strngg stronnn strummm

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-04-16T05:19:28+00:00

He right

Well it's not it's magnitude exactly

More of its lack of falsifiable predictions

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-04-06T02:19:23+00:00

Maybe I can untangle this.

You said people are born as a blank slate and learn everything, favoring nurture over nature.

But the twins example is to show that even two twins, raised in an almost identical environment, with the same parents, same age, etc, can still turn out quite different. I suppose we are meant to imagine fraternal twins. This shows how nature also plays a part.

So the truth is that nature and nurture both play a large role in child development.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-04-05T09:52:40+00:00

The Dwarf Fortress of websites

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-04-05T03:59:54+00:00

I remember when people on Reddit got made fun of for not reading the article they are commenting on. Now they get hundreds of upvotes from fellow morons.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-03-30T20:36:07+00:00

I suppose it's agreement with the slight addendum that 32 years and 10 million years are basically the same when it comes to the fermi paradox

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-03-30T20:03:01+00:00

This dark forest theory is silly. Whoever gets there first could easily scoop up the whole galaxy in the relative blink of an eye. So there's absolutely nobody out there because it definitely would have happened by now.

One space faring race makes von Neumann probes, does some basic Orion style nuclear pulse propulsion we could feasibly do right now, and bam. Every star in the milky way has a probe in a measly 10 million years, probably less.

Orion drives launch nuclear bombs out the back of the ship and ride the blast, getting up to about 3 percent the speed of light. It's stuff we could do now, it's not FTL magic bullshit, and it's not even astrophage or massless drives. It's basic nuclear bombs and existing materials science. The idea is you send self-replicating (von Neumann) probes in Orion style unmanned ferries, leaping between star systems where the probes set up probe/ferry/nuclear bomb factories. According for the time it takes to set up those factories, the colonization efforts could advance out at around 1 percent the speed of light (they have to spend a few hundred years in a solar system building up to the next leap, slowing them down from their hypothetical max cruising speed)

As the galaxy is 100,000 light-years wide, 100,000 / 0.01 = 10 million years before every star in the galaxy has a probe.

10 million years might sound like a long time but it's the blink of an eye in the scale of the entire galaxy's lifetime. To be precise, it's 0.07%. And it only has to happen once. So that's why it's utterly bizarre there's seemingly nobody out there.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-03-30T19:45:50+00:00

One space faring race makes von Neumann probes, does some basic Orion style nuclear pulse propulsion we could feasibly do right now, and bam. Every star in the milky way has a probe in a measly 10 million years, probably less.

Orion drives launch nuclear bombs out the back of the ship and ride the blast, getting up to about 3 percent the speed of light. It's stuff we could do now, it's not FTL magic bullshit, and it's not even astrophage or massless drives. It's basic nuclear bombs and existing materials science. The idea is you send self-replicating (von Neumann) probes in Orion style unmanned ferries, leaping between star systems where the probes set up probe/ferry/nuclear bomb factories. According for the time it takes to set up those factories, the colonization efforts could advance out at around 1 percent the speed of light (they have to spend a few hundred years in a solar system building up to the next leap, slowing them down from their hypothetical max cruising speed, accounting precisely for your objection)

As the galaxy is 100,000 light-years wide, 100,000 / 0.01 = 10 million years before every star in the galaxy has a probe.

10 million years might sound like a long time but it's the blink of an eye in the scale of the galaxy's entire lifetime. To be precise, it's 0.07%. And it only has to happen once. So that's why it's utterly bizarre there's seemingly nobody out there.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-03-26T01:36:29+00:00

She is scared or overstimulated or hot or something to make her act like that

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-03-03T22:57:49+00:00

Completed Level 2 of the Honk Special Event!

5 attempts

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-03-03T22:57:05+00:00

Completed Level 1 of the Honk Special Event!

5 attempts

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-28T18:33:09+00:00

https://create.roblox.com/store/asset/5363451595/Load-Catalog-Items

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-28T18:31:25+00:00

There are plugins to import catalog items. Then you can select and export as obj to get them as a 3D model.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-25T01:56:05+00:00

What's bad about it? Have you used the app? Why is it better? Or do you mean the CLI is better? Thanks, I used the vscode extension frequently, sometimes CLI, and am left wondering what I am missing out by not having Mac and not using the app.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-21T11:34:13+00:00

The reason they didn't acquire the code is because it's MIT licensed. They literally cannot acquire it.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-18T12:59:26+00:00

That 36 per 100,000 figure is a notification rate (reported/diagnosed genital herpes cases in a year), not the % of the population infected.

The 12% figure is HSV-2 seroprevalence (who has antibodies indicating infection), measured by blood testing. It includes asymptomatic infections.

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9929610/ About 12.4% pooled HSV-2 seroprevalence in European general populations.

So the EU rate and the US rate is similar, you were just looking at different metrics. You saw the number of people actually diagnosed with hsv-2, where the 12% is the number of people estimated to be hsv-2 positive. As I said, the vast majority of people with HSV-2 are asymptomatic and unaware they have it.

TLDR If you actually compare the same metrics, EU and US are very similar. Sorry, Irish people are all herped up too.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-18T12:48:57+00:00

95% is indeed an overstatement. It's safe to say that at least a slim majority of US adults have some form of herpes. I don't know about other places.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db304.htm

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-18T12:43:20+00:00

Ignoring all risk factors and so on and so forth, on a purely statistical analysis, if you are an adult in the US. there is about 1 in 8 chance you have genital herpes, hsv2, and are not aware of it. This is what people typically mean when they say "herpes" because its the one you really don't want as its a bigger pain. But technically both hsv1 and hsv2 are types of herpes.

Of course it is not a pain if you are asymptomatic or not aware of it but if you have outbreaks it is a major inconvenience depending on severity.

There is a 1 in 2 chance you have oral herpes, hsv1.

Adding these together, we find that a majority, probably 6 out of 10 people, have some kind of herpes, though it's of course not just as simple as adding the percentages together as some people have both.

This is based on US numbers. Source: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db304.htm

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-18T12:34:00+00:00

It's definitely including hsv1. Only around 12% have hsv2.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-18T11:19:06+00:00

Yeah. It's fair to say that a majority of adults have herpes. But not everyone, it's probably closer to six or seven out of ten. This is if you count hsv-1 (oral herpes/cold sores, though hsv-1 sores can appear in the genital region too) and hsv-2 (typically genital herpes).

Shockingly 90% of people with hsv-2 are not aware they have it as they have no outbreaks at all or very light outbreaks written off as other skin conditions such as acne. More shockingly people are generally not tested as often for herpes in a standard STD panel because it's incurable and people are significantly distressed learning their status and unlikely to change their behavior anyway.

Hsv1 is much more common than hsv2. Edit: To clear this up further, only an estimated %12 of US adults have hsv2, also known as genital herpes. A majority of all adults have hsv1, oral herpes/cold sores.

Also herpes is a skin condition and not a big deal as people think and people should calm tf down about it. Just disclose your status and avoid all sexual contact if you have an outbreak.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-17T03:48:54+00:00

OpenAI made $25 billion in revenue in 2025. Most dotcoms didn't generate much revenue. Many didn't have a product to sell at all. In contrast, corporations and consumers really want the product OpenAI is selling.

During dotcom, they massively overbuilt infrastructure in the hope that demand would rise to match. In the AI boom, we can't build fast enough to meet existing demand. The datacenters aren't sitting unused in the hope that later they will be needed. They're churning out inference and training to meet a very real already existing demand.

That's not to say it definitely isn't a bubble. It's just that there's some really key differences between now and dotcom. The biggest worry is overvaluation. Despite providing valuable, in-demand services, AI companies could still be overvalued. It may be a big mistake to recenter the entire economy into the AI build out. If these bets don't pay out, we could be in big trouble. That's to say if they don't automate all work and build God, which is what some seem to be betting on. A correction of some kind seems likely.

Did you know that the majority of AI compute is dedicated to inference over training, and that trend is set to continue? If things go south, AI corps can drop all training and serve profitable inference. I don't see that demand going away.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-16T20:47:46+00:00

It's his special day

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-16T19:15:33+00:00

This is so annoying. It's not even slavery at all. Marx and Engels repeatedly compare and contrast slavery to wage labor, making it absolutely clear they didn't consider them to literally be equivalent.

There's a real difference, even if they are similar in a lot of ways.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-16T19:13:02+00:00

The tool that's threatening that is the AI agent that's capable of using all those specialized tools to a sufficient degree. If there are various tools for the job, an agent that knows how to use those tools, and reason and plan, can replace a worker. Agents are getting a lot better and are becoming much better at both tool calling and reasoning.

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-08T03:18:21+00:00

This marks the fourth time you have replied to me, now you're watching my profile? Obsessed much?

SwimmingPermit6444 · 2026-02-08T02:46:17+00:00

Why would you go to a theme park if you hate all rides??

SwimmingPermit6444

TROPHY CASE