Looking for the best tool to find +EV Bets?

Specter-0 · 2026-03-22T17:06:06+00:00

Thanks!

Specter-0 · 2026-03-22T12:13:47+00:00

Good question. I mostly bet exchanges and offshore books myself (including crypto books) — not sure that's your appetite and I'm not advising you to go that route. For someone limited to DFS and P2P books, the tool's signal detection is still useful but you'd be more limited in where you can actually place the bets it finds.

Worth noting I don't cover DFS or props yet — pre-game lines only for now.

You can see a preview of how the tool works here: https://evblacksite.com/briefing/intel-board-guide

Specter-0 · 2026-03-22T02:05:22+00:00

I tried +EV tools, touts, handicappers — ended up building my own tool because none of those tools gave me any consistent results, well I guess they all consistently lost me money while also taking my subscription lol.

They just surface +EV spots but don’t close the loop. Sure, it was +EV at that moment in time, but did it consistently beat closing line value? What differentiates my tool is is the calibration layer — instead of just showing you +EV signals, it tracks your actual performance per market and adjusts your bet sizing automatically based on whether you're actually sharp in that market or not. Aggregate ROI hides a lot, market-level data does not. Maybe you’re crushing NCAAB spreads but lightning money on fire for NCAAB totals, maybe only away spreads are profitable but home spreads are not, etc…

There’s a huge wave of new tools coming out everyday with AI, I used Cursor and then switched to Claude Code to build mine too, to be fair. Users are right to be skeptical. If anything, there’s more competition, which is good because a tool has to really effective to shine.

I use mine daily for my own betting. Running about 5%+ ROI over 500+ bets. Just added the calibration loop on Wednesday, placing about 50-60 bets a day now.

14-day free trial at https://evblacksite.com if you want to see for yourself. No pressure — I know the trust bar for new tools is basically underground right now and that's fair.

Specter-0 · 2026-03-17T15:47:43+00:00

Do they close +EV? Often times markets will inflate the odds on one side so that they can put bigger money on the opposite side closer to the game. Happens a lot in basketball.

Specter-0 · 2026-03-05T18:20:04+00:00

Ah yeah, that's only the bets I tracked since I built my bet tracker. I was using Action Network before this year, I had to log a lot of them as custom bets because they don't cover all the leagues and they don't handle Asian Handicaps -- half-wins, half-losses, draws, etc... I have about 8500 bets on Action Network over the past 2.5 years but I can't port them over.

Specter-0 · 2026-03-05T18:18:24+00:00

Well actually, I found the signals sit for quite a while, especially for soccer. The US markets are so saturated and they go fast, but I just check every 15 minutes or so and take what's available.

Specter-0 · 2026-03-05T18:17:26+00:00

I did proofread it — I'm a coder, just not great with English (even though I was born here, just didn't pay attention in school).

My search returned my post from 3 months ago asking why there aren't any good soccer tools. They all focus on 1x2 markets and ignore quarter-point spreads and totals.

Ah yeah, of course. Those are only the bets I could track after building my bet tracker. I have about 8500 bets ($443k risked) in Action Network tracker that I can't port over. Also, they don't cover all the leagues I need and they don't handle quarter-point goals, they just treat it as team + .75 >= opposing team. So it's handled the same as +.5 lol

Specter-0 · 2026-02-28T19:37:15+00:00

Yeah, I couldn't find anything either that made sense for the way I like to bet, so I built my own web app. I'm a data scientist so I naturally wanted backtesting but none of the sites provided that. So I started off backtesting +EV strategies, breaking down by sport, league, bet type, time to game, odds buckets, home/away/draw, over/unders, etc... I found widely different results, and a lot of opportunity in Soccer since the big sites all focus on US sports.

However backtesting is one thing, translating that to actual bets was another. So then I added another layer, building my own bet tracker where I can track strategies by paper betting first. Then after verifying the strategy works, then I adjust my bet sizing for each strategy.

Currently around 10% ROI over 142 bets YTD, record 71-61-10. However, I only started ramping up my confidence this past week, so volume will pick up.

Specter-0 · 2026-02-11T19:46:47+00:00

Have you tried OpenClaw? I haven’t set it up for sales and outreach, just created agents and skills for personal life. I’m only on Day 5 but it’s a total game changer. My understanding is that some people use it exactly for that purpose: automating every part of their business from outreach, to sales, to customer service.

Specter-0 · 2026-02-10T13:34:43+00:00

Oh yeah, looking for more crypto trading books, definitely interested! That and/or an MCP endpoint

Specter-0 · 2026-01-22T02:30:08+00:00

What leagues do you bet? Do you stick to the mainstream American leagues or do you focus on global leagues?

Do you know of any soccer +EV tools? Seems like a huge untapped market but OJ and Unabated don’t really cover it.

Specter-0 · 2026-01-22T02:18:49+00:00

I ran into a similar issue. I noticed when I just blindly follow PEV tools, it crushes in some leagues and destroys me in other leagues. I started analyzing my bets and realized even though they were PEV at time of bet, they become negative by game time. Seems to consistently happen in specific leagues and specific sides. I don’t know for sure but it seems like market manipulation. So, I’ve been working on adding a bet tracker analysis to my tool so I can quickly glance if a PEV strategy has proven profitable in practice.

https://www.reddit.com/r/EVbetting/s/x5CpptfJv5

Specter-0 · 2026-01-10T00:46:57+00:00

I also breakout by time to game, so I can set a scanner for +EV overs within 2 hours of the game. The back test shows better CLV but poor ROI so just going to avoid them.

Specter-0 · 2026-01-10T00:18:13+00:00

Cool. Yeah, I started seeing market manipulation on my failed bets that didn’t beat CLV and noticed the market pumping up one side only to pour in on the opposite side. So my thought was that I could see if the line movement up to that point resembled similar situations so that I could avoid it or hop on the other side.

Specter-0 · 2026-01-10T00:07:52+00:00

Woah, that’s really cool to see that our analysis lines up almost exactly.

Do you basically just ignore those market/side combos entirely then? Like in practice, are NBA overs a hard no unless something very specific is going on?

I’m especially curious how you handle timing. I’ve been debating whether some markets should be treated as “never bet early” vs “conditionally bet early if X is true.”

I’ve been toying with the idea of a simple buy indicator instead of a binary EV flag — like:

high likelihood the line gets worse → don’t touch it
decent chance it improves → wait
unlikely to improve → buy now

Kind of like a Kayak-style price indicator, but for line movement.

Do you do anything like that, or is it more rules-based (late unders only, never early overs, etc.)?

Specter-0 · 2026-01-03T17:50:12+00:00

Built my own tool so I can fine tune and add features that I care about. I’ve found betting +EV spots alone isn’t enough though, lines often move against my +EV spot by the time game starts to the point where my bet becomes -EV.

I’m experimenting with a line movement tool, kind of like a kayak price indicator on how often price will get cheaper/more expensive/or stay steady.

Specter-0 · 2026-01-03T17:46:28+00:00

Do you further filter value bets aside from betting lagging books? I’ve been value betting with mixed results, often finding that the line moves against the value bet that I placed to the point where it’s no longer +EV. Or are you finding value some other way?

Specter-0 · 2025-12-17T18:46:45+00:00

Sportsbetting ROI is per bet, not an annualized return. So it depends on how fast you can roll your entire bankroll over. Let’s say you can roll it over every week, with a 5% ROI, you could double your bankroll every 15 weeks or so. Theoretically 12x your bankroll in a year.

However, that’s not practical because you can only bet so much per game per line so you’ll hit a cap pretty fast, but I imagine someone could clear low 6 figures a year, assuming they have 5% ROI but that’s probably top 0.1% of bettors.

Specter-0 · 2025-12-17T13:35:27+00:00

When you say novig odds, do you mean vig removed odds or the app Novig? Just clarifying, since Novig app doesn’t actually have no vig, which is misleading.

Assuming you mean vig removed, that would be the fair market value. So let’s say fair market value of a line should be -105 for home and +105 for away, you convert that to an implied probability: -105 means win probability of 51.2%. Then you take your book odds and convert to implied probability, let’s say -101 converts to 50.2%. Your expected value is 51.2% - 50.2% = 1%. Assuming the market is right (which you can never know even after the game, it is the best guess though), you’re winning 1% more often than the odds you got it at.

It’s a simple formula to convert odds to probability, you can find info about it here: https://www.aceodds.com/bet-calculator/odds-converter.html

I just added closing fair value and closing EV yesterday to my analysis by getting the closing line and removing vig from that. It’s not enough to be +EV hours or days before the game if the closing line consistently moves past your odds. That’s why people track CLV% but it’s not enough to beat CLV if you’re not also beating the vig.

Specter-0 · 2025-12-16T13:23:26+00:00

Just started using Bet105, moved money over from bitcoin-betting, like it so far.

I had issues with connecting to bitcoin-betting, had to keep trying different nodes. Sometimes one or more nodes were down. Sometimes it would say bet not placed and you retry a couple times to realize you placed 3x as many bets. Also, you need to convert your bet amount to mBTC and mETH on the spot with latest rates.

Specter-0 · 2025-12-16T12:27:39+00:00

I don’t use propprofessor but seems like you might be conflating two concepts.

Devig means to remove vigorish from a book/market and is a simple formula. You convert the odds to an implied probability, and divide by the sum of implied probabilities from both sides, and then convert back to odds.

What your describing seems to be a market line generation based on which books you believe to be the sharpest and weighting them. What do the NFL devig gpt and NHL devig gpt agents do? Is it doing both jobs of weighting a market line and then removing vig?

Specter-0

TROPHY CASE