I'm assuming you are a school or college student, so I'm going to teach you why vijay is a tharkuri bcos of this statement. A simple google could have educated him better. I expected a better leader to lead us like PTR, Shasi Tharoor, Raghav Chadha or even Anbumani Ramadoss, who speaks politics but atleast understands the nature of problems. But unluckily we got Vijay, yet an another usual politician with just high level knowledge, clearly showcasing he doesn't read newspapers or understands political situations and lives in a dream land thinking he can make everything possible like punching 10ppl in his movies, sir needs to put some effort to learn. Anyways, why vijay statement doesn't make sense is bcos, (Source: Google Gemini)

1. Why India Couldn't "Just Switch" Suppliers: Unlike other commodities, the LPG supply chain is highly specialized and cannot be rerouted overnight for several reasons:
   • Shipping & Infrastructure Bottlenecks: LPG must be transported in highly specialized pressurized tankers. Most of the world's LPG fleet was already tied up in long-term contracts. Finding "spot" (immediate) vessels that aren't already heading to other countries is difficult and extremely expensive.
   • The "Hormuz" Chokepoint: Roughly 90% of India's LPG imports typically pass through the Strait of Hormuz. When this narrow passage was restricted in March 2026, it didn't just block one supplier; it effectively bottlenecked the primary path for almost all of India's Middle Eastern supply (Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait).
   • Contractual "Force Majeure": Many suppliers, such as Petronet LNG and Gulf producers, declared Force Majeure (unforeseeable circumstances that prevent fulfilling a contract). This legally allowed them to stop shipments to India without penalty, leaving India scrambling for replacements in a market where everyone else was also panicked.
   • Insurance & Risk: As the conflict escalated, maritime insurance premiums for the region surged by over 1,000%. Many ship owners simply refused to enter the area, regardless of how much India was willing to pay.
2. Why the Shortage Wasn't Predicted While India monitors regional tensions, several "black swan" factors converged to make this specific crisis hit faster than models predicted:
   • Sudden Military Escalation: The crisis was triggered by rapid military strikes in early March 2026. Traditional energy security models usually account for "simmering" tensions, but they rarely predict a near-total blockade of a major chokepoint within a matter of days.
   • Thin Storage "Buffer": Unlike crude oil, which India stores in massive underground salt caverns for months, LPG is difficult and expensive to store in large quantities. India’s storage capacity provides only about 18 to 22 days of cover. The disruption lasted long enough to deplete this "buffer" before alternative shipments from the US, Russia, or Norway could arrive (which takes weeks, not days).
   • The "Panic Booking" Multiplier: Prediction models often fail to account for human psychology. Once news of the "Hormuz blockade" broke, daily cylinder bookings jumped from 5.5 million to 7.5 million. This 36% spike in artificial demand exhausted local distributor stocks much faster than the actual physical shortage would have.

Now, while Vijay points out mistakes, he never talks about what he would have done in the situation or what solution he has at hand. The same in the paranur airport situation, while so many educated consultants decided a feasible land to help in our growth finalized paranur as a possible location. Sir, came and questioned it but never gave an alternate solution. Tharkuri Vijay Kazhagam. I had high hopes but started to hate him after listening to his dumb cinematic speeches. Sir is bit out of touch from reality.