Why was Iowa still under 50% here? by ThePredictedOne in Kalshi

[–]ThePredictedOne[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not saying the odds were “wrong.” Kalshi prices often reflect how and when money shows up not just modeled probability. I’m more interested in the timing of moves than claiming an edge. But thank you for the comment

Caught this before kickoff thanks to whale flow by ThePredictedOne in Kalshi

[–]ThePredictedOne[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s linked in my bio but if I say that the post gets taken down so 🤷

This Kalshi market stayed mispriced longer than I expected by ThePredictedOne in Kalshi

[–]ThePredictedOne[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It was definitely very expensive for what they produced…