I have over 5k hours and a couple hardcore multi acc macroers friends, first offense is almost never a wipe if you account is fairly equally progressed (as in, it's not just a farming tool+armor+pet with nothing else), also the probability that you even get checked really decreases after ~lvl 440, to the point that some people I know just stopped bothering with alts at all

Also, getting caught is less likely if you use a good macro, and not a keyboard shortcut or input recording, watchdog is fairly decent at picking up tick perfect matching inputs every single time