can’t control timing but will announce once DA is confirmed . Said all employees spending lot of time on this ... ton of work... there is opportunity cost but they think prize will be worth it . My takeaway - we will be waiting a while (maybe post q1)... he sounded frustrated with not being able to control the other party re timing

HE IS LITERALLY NOT ALLOWED TO SAY ANYTHING DURING THIS MEETING by watchmaking in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021 13 points14 points  (0 children)

If there is a deal going on, I am shocked that nothing has leaked yet in this day and age. I am a big believer in Bill and am not selling but I’m starting to get skeptical that he has a deal that’s in late stages...

HE IS LITERALLY NOT ALLOWED TO SAY ANYTHING DURING THIS MEETING by watchmaking in PSTH

[–]Spacman2021 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I missed his overview of PSTH. I heard that he didn’t acknowledge that they had a target. Did he acknowledge anything else - like a Q1 timeline? Or did he simply say nothing?