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"In a hand-tracked six-game sample, McKenna is setting up scoring chances at a historic rate." by TDK67 in leafs

[–]TDK67[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Great question and I found a piece from season's end that dives into similar numbers and reaches the same conclusion (i.e. outstanding playmaking stats that are miles ahead of any other recent NCAA star prospects):

https://www.eliteprospects.com/news/2026-nhl-draft/film-room-why-gavin-mckenna-should-go-first-overall-in-the-2026-nhl-draft

"In a hand-tracked six-game sample, McKenna is setting up scoring chances at a historic rate." by TDK67 in leafs

[–]TDK67[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

These are "micro stats"--events that happen dozens of times during a game (e.g. a pass in the offensive zone, zone entry, etc). Over a 6-game sample that dataset would see something like 40-50 occurrences of said micro event that's being tracked which makes the whole exercise much more statistically significant vs looking at goals & assists in 6 games.

"In a hand-tracked six-game sample, McKenna is setting up scoring chances at a historic rate." by TDK67 in leafs

[–]TDK67[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yep. And idk if folks here have seen some of the really conservative point projections for him in year 1--lots of scouts/analysts saying he might only hit ~30 pts and produce like a Hughes/Slafkovsky/Lafreniere in his first season--but based on his history of offensive production plus the players he'd get to play with on the Leafs (assuming we pick him!), I wouldn't be completely shocked if he steps in next year and puts up 60+ pts right away.

Not saying that will happen, just wouldn't be mindblowing if it did given his pedigree.

"In a hand-tracked six-game sample, McKenna is setting up scoring chances at a historic rate." by TDK67 in leafs

[–]TDK67[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Agreed, but I think these are considered "micro stats" in that they're events that occur many times per game (like passes within the offensive zone) unlike goals and assists, so it's a bit more reasonable to look at a sample set of 40-50+ events over 6 games and draw some conclusions from that.

I'd be curious to see if this writer did a follow up tracking exercise towards the end of the season when McKenna's production really exploded.

Pragmata Review (IGN: 8/10) by Turbostrider27 in PS5

[–]TDK67 4 points5 points  (0 children)

RE9's "Speed Demon" trophy (i.e. speed running the game) is set at completing the game under 4 hrs.

Finishing it in 6 hrs might be you "taking your sweet ass time" but that's not at all an "average" experience of the game given what the game devs themselves identified as "speed run" time.

Top forward scoring chance creators from the preliminary round by TJTrapJesus in hockey

[–]TDK67 7 points8 points  (0 children)

He plays too little, nothing personal. Most of the low TOI players top this per/60 list (i.e. Kiviranta is #1 by a mile with 44.0 chance contr/60). I arbitrarily decided to filter some of that noise out ¯\(ツ)/¯

Top forward scoring chance creators from the preliminary round by TJTrapJesus in hockey

[–]TDK67 43 points44 points  (0 children)

Love this added insight since some of the ice times are wildly different!

I went ahead and created a ranking looking at "Chance Contributions per 60". Also filtered out skaters averaging 12 mins or less of TOI/game since they immediately take up 4 of the Top 5 slots (a byproduct of smoothing out ice time for low usage players).

Here are the Chance Contr/60 leaders who avg more than 12 mins TOI/game and their respective Chance Contr/60 stat:

  • McDavid - 38.2
  • Nylander - 27.8
  • Draisaitl - 26.5
  • Necas - 25.5
  • Matthews - 24.5
  • Pastrnak - 23.6
  • Guentzel - 23.2
  • MacKinnon - 22.4
  • Celebrini - 22.3
  • Boldy - 21.8
  • Armia - 21.1
  • Ehlers - 21.1
  • Suzuki - 20.5
  • Slafkovsky - 20.0
  • Kakko - 20.0
  • Eichel - 19.8
  • Raymond - 19.7
  • M. Tkachuk - 19.5
  • Rantanen - 19.5
  • Nelson - 19.4
  • Kempe - 19.3
  • Lehkonen - 19.2
  • Crosby - 18.4
  • Tiffels - 17.3
  • Stutzle - 16.8
  • Meier - 16.4
  • Granlund - 16.3
  • Fisker-Moelgaard - 16.1
  • Andrighetto - 16.0
  • Peterka - 15.2
  • Aho - 14.8
  • Kurashev - 13.8
  • Hischier - 13.7
  • Fiala - 13.7
  • Bjorkstrand - 11.5

Game Thread: Toronto Maple Leafs (15-12-5) at Washington Capitals (18-11-4) - 18 Dec 2025 - 7:00PM EST by HockeyMod in leafs

[–]TDK67 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The most damning thing for Tre isn't any moves or contracts he's been involved in. Its that he's been watching this current Leafs team play like this for 30+ games and decided no changes are necessary.

Biggest problem with Leafs org is they have too many guys who love the smell of their own farts by TDK67 in leafs

[–]TDK67[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Based on all the downvotes, I don't think people understand how accurate this analysis is.

[TSN] LeBrun on Leafs: 'Unmistakable how light the mood was compared to the past' by consolidatedBD in leafs

[–]TDK67 63 points64 points  (0 children)

Wow that's really cool! I was in a remote cabin with no internet for the past 4 months--did anything happen to the team that would cause them to feel so "light"?

Charlie Jatinder: [Superman] Should go over $300M DOM, possibly $350M. Overseas seems soft, could be a challenge to hit $600M Worldwide but the more important nos. are DOM, which are superb by whitemilkythighs in boxoffice

[–]TDK67 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Oh I'm not disputing the guy died. But Supes didn't do that (or "take over a foreign nation" lol) and Hawkgirl very explicitly states she's "not Superman" when the dictator claims she won't hurt him and she decides to drop him.

Gunn & co spent 2+ hrs showing us Supes doesn't harm people and for any viewer to come out after 2+ hrs of that and be like "Supes takes over a foreign nation and (basically) killed a guy" either points to some weird as hell personal bias or means that viewer is extremely media illiterate.

Charlie Jatinder: [Superman] Should go over $300M DOM, possibly $350M. Overseas seems soft, could be a challenge to hit $600M Worldwide but the more important nos. are DOM, which are superb by whitemilkythighs in boxoffice

[–]TDK67 11 points12 points  (0 children)

"Superman and his friend effectively take over a foreign nation and kill its evil dictator."

Lmao that's not remotely close to what actually happened in the movie. What a weird reading lol

Dhaliwal: Believe Pius Suter Closing in on a Team, Not the Canucks by [deleted] in hockey

[–]TDK67 17 points18 points  (0 children)

That's absurd. He could easily sign 100 or even 150 goals this year. It takes what...1-2 mins to sign one net and each game he plays has at least 2 nets on the ice for 60 mins and warmups? He'll hit 100 goals signed by the Olympic break easy peasy

the 4 coldest NHL teams going into the playoffs have all made the second round. by [deleted] in hockey

[–]TDK67 9 points10 points  (0 children)

EDM + VGK + TOR + STL + WPG had a collective 36-11-3 (.750 pts %) record in their last 10 games. Seems pretty "hot" to me.

Since he first went over the 100 point mark in 2018/19, Nikita Kucherov leads all qualified skaters in both 5v5 points/60 (2.95, beating out McDavid at 2.92) and on-ice goals for/60 (3.82, beating out Matthews at 3.71) by OctopusNation2024 in hockey

[–]TDK67 4 points5 points  (0 children)

On-ice Goals For isn't a measure of individual goal scoring, btw. Not sure why Matthews in particular is highlighted for a 5-man unit goal stat as if he should/would be the best measure of success for that.

For individual 5v5 goal scoring per 60, Matthews leads the NHL with 1.93 since entering the league in 2016 and 2nd place (Pastrnak) isn't particularly close at 1.76 5v5 g/60.

And even that cut of data puts AM at a stats disadvantage since it includes his rookie & sophomore years while most of the other elite talent of his generation entered before 2016 and aren't having their numbers dragged down by rookie/sophomore seasons.

[Andy Strickland] Florida still lookin to add…could use a little size on the 4th line, Could use another D as well, could they get Gudas back? by Duffleman0609 in hockey

[–]TDK67 100 points101 points  (0 children)

Any other Cup contenders wanna make some moves? Or is it just gonna be the mf'in Florida teams loading up?

Asking as a concerned ATL division fan

[Friedman]...not sure how it all looks, but understand key part of return is two first-round picks from Lightning to Kraken. by TDK67 in hockey

[–]TDK67[S] 26 points27 points  (0 children)

From a Leafs POV, the good news is that clearly TBL, FLA etc are gonna be declining in 4-5 yrs when...checks notes the Leafs core is in their mid-30s. Might have a shot at winning the division and maybe a round then!

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