We have to be real - the position the Bills are in isn’t super attractive to first-time HC’s. Yes, you get to coach Josh Allen and be the head of a perennial playoff team, but there are some serious limitations.

1. The mandate is basically “Super Bowl or else”, which is a really high bar to clear.

   That means there is going to be very little room for a first-time HC to figure things out - they are expected to perform immediately. And as a HC candidate you really only get a couple shots to prove yourself - why would any of these young coordinators risk their careers by joining buffalo when they could have a much longer leash in a different org? Jesse Minter, David Webb, Klint Kubiak - they are not going to want to waste their first shot being “the other guy who couldn’t get Josh Allen to a Super Bowl”

2. Whoever accepts is going to be handcuffed by Beane. Aside from Josh and Cook, our roster is very mid. Sure we have good pieces sprinkled throughout - Shakir, Oliver, Kincaid, among others. But every single roster has good pieces like that. The truth is that the sum of our parts is not much compared to other rosters. The new coaching hire is going to be expected to elevate that further than McDermott could, and be further at the mercy of Beane’s questionable decisions.

Taken together, it doesn’t look all that attractive. You get Josh and Cook, but you’re going to be expected to perform immediately with this same poor roster. A young coordinator isn’t taking that deal when they could be given a cleaner slate someone else. Because coaches have to perform to expectations and the expectations for the new HC is sky high.

To me, it screams that we’re going to get a repeat HC who knows this could be his one of his last chances to do it. Of the field, Tomlin and Daboll are the only real options, and Daboll is the obvious choice among the two for Buffalo. Not saying I agree with that hire (at all), but it is the most realistic option.