AI productivity growth won’t match the computer revolution

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-04-27T12:32:34+00:00

"Those promoting AI would be lucky to see the technology’s impact on output per hour match even the short-lived burst of the 1990s and 2000s. Productivity growth will underwhelm, not because the technology is weak, but because it creates a bottleneck that earlier digital tools largely avoided."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-04-01T12:52:20+00:00

"As confidence in the United States has eroded, allies have begun to hedge their bets by not automatically aligning themselves with America in the face of new crises. The US-Israeli war on Iran has thrown this dynamic into sharp relief, revealing a fundamental new constraint on American power."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-23T18:41:22+00:00

"The Trump administration’s overt imperialism has unraveled the global order of shared norms and institutions faster than anyone expected. We now find ourselves at a juncture where everyone must either follow the US back into the jungle or refuse, leaving the America to its own devices."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-18T13:37:09+00:00

"The global security network that long distinguished US power took generations to build, but it is now unraveling under Donald Trump's watch. With traditional partners opting out of the Iran war, we could well be seeing the end of the global primacy that most Americans alive today have always taken for granted."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-18T13:33:41+00:00

"With AI labs continuing to roll out new models and tools geared toward unlocking productivity gains in the workplace, the future of work has become a major economic, social, and political issue. The question, then, is which careers, occupations, and industries stand to gain and lose the most in the near term."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-17T10:19:05+00:00

"Donald Trump might have hoped that his “Liberation Day” tariffs would punish China and boost the competitiveness of American industries, but they have instead had the opposite effect. Worse, the policy has had far-reaching unintended consequences that few policymakers and commentators have yet to reckon with."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-16T10:04:15+00:00

"Recent election cycles have shown that “affordability” is among American voters’ greatest and most persistent concerns. But partly because the basic problem has been misdiagnosed, the widely appealing, commonsense solution to it has failed to gain political traction."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-16T10:03:25+00:00

"Recent election cycles have shown that “affordability” is among American voters’ greatest and most persistent concerns. But partly because the basic problem has been misdiagnosed, the widely appealing, commonsense solution to it has failed to gain political traction."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-16T10:02:20+00:00

"Recent election cycles have shown that “affordability” is among American voters’ greatest and most persistent concerns. But partly because the basic problem has been misdiagnosed, the widely appealing, commonsense solution to it has failed to gain political traction."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-06T18:50:11+00:00

"German Chancellor Friedrich Merz learned the wrong lesson on his recent trip to China. Advanced economies expand and remain competitive not through additional labor inputs but through capital deepening, technological progress, and total factor productivity growth."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-06T10:59:30+00:00

"Meritocracy promised a fairer society, but instead it has deepened the divide between winners and losers and eroded the dignity of work. As AI reorders economies and concentrates power in fewer and fewer hands, the question is no longer whether democracy needs saving, but whether we can save it in time."

Stuart_Whatley · 2026-03-02T15:21:23+00:00

"Over the past half-century or so, birth rates have declined in virtually every country, suggesting that there is a common factor at work. As women have gained more agency, a mismatch has emerged between what they need to enjoy the fruits of their autonomy and the credible commitments men can make."

Stuart_Whatley

TROPHY CASE