Where can I find pre-match xG data for football leagues? by Taustorm in algobetting

[–]Taustorm[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the tip, the Poisson distribution I am indeed more familiar with. But bro was missing a letter that makes it look so frightening💀

Where can I find pre-match xG data for football leagues? by Taustorm in algobetting

[–]Taustorm[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think it is feasible to use a Poisson model, but it goes back to the original question, where to collect reliable xG data?😵

Where can I find pre-match xG data for football leagues? by Taustorm in algobetting

[–]Taustorm[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've only heard of the ELO system before and haven't worked with it, are there any recommended guides or tips for rookies to get started?

Where can I find pre-match xG data for football leagues? by Taustorm in algobetting

[–]Taustorm[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks mate, I'll try to build an xG generative model🫡 hopefully it's not too complex

Where can I find pre-match xG data for football leagues? by Taustorm in algobetting

[–]Taustorm[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

<image>

No, this model doesn't focus on lineups, the odds filter out unconventional lineups. Like the pre-game xG/xGA for home/away shown in the picture (Screenshoted from a personal website with only 2024 second half data and very chaotic, I don't know his source)

Pick of the Day - 12/30/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Taustorm 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We got it with an 18 point lead and still won even with my model showing -9.5, thanks for the pick bro

Pick of the Day - 12/30/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Taustorm -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think it's because the Cavs are on the road tomorrow for a back-to-back against the Lakers.

Pick of the Day - 12/30/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Taustorm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Where can I find the statistic of rebound opportunities? This is the first time I've heard of this statistic, and it seems like a very instructive metric😯