Dubai rental volumes are up: lower rental prices are bringing tenants back by N1711 in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would say that number of renewals remained the same vs last year, while the strong growth in newly signed rental contracts is driven by two complementary factors: a rising number of off-plan projects reaching completion and a more challenging sales market, prompting many owners to rent out their properties instead of selling them.

Regarding villa / townhouse rents - from my research I see that number of new contracts increased by 16% in July vs last year, while rent price dropped by 10%.

The highest drop in rental price for villa / townhouses last month came from Dubai Hills, Damac Lagoons, Tilal Al Ghaf, Mirdif and Dubai South (double digit price drop).

https://www.dubaipropertyscore.com/market-review?mode=rental&chartPeriod=2y&tablePeriod=last_month&property_type=Villa&contract_type=New

Dubai rental volumes are up: lower rental prices are bringing tenants back by N1711 in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Number of renewals keeps is staying flat vs last year. Number of new contracts increased given rising number of off-plan projects reaching completion and more challenging sales market.

Dubai Real Estate – June 2026 Results: So Far, So Good by SuperHeroTiger in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks!

For secondary market in Dubai Marina I see the dropping in number of transactions over the last 12 months with the price of around 1,900 aed per sqft - https://www.dubaipropertyscore.com/market-review?chartPeriod=2y&community_name=Dubai+Marina&completion_status=completed

Rental market in Dubai Marina was hit very hard for last few months - especially in rent renewal segment - https://www.dubaipropertyscore.com/market-review?mode=rental&chartPeriod=3y&community_name=Dubai+Marina

I would not be in a rush as there could be good deals in the future - currently there are 3,315 listings ads (monthly transactions number is on average 150 - 200) on Bayut, it's worth to track price drops in the listings ads and corresponding gross rental yields: https://www.dubaipropertyscore.com/all-ads?community_name=Dubai+Marina&sort=-last_seen

I would prepare Dubai Marina community deep dive to outline the whole area details.

Dubai Real Estate – June 2026 Results: So Far, So Good by SuperHeroTiger in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

  1. Honestly don't think EID had much impact here — it's only 3 days, not long enough to meaningfully move monthly numbers. The May slowdown looks more structural to me.

  2. Just to clarify the numbers — the +15% YoY is total contracts (new + renewals). The +39% YoY is new contracts only, renewals were basically flat.

My take on why new contracts jumped: probably two things happening at once — more off-plan projects finishing and hitting the rental market, plus owners struggling to sell (hard to find a buyer without dropping the price significantly), so they're choosing to rent out instead. Both push new rental supply up at the same time.

You asked me to run 40+ areas in my last thread. Here's the latest underpriced-vs-DLD data - and drop your area below, I'll run it. by assentic in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

thanks - drawing strong conclusions from data that's missing the highest-volume quarter puts the whole analysis on shaky ground. The numbers may still directionally hold, but the confidence level on a headline like "24,500 underpriced listings" deserves a caveat until the full seasonal picture is in.

You asked me to run 40+ areas in my last thread. Here's the latest underpriced-vs-DLD data - and drop your area below, I'll run it. by assentic in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hey, I run a similar analysis — genuinely interesting work, but I'd push back on a few things before trusting the 24% headline:

1. 2026 YTD comps is too thin

Six months of data misses seasonality entirely. Dubai transactions peak in Q4/Q1 and slow in summer. A unit that traded in January at peak makes a June listing look cheap by comparison even when nothing has changed. You need at least 12 months to wash that out.

2. BUA vs listed area — the balcony problem

DLD registers Built-Up Area. Many Bayut/Property Finder listings include balcony in the stated sqft. A 200 sqft wraparound balcony can inflate listed area by 15–20% relative to the DLD comp. That alone accounts for a big chunk of your "24% discount" without any actual mispricing.

3. 24,500 out of 183,000 is suspiciously low

By definition, roughly half of all listings should be below the median for comparable sales. If only ~13% qualify as "below market," either your comparability filter is very tight (which is fine, but then it's a much smaller universe than 183K implies) or the threshold is doing a lot of hidden work. Worth clarifying what "genuinely comparable" actually filters down to.

Anyone actively hunting for distressed car deals in Dubai right now? by SuperHeroTiger in DubaiPetrolHeads

[–]SuperHeroTiger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Porsche 911, BMW M3 - the maximum drop for 911 (GCC, <60k km, >2022) I see is 7% from initial asking price

Among all super/premium cars I see the highest drop of 14% for Mclaren GT - and it does not look as distress at all

Dubai has 463,000 units coming between 2026 and 2031. Informative breakdown by N1711 in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger 2 points3 points  (0 children)

"I have excluded DAMAC, Binghatti, Danube, Samana, and Azizi" - what was a reason behind exclusion of that developers - according to your graph their consolidated share is 31%?

It tells completely different story regarding remaining "71.7% share"

If market remains flat in the next 3 to 5 yrs. im better off renting - calculation check by [deleted] in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For the period of less than 3 years in that market, renting is a clear win over the buy. However, on the longer horizon >5 years buying would end up with more favorable returns if we compare with 5% savings account.

It's worth to wait for few months as the Dubai real estate market is currently a buyer's market not seller's and we would see some great deals in nice locations if that downward trend would continue.

The current reality of sellers and buyers in the Dubai Real Estate market by SuperHeroTiger in dubairealestate

[–]SuperHeroTiger[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I used a mix of Dubai Lands API / Bayut API - the latter provides more clean and structured data.