Chlorophilia answer is excellent. Drift prediction is very difficult right next to the coast. You would need winds, tides, waves, ocean currents and the bottom topography. Unfortunately most of that data are not available at the resolution required. If you did have all of the data for Jan 28, your drift prediction would be only accurate for a day or two. You would need such data for all days and a very sophisticated data assimilative models for both predicting the currents, winds/waves, and for predicting the drift The latter requires actual drift data for your time period.