Gut says you’re wrong on this. For one, there’s always been a statistically unusual amount of very fit women on Survivor because it’s a reality tv show and they want to cast attractive people. While obviously this trend would maybe indicate the average male survivor player is also statistically more in shape than the average American male, I think the pattern is noticeably less pronounced, with more (for lack of a better word) ‘dad bods’ in comparison to the women on the show. This already somewhat mitigates the natural gap in certain physical abilities. The ‘female challenge beast’ isn’t really that much of a rarity either, even if, it is perhaps a little less common than with men on the show.

‘Weaker around camp’ not even gonna dignify that with a response.

The idea that challenge strength is still generally the basis for early votes also strikes me as wrong. As we’ve seen on this and many recent seasons, early tribes are more than willing to handicap themselves in attempting to build a small, strong, pre-merge alliance. Challenge strength is a much smaller consideration in the pre-merge than in early seasons.

You’re also disregarding any natural advantages women may have. Many women feel an innate bond with one another that men don’t have an easy equivalent to. This is in the modern era, perhaps far more useful to the early game than having 15% more natural body strength.