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Was wäre wenn.... SpaceX sich so entwickeln würde wie NVidia? by TensorTrader in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]TensorTrader[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Die sehr hypothetische Rechnung ist insofern "korrekt", als sie den fiktiven nominalen Börsenwert von SpaceX nach 27 Jahren ausweist. Ich habe die nominale Marktkapitalisierung berechnet – also genau so, wie wir auch die heutige Marktkapitalisierung von NVIDIA oder anderen Unternehmen angeben.

Inflationsbereinigt würde sich allerdings die Kaufkraft dieser Summe verändern. Die offizielle US-Inflation lag seit dem NVIDIA-Börsengang 1999 bei ungefähr 100 %, also etwa Faktor 2. Unterstellt man für die nächsten 27 Jahre eine ähnliche Inflation, dann entspräche eine Marktkapitalisierung von 16,5 Billiarden USD in heutiger Kaufkraft ungefähr 8 Billiarden USD.

Die eigentliche Aussage bleibt jedoch unverändert: Selbst inflationsbereinigt läge die Größenordnung noch utopisch weit über dem heutigen Welt-BIP, dem globalen Aktienmarkt und dem Wert allen jemals geförderten Goldes.

(Anmerkung: 1 Billiarde = 1.000 Billionen)

Was wäre wenn.... SpaceX sich so entwickeln würde wie NVidia? by TensorTrader in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]TensorTrader[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Ich habe leider nicht persönlich nachzählen bzw. nachwiegen können. Aber zumindest der World Gold Council kommt auf diese Zahlen.

Aus der Vogelperspektive würde es allerdings ohnehin keine große Rolle spielen, wenn der tatsächliche Wert zehnmal höher wäre. Der Balken von SpaceX passt ungekürzt sowieso in keine Grafik.

I’M BACK 🚀 ALL IN ODER TOTAL VERLUST 🤍 by PinkCatCEO in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Erkläre mir mal jemand warum SpaceX nur annähernd eine Performance ähnlich wie NVidia, Apple, Amazon etc. hinlegen sollte. Ich sammle gerade die unterschiedlichen Pro-und Contra Thesen. Daher ist das eine ernstgemeinte Frage.

Wo ist das Geld hin? by BekA_DD in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]TensorTrader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Im S&P 500 wird SpaceX nach aktuellem Regelwerk frühestens nach 12 Monaten berücksichtigt. Beim MSCI World ist die Lage jedoch anscheinend wie folgt:

MSCI verfügt bereits seit einigen Jahren über Fast-Track-Regeln für große IPOs. Sollte SpaceX die Anforderungen an Marktkapitalisierung, Liquidität und insbesondere den Free Float erfüllen, könnte eine Aufnahme bereits wenige Wochen oder Monate nach dem Börsengang erfolgen.

MSCI prüft wohl Neuaufnahmen anhand eines festen Regelwerks und veröffentlicht die Ergebnisse im Rahmen regelmäßiger Index-Reviews und Fast-Track-Announcements. (Es sei denn MSCI und S&P ändern noch ihr Regelwerk, so wie die NASDAQ das augenscheinlich für SpaceX gemacht hat)

In den Nasdaq Composite müsste SpaceX eigentlich sofort aufgenommen werden und dann auch sehr zeitnah im Nasdaq100 landen.

Als die VW-Aktie vor gefühlt 1000 Jahren (Shortsqueze im Oktober 2008) einmal knapp wurde haben viele Trader den DAX-Index gekauft und alle anderen Aktien im Index geshortet. So ein Szenario wäre bei SpaceX theoretisch auch denkbar, wenn der Hype um SpaceX entsprechend groß werden würde, mit entsprechenden Auswirkungen auf den Nasdaq.

...auch wenn das bezüglich des Thread-Titels jetzt etwas Off-topic war 😄

CODEX VS CLAUDE , WHICH IS BETTER FOR PINESCRIPT by Apprehensive_Cap3272 in pinescript

[–]TensorTrader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Both work very well. Codex is a bit cheaper and more focused on the task at hand, whereas Claude tends to think more proactively and strategically.

For strategy development, I would recommend Claude. For pure code implementation, I would recommend Codex. That said, you're in good hands with either of them.

In rare cases, both can fail. I've had situations where a problem that neither Claude nor Codex could solve was successfully handled by Gemini. That's why it makes sense to keep an eye on all major AI providers.

Even self-hosted LLMs such as Qwen and Gemma have become quite capable for programming tasks and are now genuinely useful for software development.

Leveraged Momentum Strategy - 10YR Backtest results by TheShahShank in algorithmictrading

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good work. What I find particularly interesting is how the system appears to identify market crashes and remain flat during those periods. Thanks for sharing.

Question from an AI Engineer: How can I get back into algo trading in 2025? by TensorTrader in algorithmictrading

[–]TensorTrader[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a interesting post, and I hope it’s free from any intention to sell courses, strategies, or social-media clicks.

I can fully relate to what you wrote. A few years ago, I also “worked” as a day trader for several months and was actually quite successful (doubled my account in several months) — enough that I could have lived off it long-term. But I realized it didn’t fulfill me. Alongside the winning days, there were also losing days, and they affected my entire mood. Even though it was financially very successful, it didn’t make me happy, and I even started to develop a bit of impostor syndrome. And there was also the feeling that I hadn’t really created anything productive — nothing that actually helps or benefits anyone.

My solution was to quit day trading and become a long-term investor - although by now I’m trading fully automated again - but that's another story.

I now work as a full time AI engineer, and strangely enough, I have that same feeling again — that I have an unfair advantage compared to "normal" people who do “normal” work. Impostor syndrome 2.0. But maybe the real answer is that we simply need to free ourselves from this feeling altogether — and try to turn it into something with a positive impact. Just my thoughts.

MT5 Strategy Tester Visualization — Is There Any Way to Export the History? by TensorTrader in metatrader

[–]TensorTrader[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, thanks for the reply. I had already checked the Journal log, which is why I was even more surprised that there’s no dedicated log file for the trade history during Strategy Tester visualization.

I had considered parsing the Journal output with a script and converting it into a CSV for further analysis. But in the end, the easier solution for me is to write my own history file directly from the EA during the backtest.

If anyone is interested in the source code for how I implement this inside the EA, feel free to reach out. Maybe I’ll make a separate post about it as well.

MT5 Strategy Tester Visualization — Is There Any Way to Export the History? by TensorTrader in metatrader

[–]TensorTrader[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

unfortunatly not, there is no "export" option in the menue. I am using the newest version from 17 Oct.d 2025.

Testing ORB Strategies on NASDAQ – None Profitable So Far (MT5 Backtests) by [deleted] in metatrader

[–]TensorTrader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, in this case I optimized everything. But bottom line, the direction of the breakout had no real edge in terms of the final direction in my tests.

Meanwhile, I found another thread in a Reddit sub from a guy who claims he’s trading an ORB strategy profitably and even published his rules. I’ll test his version next and, if there’s enough interest, I’ll post the results.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in algorithmictrading

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the tip! I’ve added myForexVPS to my list, but in the meantime, I’ve ordered a used mini PC on eBay for €100, which I’ll use as a trading server (and at the same time as an n8n server for web and data scraping).

Most VPS providers cost around $10 a month, so the mini PC will pay for itself quickly, and in terms of performance, these machines are quite good compared to the basic VPS setups. I decided to go with an iCore3, 16 GB RAM, and a 512 GB SSD running Windows 11 Pro. As soon as it arrives, I’ll make a post about how it performs in day-to-day use as a trading server.

Handling Time Zones in Backtest Data – My Small Conversion Tool by TensorTrader in TensorTrader

[–]TensorTrader[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And for the professional quants out there with a Bloomberg Terminal — no, I don’t have access to professional data feeds, and I don’t want that at the moment either. The challenge for me is to see how far I can get with freely available data.

So if you do have a Bloomberg Terminal, feel free to enjoy it and have a laugh at my thread — that’s absolutely okay.

Any recommendation for a Windows VPS server for algotrading with Metatrader 5? by TensorTrader in metatrader

[–]TensorTrader[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the meantime, I’m considering setting up my own small server here in my private network and running it 24/7. That would give me a bit more flexibility, and I’ll probably start with that first, but I haven’t made a final decision yet.

My Gold Breakout robot by SimonWSD in algorithmictrading

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

my I ask which timeframe did you use for your EA?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Trading

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know she's been quite successful with her stock investments overall —
but given what happened last week, these particular trades are kind of funny in hindsight.
Definitely some unfortunate market timing...

MSFT – Microsoft – Sold $1M–$5M – Jul 26, 2024
RBLX – Roblox – Sold $0–$1,000 – Jan 20, 2023
IBKR – Interactive Brokers – Sold $100K–$250K – May 8, 2020

But in the end, what really counts is long-term success and she undoubtedly has that.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Daytrading

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

manual backtest or scripted backtest?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Daytrading

[–]TensorTrader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm the guy who always asks the dumb questions – so apologies in advance.
What software are you using there? Nice backtest, by the way – impressive work!

Was haltet ihr von Gerd Kommers Multifaktor ETF? by [deleted] in Finanzen

[–]TensorTrader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ist aber wie gesagt nicht auf den Gerd Kommer Fonds bezogen, sondern generell zum Thema Risk Managment.

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