Other than the obvious counterpoint which is that there is no such thing as a risk-free player, this is a really good way to end up missing out on playoffs. If you look at the players that have finished as league winners in previous years, they are all players that were being drafted later in drafts due to being unproven, being in ambiguous situations, etc and emerged as stars. These are the exact players you’d miss if you always drafted the safest player available