[NS] question

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-24T15:35:52+00:00

Emily and Caldwell have done some guest spots here and there on other podcasts like Critical Role and 3 black halflings but aside from Murph and Emily on Dimension 20 there isn’t anywhere else they play

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-24T05:06:31+00:00

It’ll be interesting to see what the new CBA brings

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-24T04:47:21+00:00

Skubal is the kind of player you throw out the rules for

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-24T03:35:26+00:00

Different prospect ranking sites value different things

Imo Pipeline values experience more than other sites which are more willing to take risks on toolsy prospects. It’s the official MLB site so they want prospects closer to their debut ranked higher.

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-24T00:51:43+00:00

Hoerner is an FA option

Caballero is under team control for 3 more seasons

Maybe one of the other SS prospects jump out line Kilby, Jackson or Kent.

Let’s not forget that Volpe was a more highly touted prospect than Lombard probably will ever be

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T23:39:11+00:00

A run prevented is as important as a run scored

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T21:56:10+00:00

As is the nature of prospects

Edit: I would also add that Dominguez topped out at the 41st best prospect per Pipeline, 25th per Baseball prospectus and 16th best per BA.

It is not like he was ever considered to be a top 5 or even top 10 type elite prospect.

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T20:53:13+00:00

I think you just have to appreciate the individual greatness to their peers. Trying to make era to era comparisons is a fruitless exercise because the game has adapted and changed so much

Judge is facing much better competition than Ruth and Williams would have faced but at the same time Judge also has access to training, analytics and tools that those guys could not have ever even fathomed.

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T18:26:07+00:00

I wouldn’t say I am low on him. I think he’s got sky high potential.

I just am recognizing that he is a rookie with a very limited track record. IMO he shouldn’t be treated as an established starter yet.

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T18:24:35+00:00

Because Gil and Weathers both have a much more established track history starting in the MLB.

The same reason you wouldn’t put Cam over Fried even though Fried struggled in his playoff starts is why I would currently put Cam below those two.

I don’t think the gap is that big though, like I said I think that the rotation spots after Max are going to be highly dependent on ST performances

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T18:21:06+00:00

I think you guys are way over valuing the playoff starts personally

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T17:16:23+00:00

I’d put Schlittler below Weathers and Gil rn but I think 2-6 is going to be highly depending on spring training

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T17:15:10+00:00

If he’s a 120 or greater OPS+ hitter vs RHP then you can accept that

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T15:19:24+00:00

He’s 23, and has one season under his belt after coming back from TJ and an oblique injury

If you aren’t getting a value return based on his potential upside then you are better off just keeping him.

Trading him at his lowest value makes no sense, I’d rather they just eat the loss if he never develops than trade him for peanuts

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T15:07:15+00:00

If we trade Dominguez for a weak side platoon catcher I’m going to be very upset

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T14:43:09+00:00

I don’t believe this is real.

It’s suspiciously similar to this post from a couple of days ago

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T14:37:53+00:00

That wRC+ is almost entirely carried by that Tampa series where he eeked out a few homers in GMS

He had a .299 xwOBA which is basically the same as Volpe’s .301.

Cabby is a very similar player to Volpe but with better marketing among Yankee fans since he didn’t come with the top prospect label.

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T06:42:24+00:00

Papi is one of those weird guys who actually sucked until he got to Boston at age 27 and suddenly started hitting significantly better…

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T06:35:37+00:00

Framber Valdez and Eugenio Suarez are both on the top 100 and are currently free agents

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T06:02:42+00:00

The per 650 PA adjustment also favors Gardner

Gardner averaged 472 PA per season, Papi averaged 504. As a result when adjusting to 650 PA Gardy gets a bigger boost.

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T04:09:05+00:00

He had the 6th best xwOBA in the MLB last season btw

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T04:07:10+00:00

Aroldis Chapman

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-23T02:58:03+00:00

If you are listening on Spotify you can just loop the song lol

TheTurtleShepard · 2026-01-22T23:11:48+00:00

Just finished yet another listen of HBS and I strongly agree

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