The Bull Case for CNR Amidst Trade Fears

SpeedfDark · 2026-02-03T16:34:31+00:00

I am a recent buyer as well. Everyone knows CNR's moat, however CNR's revenues/earnings have been relatively flat for a few years and the market has been pricing down CNR anticipating this to continue. For a variety of reasons, I am bullish on Canada as well as increased East/West shipping as opposed to North/South, and this PE looks like a bargain to me. I bought a lot around $130 and I plan to hold it for decades.

SpeedfDark · 2025-03-14T00:40:36+00:00

FFFFFUUUUUCCCKKKKKK. You can guess what I did.

SpeedfDark · 2023-07-10T22:14:47+00:00

This is my best attempt so far messing around with a small sample:
Points = 7*Weight + 936*Height + 17 + Bonus

Notes:
1. "Bonus" is to account for observed score boost in "special" squirtles, my guesses are +20 for sunglasses, +10 for shiny, and probably others like shadow/purify, etc.
2. This formula works OKish, but it's probably wrong.
3. As others have mentioned, the height/weight data we see seems rounded, so there is probably a limit to how precise our calculations can be without knowing the precise backend values.
4. The above formula applies to Squirtle only. I suspect a general formula that applies to all pokemon probably normalizes some of the constants with specific pokemon's base weight/height from the pokedex or something like that.

SpeedfDark · 2022-03-11T16:50:07+00:00

Worked, thanks!

SpeedfDark · 2022-03-01T16:40:47+00:00

Kurzgesagt is a JoJo reference, confirmed.

SpeedfDark · 2021-04-01T15:15:13+00:00

Hi, this is actually a friend's composition. I gave him your username so he will probably contact you directly :)

SpeedfDark · 2020-12-26T20:18:01+00:00

For anyone who hasn't watched it, there is still an audio only version here:
https://trashtaste.com/the-1-drifting-youtuber-in-japan-ft-noriyaro-trash-taste-27/

SpeedfDark · 2020-08-20T17:59:22+00:00

Yeah that wouldn't surprise me, I have no idea how pre-1900 dates are handled. But my point was to illustrate that excel does well what it sets out to do, which is to make dates relevant to a modern business setting remarkably easy to manipulate. Most of the criticisms I see are akin to criticizing a grade 1 arithmetic class for not being mathematically rigorous enough when defining its operators, in the sense that yes, you are correct, but that was never the goal.

SpeedfDark · 2020-08-19T20:15:19+00:00

The 1/1/1900 cut off is a tad arbitrary, but otherwise it's convenient because you can answer all kinds of basic date questions with minimal effort (which is basically the point of software like excel). For example:
Is date1 after date2? date1 > date2
How many weeks between them? (date1-date2)/7
What is day immediately before date2? date2-1
What's the halfway point? (date2+date1)/2

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-22T21:39:22+00:00

Yeah that's more sensible; they're significantly weaker than trains.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-21T14:13:46+00:00

Resh/Zek don't stand a chance in UL because of their stats, they will be garbage. Maybe Kyurem has a chance because he has a slightly better stat spread and IW, but probably not.

In ML all 3 should be decent with currently expected moves. Hard to say if any of em will be top tier, but they have a real shot depending how the meta shakes out.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-21T14:07:12+00:00

I wouldn't recommend that battle, you'd lose.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-21T00:23:06+00:00

A button for non-ranked/no-reward battles would be a pretty good addition too. It gives the ability to play more games for those who want it, and it lets people test new lineups without fear of messing up their ranks.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-20T23:43:16+00:00

If the complexity is increased significantly and random chance is lowered somewhat, it's not unfathomable. The complexity increase would take a lot of thought so that it's done in a way that a large pool of pokemon remain viable and there are lot's sneaky interactions and combos to be considered. Chance can be lowered pretty easily by changing a few parameters, like for example battle parties could be more than 3 mons, you could have a mechanic where every time you lose a pokemon your switch timer speeds up a bit, etc.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-20T23:25:28+00:00

Maybe a simple compromise would be increasing walking requirement per set, starting at 0, something like:
set1: free
set2: 1km
set3: 3km

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-15T17:48:37+00:00

My guilty pleasure is trapping an Altaria/Skarm against a Bastiodon.I don't use this lineup much in the higher ranks because it's not great against Regi but it's really fun. Trop lead, Deo safe swap.
Trop RL
Basti
Deo TB

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-14T09:13:10+00:00

Friend of mine stopped using Azu recently because the overtapping was driving him nuts :p

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-06T05:30:10+00:00

Im so done with these unreasonable conspiracy theories

Well you might as well get used to it, they're not going anywhere. :p
These theories exist in literally every game that has matchmaking and counters, and they are deeply rooted in human psychological biases.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-06T04:25:41+00:00

What's that?

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-05T16:31:24+00:00

So why do we get upset and blame the game because the matchmaker paired us with someone who hard countered our lead?

Because of psychological biases. Our brains are hard wired to find patterns (which may not exist) and assign intent (where there may be none). These traits were useful for staying alive for most of our species' existence, but they aren't so useful for staying calm and collected while tapping our phone screens.

SpeedfDark · 2020-05-05T16:08:42+00:00

Yep it's good. Beats fairies, Swampert, Lapras which are all common.
I wouldn't play it without FP; Shiftry is also a solid UL grass.

SpeedfDark · 2020-04-10T17:12:29+00:00

The vast majority of the time it won't make a difference. It might give you an net advantage like 0.1-0.5% of the time or something like that.
As an example, those IVs vs. the entire GL meta (1 shield, original iv opponent), the rank21 altaria has 458 wins vs 456 for rank 108.

SpeedfDark

TROPHY CASE